{"id":146689,"date":"2025-11-22T00:00:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T05:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/?p=146689"},"modified":"2025-11-21T20:22:31","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T01:22:31","slug":"aew-full-gear-2025-predictions-winners-and-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/2025\/11\/22\/aew-full-gear-2025-predictions-winners-and-why\/","title":{"rendered":"AEW Full Gear 2025 Predictions: Winners and Why"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The table is set and ready to go for one of the four original All Elite Wrestling Pay-Per-Views. While AEW Full Gear has had better cards on paper before, AEW has had a fantastic track record of putting on \u201cshow of the year\u201d events month after month.<\/p>\n<p>The build-up has been significant \u2014 one of the best this year \u2014and the possibility of some great angles at Full Gear this year can go down as one of the best of the year. How will those angles unfold, and who will win? I am here to tell you. Let&#8217;s look at the Full Gear and break down who will win and why.<\/p>\n<h2><b>AEW World Championship Steel Cage Match: \u201cHangman\u201d Adam Page vs Samoa Joe<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: \u201cHangman\u201d Adam Page<\/strong><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\" align=\"center\" data-freestar-ad=\"__336x280 __300x250\">\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><strong>WHY:<\/strong> If you didn&#8217;t get enough chainlink fence or cages from <\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Blood and Guts<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, do we have some good news for you! &#8220;Hangman<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201d <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Adam Page is going to defend his AEW World Title against Samoa Joe in their second consecutive Pay-Per-View match. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">It&#8217;s hard to imagine that Joe will beat Hangman for the title, especially when you consider Joe already got his<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> \u201c<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">legacy<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201d <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">title run at the end of 2023. What won&#8217;t be hard to imagine is Hangman and Joe putting on an absolute masterclass. We are going to get a full-on psychopath Hangman who will do something unhinged.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Page mentioned his steel cage match against Swerve Strickland, where he stuck his mouth with a medical needle. Now add the AEW World Title and see what the Hangman is capable of. This win versus Joe should propel Page to his next rivalry. The Switchblade?<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_146637\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-146637\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-146637 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2025\/11\/11-47-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"A graphic for the AEW Full Gear 2025 preview.\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2025\/11\/11-47-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2025\/11\/11-47-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2025\/11\/11-47-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2025\/11\/11-47-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2025\/11\/11-47.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-146637\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo Credit: AEW<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>AEW Women\u2019s World Championship: Kris Statlander vs Mercedes Mone<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: Kris Statlander<\/strong><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\" align=\"center\" data-freestar-ad=\"__336x280 __300x250\">\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><strong>WHY: <\/strong>Although Kris Statlander will eventually win, it&#8217;s not hard to imagine a world in which Mercedes Mone finally wins the big one. Ultimately, however, the story Tony Khan and the creative team are going to tell is that, no matter how many titles she wins around the world, she can&#8217;t win the big one. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Mercedes will have lost a title shot versus Toni Storm and Statlander. The slow deterioration of her world, losing all her belts, one by one, will be the start of her road to the AEW Women\u2019s title. On the flip side, this will build up Statlander by giving the champion her first singles win over the C.E.O. A win over Mercedes will give her the push she needs to be the next great AEW Women\u2019s champion.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>AEW World Tag Team Championship: Brodido vs FTR<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: FTR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>WHY:<\/strong> Brodido, who started as a makeshift tag team, has become the heart and soul of the tag team division. A tag team division that was creatively lost and needed a jump start, and at every title defense, it seemed as though this was going to be the last one for Bandido and Brody King, but they kept winning, to fanfare. Unfortunately, this might be it for the crowd favorite tag team. FTR is the logical team to defeat Brodido.<\/p>\n<p>For FTR, their next major rivalry will be with Cope and Christian. Khan loves his \u201clegacy\u201d title runs, and that rivalry between the two teams has not concluded. CnC winning the titles off FTR makes much more sense than winning them off Brodido. Hopefully, this is the start of stellar singles runs for King and Bandido.<\/p>\n<h2><b>TNT Championship, NO DQ: Kyle Fletcher vs Mark Briscoe<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: Kyle Fletcher<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>WHY:<\/strong> Mark Briscoe could have the biggest win of his singles career and beat Kyle Fletcher for the TNT title, giving Briscoe his first singles title run in AEW. However, Fletcher is on the run of a lifetime, so Briscoe winning isn&#8217;t on the cards just yet. Briscoe, as a character, needs something different, and joining the Don Callis Family would be a good detour. It&#8217;s going to be really fun to see how Briscoe will mess with the Callis Family.<\/p>\n<p>What I do expect at the end of this\u2014to transition Fletcher to the World Title\u2014is for Briscoe to beat Fletcher for the title and for Fletcher to gain his freedom from the family. For this Saturday, it&#8217;s Briscoe joining the family after a match of the night contender.<\/p>\n<h2>Casino Gauntlet Match: Winner Will Determine the First-<strong>Ever AEW National Champion<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: Ricochet<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Why:<\/strong> This Casino Guanlet will be as fun as it is challenging to predict who will win. If we are to believe what was told to us by Tony Khan, the National Championship is what the International Title started as, a title that is defended across the world and in any promotion. Who would fit perfectly as this champion?<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, the winner will be Ricochet. Ricochet being squashed by Bobby Lashley was part of the plan for him to get a sneaky win. He would fit this role as AEW ambassador so fantastically that it almost doesn&#8217;t make sense to make him champion.<\/p>\n<p>As always, we will have some great returns and wrestlers we have never seen in an AEW ring. This could be a fantastic spot for Buddy Matthews. Could Andrade return? Probably not, but it could be cool. Having the Hurt Syndicate be the first two entrants in the Casino Gauntlet was a stroke of genius. Those two big hosses will bring the house down, and this will be our only shot at going against each other in AEW.<\/p>\n<h2><b>No Holds Barred: Kyle O&#8217;Reilly vs Jon Moxley<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: Kyle O&#8217;Reilly<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Why:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When you started to wonder if Jon Moxley was going to get on <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Full Gear,<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> we finally got the one-on-one match Kyle O\u2019Reilly has been asking for. Moxley, in a \u201cNo Holds Barred\u201d match, will be his classic psychotic self, but it will not be enough as O\u2019Reilly gets his singles win over Moxley.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The big storyline that is going to come out of this match is the Death Riders either finally realizing that Moxley is the weak link, or having known for a while and jumping him. Jump him just like they did Bryan Danielson. On his way down to Rock Bottom, Moxley is going to give O\u2019Reilly a massive push.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>PAC vs Darby Allin<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: Darby Allin<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><strong>Why:<\/strong> While every match on <\/span>Full Gear<span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> has a stipulation or gimmick, the game between PAC and Darby Allin is a straight, traditional bout. The Death Rider wants to remove Allin from his natural habitat, the chaotic, bells and whistles, and get him in a one-on-one match. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">PAC is the perfect opponent for Allin to prove he can win a regular wrestling match. PAC is not only one of the most athletic wrestlers in the world, but is also one of the strongest\u2014almost the perfect wrestler. Allin&#8217;s win in this match proves he can beat one of the best in the world without his tricks and gimmicks. This win will add another notch to his wrestling belt.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>$1,000,000 Match: Kenny Omega and Jurassic Express vs Josh Alexander and Young Bucks<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner: Kenny Omega and Jungle Express<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>WHY:<\/strong> Do the Young Bucks finally turn face again and reform the Elite with Kenny Omega, or do they join the Don Callis Family? The time is now for the Bucks to help their friend, who will be in need, and regroup as The Elite. Omega and Jurassic Express will get the win, but the Young Bucks will stop the Don Callis family&#8217;s beatdown of Omega. This will start the Bucks&#8217; redemption tour, which will have them turn back face. It&#8217;s time for them to return.<\/p>\n<p>I can see a double turn happening here. Could Jurassic Express turn its back on Omega, where the Bucks save them? The odds aren&#8217;t high, but it could happen.<\/p>\n<h2>4-Way Tag Match (Winning Team Picks AEW Women&#8217;s World Tag Team Title Tournament Semifinal Match Stipulation)<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Winner:\u00a0 Marina Shafir and Megan Bayne<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><strong>Why:<\/strong> This four-way match between the semi-finalists was set up to fail from the jump. It would be more successful just running the semi-final matches during <\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Full Gear<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, instead of shoehorning them into the PPV. However, the match is filled with great wrestlers who will make the most of their opportunities. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Megan Bayne and Marina Shafir are the favorites, so in kayfabe, it makes sense for them to win and set the stipulation. Furthering the appearance that they are going to win the first-ever AEW Women&#8217;s Tag Team titles.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><b>More From LWOS Pro Wrestling<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><i>Header photo \u2013 AEW\u00a0\u2013 Stay tuned to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"1\" target=\"_self\">Last Word on Pro Wrestling<\/a>\u00a0for more on AEW Full Gear 2025 and other stories from around the world of wrestling, as they develop. You can always count on LWOPW to be on top of the major news in the wrestling world. As well as to provide you with analysis, previews, videos, interviews, and editorials on the wrestling world.\u00a0 You can catch AEW Dynamite on Wednesday nights at 8 PM ET on TBS. AEW Collision airs Saturday at 8 pm Eastern on TNT. More AEW content available on their\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@AEW\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">YouTube<\/a><\/i><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The table is set and ready to go for one of the four original All Elite Wrestling Pay-Per-Views. While AEW Full Gear has had better cards on paper before, AEW has had a fantastic track record of putting on \u201cshow of the year\u201d events month after month. The build-up has been significant \u2014 one of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4155,"featured_media":146636,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4677,6],"tags":[8808],"class_list":["post-146689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aew","category-north-america","tag-aew-full-gear"],"modified_by":"Michael Joseph Sugue, Manager","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4155"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=146689"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146689\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":146762,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146689\/revisions\/146762"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/146636"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=146689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=146689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/prowrestling\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=146689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}