The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Round of 16 on April 27 features a mix of strong favourites and dangerous underdogs. Casper Ruud\u2019s dominant clay-court form makes him a clear contender. At the same time, Daniel Merida Aguilar and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer both have the momentum to challenge higher-ranked opponents and keep their matches competitive.<\/p>\n
Davidovich Fokina – Ruud: 27.04.2026 11:00 CEST<\/strong> Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Spaniard defeated Carreno-Busta in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, he served well throughout the match.<\/p>\n Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. He is the defending champion in Madrid. This week, Ruud demolished Munar in the opening match in straight sets, losing only one game. Last season, the Norwegian defeated Draper in the final in three sets.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Ruud is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He was unplayable in the opening match against Munar. We expect him to dominate the rallies; he enjoys playing on clay, and we expect a comfortable win.<\/p>\n That being said, Ruud covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Casper Ruud -2.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365<\/strong><\/p>\n Tsitsipas – Merida Aguilar: 27.04.2026 12:30 CEST<\/strong> Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, Tsitsipas lost to Marozsan in the opening round in three sets. This week in Madrid, the Greek defeated Kypson in three tight sets after playing for almost three hours. In the second round, Tsitsipas defeated Bublik in straight sets.<\/p>\n Daniel Merida Aguilar has won three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Spaniard won both qualifying matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, he defeated Trungelliti in three tight sets. In the second round, Merida Aguilar upset Moutet in straight sets.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Merida Aguilar is in great form and enjoys playing in front of the home crowd. We expect him to keep this match close.<\/p>\n That being said, Merida Aguilar covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Daniel Merida Aguilar +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365<\/strong><\/p>\n Medvedev – Budkov Kjaer: 27.04.2026 14:00 CEST<\/strong> Daniil Medvedev has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Russian defeated Marozsan in three sets.<\/p>\n Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Norwegian qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, Opelka retired in the opening set against Budkov Kjaer. He upset Shapovalov in the second round in straight sets within an hour.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Budkov Kjaer dominated throughout the week. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.<\/p>\n That being said, Budkov Kjaer covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer +3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365<\/p>\n Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Round of 16 on April 27 features a mix of strong favourites and dangerous underdogs. Casper Ruud\u2019s dominant clay-court form makes him a clear contender. At the same time, Daniel Merida Aguilar and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer both have the momentum to challenge higher-ranked opponents and keep their matches competitive. ATP […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5045,"featured_media":84464,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17400],"tags":[5338,510,5779,811,43589,498,776,18097,11131,2397,42657,304],"class_list":["post-103717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-bets","tag-alejandro-davidovich-fokina","tag-alexander-bublik","tag-atp-madrid","tag-casper-ruud","tag-daniel-merida-aguilar","tag-daniil-medvedev","tag-denis-shapovalov","tag-fabian-marozsan","tag-jack-draper","tag-jaume-munar","tag-nicolai-budkov-kjaer","tag-stefanos-tsitsipas"],"modified_by":"David Barisic","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5045"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103717"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103717\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":103719,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103717\/revisions\/103719"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nH2H: 3-3<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bet to Make<\/h2>\n
\nH2H: first meeting<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bet to Make<\/h2>\n
\nH2H: first meeting<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bet to Make<\/h2>\n