The ATP Masters 1000 Rome third round on May 10 features several players carrying momentum into intriguing matchups. Alexander Bublik looks well placed after a strong opening-round performance. He should have the edge over Learner Tien, while Tommy Paul\u2019s solid head-to-head record makes him a slight favourite against Luciano Darderi. Meanwhile, Rafael Jodar continues to impress in Rome and could benefit from fresher legs against Matteo Arnaldi after the Italian\u2019s demanding week so far.<\/p>\n
Tien – Bublik: 10.05.2026 16:00 CEST<\/strong> Learner Tien has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Tien lost in the opening match to Vallejo in straight sets. This week in Rome, the American won the opening match against Dzumhur in straight sets.<\/p>\n Alexander Bublik has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the Kazakh lost to Tsitsipas in the opening match in straight sets. This week in Rome, Bublik defeated Baez in the opening match in straight sets.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Bublik is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in solid form and dominated in the opening match against Baez. If he serves well, we expect a comfortable win.<\/p>\n That being said, Bublik covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365<\/strong><\/p>\n Paul – Darderi: 10.05.2026 17:30 CEST<\/strong> Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Paul got upset by Tirante in the opening match in straight sets. This week in Rome, the American demolished Vukic in the opening match in straight sets.<\/p>\n Luciano Darderi has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Darderi lost to Cerundolo in the third round in straight sets. This week in Rome, the Italian defeated Hanfmann in the opening match in straight sets.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Paul is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has won both head-to-head meetings against Darderi in straight sets and played well in the opening match. We expect him to win once again.<\/p>\n That being said, Paul winning is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning @1.67 @bet365<\/strong><\/p>\n Arnaldi – Jodar: 10.05.2026 20:30 CEST<\/strong> Matteo Arnaldi has won seven straight matches. Last week in Cagliari, the Italian won the Challenger title. This week in Rome, Arnaldi defeated Munar and de Minaur in three sets.<\/p>\n Rafael Jodar has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Jodar won the opening match against Borges in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving seven out of eight breakpoints.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Jodar is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and won his opening match in straight sets. On the other hand, Arnaldi struggled in both matches this week and spent many hours on the court. We expect Jodar to dominate the rallies.<\/p>\n That being said, Jodar covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Rafael Jodar -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365<\/p>\n Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The ATP Masters 1000 Rome third round on May 10 features several players carrying momentum into intriguing matchups. Alexander Bublik looks well placed after a strong opening-round performance. He should have the edge over Learner Tien, while Tommy Paul\u2019s solid head-to-head record makes him a slight favourite against Luciano Darderi. Meanwhile, Rafael Jodar continues to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5045,"featured_media":55992,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17400],"tags":[564,510,2893,2182,18113,17067,17610,15250,43245,13328,304,1635],"class_list":["post-104594","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-bets","tag-alex-de-minaur","tag-alexander-bublik","tag-atp-rome","tag-damir-dzumhur","tag-learner-tien","tag-luciano-darderi","tag-matteo-arnaldi","tag-nuno-borges","tag-rafael-jodar","tag-sebastian-baez","tag-stefanos-tsitsipas","tag-tommy-paul"],"modified_by":"David Barisic","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104594","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5045"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104594"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104594\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":104595,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104594\/revisions\/104595"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55992"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104594"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104594"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nH2H: first meeting<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bet to Make<\/h2>\n
\nH2H: 2-0<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bet to Make<\/h2>\n
\nH2H: first meeting<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bet to Make<\/h2>\n