{"id":36966,"date":"2021-09-07T09:00:39","date_gmt":"2021-09-07T13:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/?p=36966"},"modified":"2021-09-07T10:08:52","modified_gmt":"2021-09-07T14:08:52","slug":"playoffs-realistic-goal-or-fantasy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/2021\/09\/07\/playoffs-realistic-goal-or-fantasy\/","title":{"rendered":"Playoffs Year One: Realistic Goal or Fan Fantasy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>EDITORIAL<\/strong> &#8211; OK, I have a really exciting proposition for you. Are you ready? You and I, we\u2019re going to build an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.premierleague.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">English Premier League<\/a> team from scratch! We get to come up with the team name, team colors, uniforms, and a badge. We\u2019ll also invest in hiring a complete staff, a purpose-built stadium, and state-of-the-art training facilities. Exciting, right? I haven\u2019t told you the best part yet.<\/p>\n<h2>Playoffs Year One: Realistic or Fantasy<\/h2>\n<p>We get to build the roster one player at a time! We\u2019ll have a modest budget, but still, how cool is that? And no pesky promotion worries for us; our team will go straight into the EPL, the top professional league in the country! Our target? European qualification in year one.<\/p>\n<p>With <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uefa.com\/insideuefa\/news\/0268-1213f7aa85bb-d56154ff8fe8-1000--uefa-announces-new-format-for-club-competitions-to-be-introduce\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Champions League, Europa League, and Europa Conference<\/a> spots up for grabs, we only need to place somewhere in the top seven in a league of 20 teams. We basically just need to be better than about half the teams in the division. Easy.<\/p>\n<p>At this point, I imagine you\u2019re trying to determine if I\u2019ve lost my mind. The idea is ludicrous, compounded by a wholly unrealistic first-year target. Everything from scratch, on a conservative budget, and the season will only be considered a success if we secure a European spot? Come on now, we both know that the most overwhelmingly likely outcome here isn\u2019t Europe; it\u2019s relegation.<\/p>\n<p>Not just relegation. Rock bottom of the division with significant daylight between us in 20th and everyone else 19th\u00a0and above. Quite honestly, we\u2019d be in danger of suffering the same fate the following season, too, in the second-tier <a href=\"https:\/\/www.efl.com\/clubs-and-competitions\/sky-bet-championship\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">English Championship<\/a>. That\u2019s the reality, right? The same would be true in any of Europe\u2019s top leagues.<\/p>\n<h3>Chances of Making the MLS Playoffs in their First Year<\/h3>\n<p>Why, then, do supporters Stateside routinely expect an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlssoccer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MLS<\/a> team built from the studs up \u2013 new leadership team, new coaching staff, new players coming from all corners of the globe, many with no experience of playing in this league, new stadium and training facilities and all of the financial stress and burden that comes with putting all of that together \u2013 to make playoffs in its inaugural season?<\/p>\n<p>Is the first year in this top-flight professional league really a \u2018post-season-or-bust!\u2019 zero-sum equation?<\/p>\n<p>Including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.austinfc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Austin FC<\/a>, 21 teams have joined MLS since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chicagofirefc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chicago Fire<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/miamifusion.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Miami Fusion<\/a> became the league\u2019s first expansion outfits back in 1998. Assuming the play-offs are realistically beyond Austin at this point, <strong>of those 21 teams, only a third will have made playoffs in their inaugural season. <\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Successes and Failures of MLS Expansion Teams in their First Year<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/MLSCupPlayoffs?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#MLSCupPlayoffs<\/a> are underway in the ATL!  <\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcfaTune in on ESPN2 &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UniMas?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@UniMas<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xZpvpDpCr9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/xZpvpDpCr9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Atlanta United FC (@ATLUTD) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ATLUTD\/status\/923688468374581248?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">October 26, 2017<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Chicago and Miami were two of that seven, which perhaps speaks more to the relative strength and size of the league in the late \u201990s then than anything else. Three of those seven teams did set the uncharacteristically high bar of winning MLS Cup in their opening season \u2013 the aforementioned Chicago in 1998, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.houstondynamofc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Houston Dynamo<\/a> in 2006, and most recently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlutd.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Atlanta United<\/a> in 2017.<\/p>\n<p>But for every Chicago, Houston, and Atlanta, there\u2019s a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.torontofc.ca\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Toronto<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlssoccer.com\/clubs\/cd-chivas-usa\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chivas<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitecapsfc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vancouver<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fccincinnati.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cincinnati<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sjearthquakes.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">San Jose<\/a>, all of whom came dead-last in their conference year one. San Jose suffered that indignation during their first two years as an expansion team. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rsl.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Real Salt Lake<\/a> came second from bottom in their first season, but along the way \u2018earned\u2019 the unenviable distinction of generating a then-record 557-minute scoreless streak and a 10-game losing streak. Ouch.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, in the last decade, during which time the league has undeniably become significantly more competitive,<strong> only three of 12 expansion teams have made it to post-season at the first attempt.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Making MLS playoffs isn\u2019t as easy as it might seem, apparently. So, is it reasonable for fanbases, including Austin FC\u2019s own, to expect their team to achieve that marker first go around?<\/p>\n<h3>MLS Clubs and How They Promote Themselves<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I&#39;m all for supporters group shirts if they look as good as this for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LosVerdesATX?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@LosVerdesATX<\/a>. They are supporters of one of the more recent MLS teams \ud83d\udc9a\ud83d\udda4 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AustinFC?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@AustinFC<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Another corker from <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/inariasoccer?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@inariasoccer<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cwO4E4BbB4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/cwO4E4BbB4<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The Kitsman (@The_Kitsman) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/The_Kitsman\/status\/1434806274349281281?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">September 6, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In part, it\u2019s the club\u2019s fault. How does every new MLS club promote itself at launch? What invariably is its stated objective season one? Playoffs. Leadership says it, coaches say it, players say it, and the media echo it. But, then, what else would you expect the message to be?<\/p>\n<p>\u2018We don\u2019t know how we\u2019re going to do this season? We\u2019re probably, based on historical evidence, going to finish up with a losing record! Playoffs? HA! Slim chance! \u2026wanna buy a season ticket?\u2019 No, they have to sell the sizzle, not the sausage, because the reality is that no one truly knows if the sausage will meet the taste test.<\/p>\n<p>Fan(atic)s, by definition, are passionate about the game and their club. Many of them will start the season with expectations of what their team can achieve. Sometimes those expectations are reasonable. Sometimes, they\u2019re patently not \u2013 and that\u2019s OK, too. It\u2019s not really the role of a fan to be reasonable. They buy their tickets. The fans spend time attending games home and, in many cases, away. They scream and sing and shout and cheer until they\u2019re hoarse. And if their expectations aren\u2019t met, they voice their discontent \u2013 and they\u2019re entitled to.<\/p>\n<p>When that passion is stoked by a club saying, \u2018Yes! We have the same expectations you do! A winning record and a place in the play-offs!\u2019, however well-meaning, competitively-minded, and aspirational that messaging may be, it raises the bar to a level few MLS teams have been able to clear in their first season.<\/p>\n<h3>Austin FC: Supporters and Investment in their Youth Academy<\/h3>\n<p>Austin FC has at least offered their supporters something else. The Verde have dedicated themselves to <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/2021\/07\/19\/austin-fc-share-soccer-dna\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">developing a distinct style<\/a>. Their possession-based game has seen them dominate the ball in all but a handful of matches this season. They haven\u2019t scored enough goals, but of those tallied, there have been some truly pretty ones. They\u2019ve entertained, in large part, even in the games they haven\u2019t won. They have played poorly in a few matches, but their identity isn\u2019t that of a poor team. No one really expects Austin to suffer the same fate as San Jose.<\/p>\n<p>Austin\u2019s investment in their impressive <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/2021\/02\/16\/austin-fc-academy-tyson-wahl\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">youth academy<\/a>, even in advance of the formation of the first team, is well documented by <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Last Word on Soccer<\/a> and others. And that program is already competing at a high level, matching up favorably to the other long-standing Texas MLS academies in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fcdallas.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dallas<\/a> and Houston. This additional investment both of finance and in the local community should stand Austin in increasingly better stead in seasons to come as their young talent \u2018graduates\u2019 to the seniors.<\/p>\n<h3>MLS vs. English Premier League: Playoffs<\/h3>\n<p>In the English Premier League, three from 20 teams are relegated each season or 15 percent. At the time of writing, Austin\u2019s points tally sees them 24th out of 27 MLS teams. So, in English Premier League equivalency, Austin would basically be \u2018on the cusp\u2019 in the 17th spot. They\u2019d be the best of those teams in danger of relegation but within touching distance of safety. Their record suggests that they\u2019re kind of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nufc.co.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Newcastle United<\/a> of MLS right now. Make of that what you will.<\/p>\n<p>So, no European spot, but not rock bottom, either. In truth, the former objective \u2013 or its MLS equivalency, making the playoffs \u2013 represents a long shot anymore. Propping up the league your first year is more likely \u2013 but Austin FC isn\u2019t doing that. They are battling for every point while attempting to play soccer in a fashion their fans can be proud of.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/2021\/06\/20\/first-mls-game-q2-stadium\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">unwavering support shown on match days at Q2 Stadium<\/a>, in particular from the Supporters Section, players and coaches have understandably faced some criticism. But perhaps collective expectations might benefit from a bit of recalibration?<\/p>\n<p>Because, while no one is suggesting that Austin FC have exceeded expectations this season, maybe they\u2019ve achieved more in their first year than they\u2019re being given credit for.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"yhejLjLwQuJmLNP-pLIKOw\" class=\"gie-single\" style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.in\/detail\/1234562248\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'yhejLjLwQuJmLNP-pLIKOw',sig:'oPtzHFHRc_RV4v9P-MU5U93tns93MnDBXW8MatJ_yqM=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1234562248',caption: true ,tld:'in',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EDITORIAL &#8211; OK, I have a really exciting proposition for you. Are you ready? You and I, we\u2019re going to build an English Premier League team from scratch! We get to come up with the team name, team colors, uniforms, and a badge. We\u2019ll also invest in hiring a complete staff, a purpose-built stadium, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1894,"featured_media":36988,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[263,3114,16,2524,15,20,119,2208,18,21,5,23],"tags":[4085,427,4529,4528],"class_list":["post-36966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-atlanta-united","category-austin-fc","category-rapids","category-fc-cincinnati","category-fcd","category-dynamo","category-mls","category-premier-league","category-rsl","category-quakes","category-tfc","category-whitecaps","tag-english-championship","tag-english-premier-league","tag-inaugural-season","tag-youth-academy"],"modified_by":"Rachael Kriger, Senior Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1894"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36966"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36966\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/soccer\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}