{"id":90814,"date":"2020-06-29T21:28:36","date_gmt":"2020-06-30T01:28:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/?p=90814"},"modified":"2020-06-29T21:28:53","modified_gmt":"2020-06-30T01:28:53","slug":"rb1-opportunity-share-series-afc-south","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2020\/06\/29\/rb1-opportunity-share-series-afc-south\/","title":{"rendered":"RB1 Opportunity Share Series: AFC South"},"content":{"rendered":"

If I was given one wish for the 2020 Fantasy Football season, it would be to properly handicap the RB1 opportunity share for every NFL team. That position is the most critical this season, with an overwhelming number of running backs being drafted in the first two rounds. When projecting the opportunity share for the upcoming season, it is important to include several different factors.<\/p>\n

Projecting RB1 Opportunity Share for Each NFL Team: AFC South<\/h2>\n

Most fantasy drafters simply examine the running back opportunity share based on past performance and if a new running back was added to the depth chart. Those factors are not nearly as important as how that running back performed last season in games they were healthy and received the majority of touches. Even if a reduced sample, it provides the best window into the potential opportunity share for the 2020 season.<\/p>\n

For each team’s projected starting running back, I listed the opportunity share from the 2019 season in games they started and did not leave due to injury. For players that joined new teams (i.e Todd Gurley<\/a><\/strong> in Atlanta), I used the stats from last year’s primary starting running back (i.e. Devonta Freeman<\/a><\/strong>). While the skill set may not match perfectly, it gives us a strong projection of usage for 2020.<\/p>\n

In this eight-part series, we will examine the projected lead running backs for each NFL division. Let\u2019s examine with the AFC South.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Houston Texans<\/h3>\n

2019 RB: Carlos Hyde<\/a><\/strong>
\nGames:<\/strong> 16
\nRushes:<\/strong> 59.61%
\nRushing Yards:<\/strong> 59.61%
\nTargets:<\/strong> 3.09%
\nReceptions:<\/strong> 2.82%
\nReceiving Yards:<\/strong> 1.03%
\nTouchdowns:<\/strong> 13.64%
\n2020 RB1: David Johnson<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

In 2019, Carlos Hyde produced:<\/p>\n

-Four RB2 or better wks
-The 12th most total RB rushing yds (1070)
-The 15th most Red Zone touches (37)
-Just 3.1% of the target share
-Microscopic 1.03% of the receiving yards<\/p>\n

David Johnson (ADP RB21) should be massive improvement <\/p>\n

Buying\ud83d\udc47 pic.twitter.com\/3FcNGO1f4w<\/a><\/p>\n

— For The Numbers (@OldSchool0909) June 13, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n