If I was given one wish for the 2020 Fantasy Football season, it would be to properly handicap the RB1 opportunity share for every NFL team. That position is the most critical this season, with an overwhelming number of running backs being drafted in the first two rounds. When projecting the opportunity share for the upcoming season, it is important to include several different factors.<\/p>\n
Most fantasy drafters simply examine the running back opportunity share based on past performance and if a new running back was added to the depth chart. Those factors are not nearly as important as how that running back performed last season in games they were healthy and received the majority of touches. Even if a reduced sample, it provides the best window into the potential opportunity share for the 2020 season.<\/p>\n
For each team’s projected starting running back, I listed the opportunity share from the 2019 season in games they started and did not leave due to injury. For players that joined new teams (i.e Todd Gurley<\/a><\/strong>), I used the stats from last year’s primary starting running back (i.e. Devonta Freeman<\/a><\/strong>). While the skill set may not match perfectly, it gives us a strong projection of usage for 2020.<\/p>\n In this eight-part series, we will examine the projected lead running backs and RB1 opportunity share for each NFL division. Let\u2019s examine with the NFC North.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n 2019 RB: David Montgomery<\/a><\/strong> #Bears<\/a> RB David Montgomery is a virtual LOCK for 240 carries. There have been 125 running backs who\u2019ve hit that mark over the last 10 years. Guess how many of them finished worse than RB25? None. That\u2019s his current draft position.<\/p>\n — Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL) June 12, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\nChicago Bears<\/h3>\n
\nGames:<\/strong> 16
\nRushes:<\/strong> 61.27%
\nRushing Yards:<\/strong> 60.97%
\nTargets:<\/strong> 6.18%
\nReceptions:<\/strong> 6.74%
\nReceiving Yards:<\/strong> 5.18%
\nTouchdowns:<\/strong> 25%
\n2020 RB1:<\/strong>\u00a0 David Montgomery<\/p>\n\n