{"id":79755,"date":"2020-01-21T16:34:46","date_gmt":"2020-01-21T21:34:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/?p=79755"},"modified":"2021-06-01T05:14:04","modified_gmt":"2021-06-01T09:14:04","slug":"fantasy-football-running-back-rankings-irresponsibly-early","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2020\/01\/21\/fantasy-football-running-back-rankings-irresponsibly-early\/","title":{"rendered":"Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings – Irresponsibly Early Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 2019 season isn\u2019t officially over yet, but that won\u2019t stop the fantasy football<\/a> community from looking ahead to 2020. Whether you took home a league championship or not, it\u2019s never too early to start getting prepared for the upcoming fantasy football season. With that in mind, let\u2019s take a way-too-early look at the fantasy football running back rankings.<\/p>\n

Obviously, this list is coming out prior to free agency and the NFL Draft. Anything can happen during those two events, so don\u2019t look at this list as gospel. Instead, use it as a general guideline for what to expect from 2019\u2019s stars heading into 2020. Also note that incoming rookies have not been included on this list, even though there are quite a few prospects who should be able to start right out of the gate.<\/p>\n

Way-Too-Early Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Alone At the Top<\/h3>\n

1. Christian McCaffrey<\/strong><\/p>\n

Duh. Christian McCaffrey<\/a><\/strong> had one of the greatest fantasy football seasons in history last year. Running backs are typically dependent upon their situation, but McCaffrey managed to produce in suboptimal conditions. He was arguably Carolina\u2019s best receiver, easily their best runner, and managed to be the clear-cut RB1 despite catching passes from Kyle Allen<\/a>, Will Grier<\/a>,<\/strong> and the corpse of Cam Newton<\/a><\/strong> for the entirety of the season. Don\u2019t worry about the coaching change \u2013 barring injury, there is no way McCaffrey shouldn\u2019t be the first overall pick in every fantasy draft.<\/p>\n

Not Quite McCaffrey<\/h3>\n

2. Saquon Barkley<\/strong>
\n3. Nick Chubb
\n<\/strong>4. Dalvin Cook
\n<\/strong>5. Ezekiel Elliott
\n<\/strong>6. Alvin Kamara
\n<\/strong>7. Joe Mixon<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s anyone\u2019s guess as to who is going to be the second-best running back in fantasy football. Saquon Barkley<\/a><\/strong> is the safest bet, as he has the talent to make huge plays in both facets of the game and has the draft pedigree to ensure a massive workload. First-year head coach Joe Judge<\/strong> appears to be an old-school type, and offensive coordinator Jason Garrett<\/a><\/strong> has a long history of building around running backs.<\/p>\n

Nick Chubb<\/a> <\/strong>is my RB3 assuming Kareem Hunt<\/a><\/strong> leaves for greener pastures. Chubb was averaging 18 fantasy points per game without Hunt, and that number could go up with an improved offense led by Kevin Stefanski<\/strong>. Dalvin Cook<\/a><\/strong> is a superstar with full control of the backfield, but health is a major concern with the fourth-year runner.<\/p>\n

Ezekiel Elliott<\/a><\/strong> needs no explanation, although Mike McCarthy<\/strong>\u2019s pass-heavy philosophy could endanger his overall ceiling. Alvin Kamara<\/a><\/strong> experienced an absurd amount of touchdown regression and is actually a positive regression candidate. The Cincinnati Bengals are probably going to select Joe Burrow<\/strong> in the upcoming NFL Draft, and his presence should allow Mixon to have a great season.<\/p>\n

Breakout Candidates<\/h3>\n

8. Josh Jacobs<\/strong>
\n9. Miles Sanders<\/strong>
\n10. Kenyan Drake<\/strong>
\n11. Devin Singletary<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s hard to envision Josh Jacobs<\/a><\/strong> and Miles Sanders<\/a><\/strong> not leading their respective backfields in 2020. Both teams invested significant draft capital into the position and both players showed more than enough to earn the teams trust moving forward. Kenyan Drake<\/a><\/strong> finally escaped Miami and looked like the real deal with the Cardinals. Assuming he re-signs, he should flourish with a developing Kyler Murray<\/a><\/strong>. Devin Singletary<\/a><\/strong> might not have full control of the backfield like Jacobs or be in a high-powered offense like Sanders, but he should play a large role in Buffalo\u2019s offense next year.<\/p>\n

Negative Regression Candidates<\/h3>\n

12. Aaron Jones<\/strong>
\n13. Derrick Henry<\/strong><\/p>\n

Aaron Jones<\/a><\/strong> and Derrick Henry<\/a><\/strong> are both phenomenal talents, but both players are due for some negative regression. Even with Matt LaFleur <\/strong>calling the shots, Aaron Jones can still not escape the dreaded committee approach. He scored touchdowns at an unsustainable rate, and that\u2019s going to come down in 2020. Additionally, Aaron Rodgers<\/a><\/strong> simply doesn\u2019t look like the same guy anymore, so scoring opportunities might be limited next year.<\/p>\n

Derrick Henry carried the Titans to the AFC Championship Game, but he won\u2019t be the same unstoppable force in 2020. Including the postseason, Henry recorded 409 touches in 2019, and that is bad news for his 2020 outlook. According to Football Outsiders<\/a>, just about every running back that eclipses 370 touches in a season suffers terrible regression or injury in the following season. If Henry is going to be effective, he\u2019ll have to fight off history as well as some natural touchdown regression. As if that wasn\u2019t enough, he doesn\u2019t make plays in the passing game and might be on a new team next year. If you’re in a dynasty league, he’s the perfect sell-high candidate<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Uninspiring Veterans<\/h3>\n

14. Leonard Fournette<\/strong>
\n15. Chris Carson<\/strong>
\n16. Todd Gurley<\/strong>
\n17. James Conner<\/strong><\/p>\n

Leonard Fournette<\/a><\/strong> isn\u2019t a good running back, but he\u2019s the only one in town, has a guaranteed workload and is a positive touchdown regression candidate. Assuming the Jaguars don\u2019t add another running back, he should be a safe low-end RB1\/high-end RB2. Chris Carson<\/a><\/strong> still remains the lead back in a run-heavy offense, which means he\u2019ll always have some fantasy value. Todd Gurley<\/a><\/strong> earned a larger role as the season progressed, but the Rams don\u2019t know what they want to be on offense, and Gurley\u2019s knee is still too much of a risk to trust. James Conner<\/a><\/strong> is good when he\u2019s on the field, but you can\u2019t trust him to stay on the field. Don\u2019t be surprised if the Steelers draft somebody to be the lead running back of the future.<\/p>\n

Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings – Too Many Unknowns<\/h3>\n

18. Austin Ekeler<\/strong>
\n19. Melvin Gordon<\/strong>
\n20. Kareem Hunt<\/strong><\/p>\n

Austin Ekeler<\/a><\/strong> and Melvin Gordon<\/a><\/strong> will probably both be higher on the fantasy football running back rankings when free agency happens. Gordon is probably on his way out of Los Angeles, and Ekeler is probably sticking around. If that happens, Ekeler is going into the \u201cNot Quite McCaffrey\u201d category while Gordon probably ends in \u201cUninspiring Veteran\u201d. However, there is a chance the Chargers re-sign both players and plummet their individual fantasy values. Additionally, Philip Rivers<\/a><\/strong> probably won\u2019t be back, and the uncertainty at quarterback makes it hard to trust whichever player ends up starting for Los Angeles. Rivers might not be his old self, but he\u2019s still better than a Case Keenum<\/a><\/strong>-level quarterback.<\/p>\n

Likewise, Kareem Hunt has the talent to be a top-10 running back if he earns a starting position. At this point, however, it’s too dangerous to assume that he’s going to land a job as the leader of a backfield.<\/p>\n

Main photo:
\nEmbed from Getty Images<\/a>