{"id":107919,"date":"2026-07-02T23:53:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T03:53:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/?p=107919"},"modified":"2026-07-02T23:53:04","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T03:53:04","slug":"wta-wimbledon-liu-gauff","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2026\/07\/02\/wta-wimbledon-liu-gauff\/","title":{"rendered":"WTA Wimbledon Third Round Best Bets Including Claire Liu vs Coco Gauff"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTA Wimbledon third-round play starts on Friday. The women\u2019s tournament at the All-England Club now gets even more interesting, with seeded players facing each other. The players competing on the weekend have a better chance of going deep into the second week and making a run at the championship. This has been viewed as a tournament many different players can win. Some of the top players in the field have not been at their best and will be tested in this round. The feel of the tournament and the shape of the bracket could be very different after this third round runs its course. LWOS has our best bet for three matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>WTA Wimbledon<\/b><\/h2>\n<h4><b>Kasatkina \u2013 Osaka: 8:00 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-3<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Naomi Osaka has never really felt at home when playing the <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTA<\/span><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.wtatennis.com\/tournaments\/wimbledon\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wimbledon event<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the All-England Club. At both this tournament and at Roland-Garros, Osaka has failed to make a real breakthrough. Only at the hardcourt majors has she lifted trophies. In what is seen as a wide-open<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2026\/06\/23\/wta-wimbledon-tan-pohankova\/\" target=\"_self\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTA Wimbledon tournament<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, however, Osaka\u2019s big hitting might have a chance to make a larger impression and achieve a better result. Her opponent in this round is Daria Kasatkina, a former top-10 player with an all-court game who could easily give Osaka trouble if Naomi is not on top of her game.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kasatkina is figuring out how to win matches, but she is not a dominant player. Her match wins at this WTA Wimbledon tournament have been complicated and not straightforward. Osaka is a step up in terms of the caliber of competition, and that\u2019s why Osaka is a very clear favorite. It seems about right. You have some good betting options here. Osaka to win in straight sets is at 1.65. You could actually do that as a standalone bet or as a parlay piece. However, our recommended bet will be Kasatkina against the game spread. Osaka is just not a dominant grass tennis player. She usually runs into a wall when she gets to the third or fourth round of Wimbledon. She probably will win, but Kasatkina can cover the spread even if she loses by a fairly routine 6-4, 6-3 score. As long as it\u2019s not a blowout, Kasatkina will cover.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Kasatkina +5.5 games is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Kasatkina +5.5 games @1.70 @10bet<\/b><\/p>\n<h4><b>Bartunkova \u2013 Krejcikova: Time 9:30 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is a really good matchup in the WTA Wimbledon third round. We will also point out that we were accurate in our analysis of each of these players in the previous round. We thought Krejcikova would certainly win at least one set against Mirra Andreeva, and we thought that Bartunkova would win at least one set against Katerina Siniakova. Both players were undervalued in the markets because of overall rankings, but they were better on grass than on other surfaces, which played in their favor. Now these players meet each other. Krejcikova is a clear favorite at 1.52. We will comment on that in our best bet section below.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The markets undervalued Krejcikova against Andreeva, but they also undervalued Bartunkova against Siniakova. Now, the markets don\u2019t seem to be adjusting much with Bartunkova. They are giving Krejcikova a lot of respect, but Bartunkova is still being discounted a little with these prices. Bartunkova almost beat Aryna Sabalenka a few weeks ago in Berlin. She has a big serve and has a game which plays well on grass. She demolished Siniakova, so it\u2019s a little surprising she isn\u2019t being priced more evenly compared to Krejcikova. You can sprinkle a small amount of money on the over 2.5 sets bet, but the best bet, which is the most likely to cash, is Bartunkova to win at least one set. You\u2019re getting a solid price for a result which has a good chance of happening.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Bartunkova +1.5 sets is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Bartunkova +1.5 sets @1.67 @10bet<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/06\/USATSI_26353407_168400550_lowres.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<h4><b>Muchova \u2013 Sawangkaew: Time 9:30 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mananchaya Sawangkaew did not play well in her first-round WTA Wimbledon match against Roland-Garros runner-up Maja Chwalinska. Sawangkaew was one point away from losing decisively. She was down a set and 5-2 and was about to be blown out. However, Chwalinska got injured and Sawangkaew was able to make her way back to win in three sets against an opponent who just couldn\u2019t run fully or freely. Sawangkaew got lucky, but she made the most of her second chance in her next match. She won a close first set against Alycia Parks and then pulled away in the second set for a comfortable victory. Now she faces Karolina Muchova, a dangerous player who has played in a major final before and wants to make a run at the All-England Club.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Muchova is by far the better player, and she is a good lawn tennis player as well, so there\u2019s zero doubt who will win this match. The prices are appropriately weighted in Muchova\u2019s favor, such that Muchova winning in straight sets won\u2019t get you much of a price. You have to go to the game spread here. We are going to lean to the player who is expected to dominate the match. Muchova is that player. However, while we officially recommend Muchova against the game spread, we can also add that you can have Sawangkaew plus a larger spread of 6.5 or 7.5 games as a parlay piece. That way, you can potentially win two bets, not just one.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Muchova -5.5 games is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Muchova -5.5 games @1.74 @1xbet<\/b><\/p>\n<h4><b>Liu \u2013 Gauff: Time 11:30 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-2<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Coco Gauff is 2-0 against Claire Liu in her career, with both victories taking place on a hardcourt. Gauff also won both matches in straight sets. Liu enters this match at 5-1 on grass in 2026, and 27-11 overall. Liu is riding a five-game winning streak here at Wimbledon, but Gauff is easily the toughest opponent she\u2019s faced in her last ten matches. While Liu is 8-2 in her last ten, most of those matches were in qualifying rounds at Wimbledon and the French Open. It\u2019s not like Liu was playing deep into WTA events. In fact, she\u2019s not gone further than the round of 16 in any WTA event this year.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gauff is a sizeable favorite for this match. While the average bet is about 1.11-6.88 in favor of Gauff, Liu goes as high as 8.1 on some books, while Gauff goes as low as 1.08 on another. Once again, there\u2019s no reason to bank on any kind of upset in this match. Gauff might have had some early exits here and there, but Liu is probably not talented enough to knock her out in the tournament\u2019s third round. I like Gauff winning, and winning easily.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Gauff 5.5 games is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Gauff 5.5 games @1.85 @1xbet<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports \u00a0 <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WTA Wimbledon third-round play starts on Friday. The women\u2019s tournament at the All-England Club now gets even more interesting, with seeded players facing each other. The players competing on the weekend have a better chance of going deep into the second week and making a run at the championship. This has been viewed as a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5481,"featured_media":107891,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17400,6,4],"tags":[43866,3976,17399,1655,2747,416,3716,42465,476,17546,43084],"class_list":["post-107919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-bets","category-wimbledon","category-wta","tag-2026-wta-wimbledon","tag-barbora-krejcikova","tag-best-bets","tag-claire-liu","tag-coco-gauff","tag-daria-kasatkina","tag-karolina-muchova","tag-mananchaya-sawangkaew","tag-naomi-osaka","tag-nikola-bartunkova","tag-wta-wimbledon"],"modified_by":"Kane Webb","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107919","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107919"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107919\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":107921,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107919\/revisions\/107921"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107891"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107919"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107919"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107919"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}