{"id":95469,"date":"2020-09-30T07:43:02","date_gmt":"2020-09-30T11:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/?p=95469"},"modified":"2020-09-30T07:46:49","modified_gmt":"2020-09-30T11:46:49","slug":"chase-winovich-exceptional-start-new-england-patriots","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2020\/09\/30\/chase-winovich-exceptional-start-new-england-patriots\/","title":{"rendered":"Chase Winovich Off to An Exceptional Start for New England Patriots"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/nfl-teams2\/patriots\/\" target=\"_self\">New England Patriots<\/a> parted ways with a lot of players from their historic 2019 defense. Over the course of the offseason, the team lost <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/V\/VanNKy00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kyle Van Noy<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/C\/CollJa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jamie Collins<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/R\/RobeEl00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Elandon Roberts<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/H\/HighDo01.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dont\u2019a Hightower<\/a>, <\/strong>and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/S\/ShelDa01.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Danny Shelton<\/a><\/strong> to either free agency or opt-outs. This massive front seven departure meant that somebody needed to step up, and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/W\/WinoCh00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chase Winovich<\/a><\/strong> has answered the call.<\/p>\n<h2>Chase Winovich Making the Leap in Year 2<\/h2>\n<p>While Winovich obviously isn\u2019t capable of replacing all of the aforementioned players (no single player could do that), the Michigan product has made the proverbial Year 2 leap. Widely considered a steal during the 2019 NFL Draft, Winovich spent the majority of his rookie season coming off the bench. He looked good when on the field, but couldn\u2019t break into the starting lineup. You can\u2019t really blame him for this, as last year\u2019s defense was one of the best in recent memory. That said, this lack of playing time made him something of an unknown heading into 2020.<\/p>\n<p>So far, Winovich has eliminated the doubt and proven that he is a true three-down starter in this league. Through the first three weeks of the season, Winovich has 1.5 sacks, five quarterback hits, and one tackle-for-loss. While the traditional numbers don\u2019t jump off the screen, the advanced stats imply that Winovich is one of the best edge defenders in the league.<\/p>\n<p>Using NFL Next Gen tracking data, ESPN has come up with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SethWalder\/status\/1311030557996974082?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">two metrics<\/a> designed to recognize efficiency in the run and pass game: Run Stop Win Rate and Pass Rush Win Rate. These metrics, for all intents and purposes, exist to show how often a defensive lineman wins their respective assignment in the run and pass game. Through three weeks, Winovich has the third-highest Run Stop Win Rate among qualifying edge defenders and is tied for fifth in Pass Rush Win Rate.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">First one of these of the year!<\/p>\n<p>Run Stop Win Rate while at edge (x) by Pass Rush Win Rate (y) while at edge. <\/p>\n<p>ESPN metrics, NFL Next Gen Stats data. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5XpFKY2Gce\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/5XpFKY2Gce<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Seth Walder (@SethWalder) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SethWalder\/status\/1311030557996974082?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">September 29, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>These metrics are far from perfect, but they\u2019re a good general barometer for defensive line play. On the chart in the attached tweet, Winovich\u2019s numbers are closest to <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/M\/MackKh00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Khalil Mack<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/B\/BosaJo00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joey Bosa<\/a><\/strong>, and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/G\/GrahBr99.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brandon Graham<\/a><\/strong>. Not bad company for the second-year pro.<\/p>\n<h3>Pro Football Focus Grading<\/h3>\n<p>While ESPN\u2019s metrics can give a rough idea of defensive line play, Pro Football Focus is probably the more accurate indicator of talent. The fine folks at PFF grade every single snap from every single game and generally provide more context and nuance than ESPN metrics can provide.<\/p>\n<p>PFF isn\u2019t quite as high on Chase Winovich, but they still have him as one of the best edge defenders in football. According to their grading, Winovich is currently the ED24, right behind old friend <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/C\/ClayAd00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Adrian Clayborn<\/a><\/strong> and two spots ahead of future Hall of Famer <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/W\/WattJ.00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">J.J. Watt<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s interesting about Winovich\u2019s grade is that he seems to be held back by his run blocking. Winovich has an overall grade of 70.2, but a below-average run grade of 41.2. This is curious, as ESPN has Winovich as one of the NFL\u2019s elite run defenders.<\/p>\n<p>A possible explanation for this disparity could lie in how the Patriots use Winovich. PFF grades encompass every single snap that a player has, while ESPN\u2019s data only accounts for plays on the edge. The New England Patriots love to move their defensive linemen all around the formation, and they even had Winovich <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_AndrewCallahan\/status\/1305565256635297792?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">playing some nose tackle<\/a> at the beginning of the season.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s entirely possible that Winovich is a good run defender when aligned on the edge, but simply doesn\u2019t have the size required to hold up to run blocks on the interior. New England never found an adequate replacement for Danny Shelton, so Winovich is probably playing more inside snaps than he should. This could change with the return of <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/A\/AlleBe00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Beau Allen<\/a><\/strong>, which means that Winovich should be free to roam the edge and continue his great play.<\/p>\n<p>Main photo:<br \/>\n<a id=\"T_jDoYqaQnN8j2FXNG7P1Q\" class=\"gie-single\" style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1277026265\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'T_jDoYqaQnN8j2FXNG7P1Q',sig:'aOYEQvQFQN0cFTIS3ibSozEP1WBP7UuFc8yJrbQpQi0=',w:'594px',h:'391px',items:'1277026265',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New England Patriots edge defender Chase Winovich is steadily turning into one of the better defensive linemen in football<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2376,"featured_media":95470,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[6251,1066,5093,1661,61,202,989,1018,358,3267,38,40],"class_list":["post-95469","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-patriots","tag-beau-allen","tag-brandon-graham","tag-chase-winovich","tag-donta-hightower","tag-football","tag-j-j-watt","tag-jamie-collins","tag-joey-bosa","tag-khalil-mack","tag-kyle-van-noy","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-nfl"],"modified_by":"David Latham, Managing Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95469","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2376"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95469"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95469\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95470"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95469"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95469"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95469"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}