{"id":76452,"date":"2019-11-19T07:05:28","date_gmt":"2019-11-19T12:05:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/?p=76452"},"modified":"2024-04-25T11:26:22","modified_gmt":"2024-04-25T15:26:22","slug":"nfl-week-12-spreads-over-under-betting-odds-game-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2019\/11\/19\/nfl-week-12-spreads-over-under-betting-odds-game-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 12 Spreads, Over\/Under, Betting Odds, Game Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"

11 weeks on NFL action are in the books, and Vegas just released<\/a> their NFL Week 12 spreads and over\/unders. Let\u2019s take a dive into each matchup, break down the games, and decide which side to bet on.<\/p>\n

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-3.5)<\/h3>\n

Deshaun Watson<\/a><\/strong> had one of the worst games of his career in Week 11, but that\u2019s an outlier performance. By and large, Watson has been incredible and he should return to his elite level of play against the Colts. Indianapolis has a fine defense, but Watson should be able to do what he wants offensively. Even without J.J. Watt<\/a><\/strong>, Jacoby Brissett<\/a> <\/strong>is going to struggle to keep up with Houston\u2019s high-powered offense.<\/p>\n

Pick: Texans win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 45.5 [Pick: Over]<\/p>\n

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-9.5)<\/h3>\n

The NFL has figured out Kyle Allen<\/a><\/strong>. The former undrafted free agent has played as well as anyone could have hoped, but teams are starting to figure out what does and doesn\u2019t work against him. Over his last four games, Allen is completing just 58.6% of his passes for 255 yards per game, three touchdowns, and nine interceptions. New Orleans has the defensive personnel to make Allen struggle again, and the Panthers defense probably won\u2019t be able to stop Drew Brees<\/a>, Michael Thomas<\/a>, <\/strong>and Alvin Kamara<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Pick: Saints win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 47 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (-4)<\/h3>\n

Brandon Allen<\/a><\/strong> has played well during his two games under center and might actually be an upgrade over Joe Flacco<\/a><\/strong>. The Denver Broncos are out of the playoff hunt, but they\u2019re a much better team than their 4-6 record indicates. Four of their losses have come by four points or fewer, so this team is capable of putting up a fight. The Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, aren\u2019t as good as their record indicates thanks to their unsustainably-high winning percentage in close games. The Bills should come away with the victory, but it\u2019s going to be close.<\/p>\n

Pick: Bills win, don\u2019t cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 37 [Pick: Over]<\/p>\n

Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Washington Redskins<\/h3>\n

With or without Matthew Stafford<\/a><\/strong>, the Detroit Lions should be in good shape in this one. The Washington Redskins finally broke their touchdown-free streak in Week 11, but that doesn\u2019t mean this is suddenly a good offense. Bill Callahan<\/a><\/strong> is still a bad coach, Dwayne Haskins<\/a><\/strong> still isn\u2019t capable of carrying a team, and Washington still doesn\u2019t have any good playmakers outside of Terry McLaurin<\/a><\/strong>. Stafford was playing like a top-10 quarterback before his injury, and Jeff Driskel<\/a><\/strong> has been adequate in his absence.<\/p>\n

Pick: Lions win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 42 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-10.5)<\/h3>\n

The Cleveland Browns finally showed some signs of life on Thursday Night Football, while the Miami Dolphins broke their two-game winning streak. Despite both teams trending in their expected projections, a spread this large is too much to bet against. Ryan Fitzpatrick<\/a><\/strong> is playing well, and the Miami Dolphins as a whole are trying to win games. The Browns aren\u2019t completely fixed yet, so this game should be relatively close.<\/p>\n

Pick: Browns win, don\u2019t cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 44 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

New York Giants at Chicago Bears (-6.5)<\/h3>\n

The Chicago Bears are the biggest disappointments in the league and enter Week 12 as huge underdogs to the underwhelming New York Giants. Mitchell Trubisky<\/a><\/strong> is terrible, and backup quarterback Chase Daniel<\/a><\/strong> isn\u2019t much better. Head coach Matt Nagy<\/strong> doesn\u2019t have a good choice under center, so it\u2019s hard to imagine Chicago\u2019s offense finding life under either quarterback. That said, Chicago still has a strong defense and Daniel Jones<\/a> <\/strong>loves to turn the ball over. This one should be close, and Chicago should pull a close win.<\/p>\n

Pick: Bears win, don’t cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 40.5 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Oakland Raiders (-3) at New York Jets<\/h3>\n

The New York Jets are starting to heat up and face off against an Oakland Raiders squad which finds itself in the thick of the playoff hunt. Despite their record, the Raiders have yet to win a game by more than eight points despite facing off against some uninspiring competition. Derek Carr<\/a><\/strong> is playing well, but the defense is one of the worst in the league. This one could turn into a decent shootout, and the Jets should continue their winning streak thanks to Sam Darnold<\/a><\/strong>\u2019s recent run of improved play.<\/p>\n

Pick: Jets win<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 45.5 [Pick: Over]<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) at Cincinnati Bengals<\/h3>\n

Mason Rudolph<\/a><\/strong> will play in Week 12, but he won\u2019t have Mike Pouncey<\/a><\/strong> along the offensive line. That won\u2019t really matter, as the Steelers face off against what is easily the worst team in the league. Ryan Finley<\/a><\/strong> is not an NFL starter, and nobody short of peak Peyton Manning<\/a><\/strong> could succeed in this dumpster fire of an offense. Pittsburgh\u2019s turnover-happy defense might outscore the Bengals offense altoghter, so anything Rudolph does is just icing on the cake.<\/p>\n

Pick: Steelers win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 39 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-2)<\/h3>\n

Why are the Eagles<\/a> favored in this one? Seattle might not have a great defense or running game, but that doesn\u2019t matter when Russell Wilson<\/a><\/strong> is your quarterback. Outside of MAYBE<\/em> Lamar Jackson<\/a><\/strong>, nobody in football does more to help their team win than the one-time Super Bowl champion. Wilson is playing at an elite level, while Carson Wentz<\/a><\/strong> and company just can\u2019t get all the pieces clicking on offense. Lane Johnson<\/a><\/strong> might not play in this one, and Wentz is measurably worse without his trusty right tackle.<\/p>\n

Pick: Seahawks win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 48 [Pick: Over]<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-4.5)<\/h3>\n

Turns out removing Dan Quinn<\/strong> from the equation is all it took to fix the Atlanta Falcons defense. While it\u2019s too late for the Falcons to make a playoff push, they can still save their coaches job with a strong finish. The defense just forced four interceptions in Week 11 and now gets to face off against turnover-prone Jameis Winston<\/a><\/strong>. Matt Ryan<\/a><\/strong> and company should have no problem moving the ball against Tampa Bay\u2019s terrible secondary and should win this one comfortably.<\/p>\n

Pick: Falcons win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 51.5 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3)<\/h3>\n

Nick Foles<\/a><\/strong> is back, but he sure didn\u2019t look like an improvement over Gardner Minshew<\/a><\/strong> in Week 11. The former Super Bowl MVP is one of the most volatile passers in the league, so you never know what you\u2019re going to get on a weekly basis. Ryan Tannehill<\/a><\/strong>, meanwhile, has quietly played well as a game manager for the Titans. Jacksonville\u2019s defense is good, but they\u2019re not an elite unit like they were in 2017. This one will be relatively close, but the Titans should win by a touchdown.<\/p>\n

Pick: Titans win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 41.5 [Pick: Over]<\/p>\n

Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (-6)<\/h3>\n

The New England Patriots offense is not nearly as good as what we\u2019re used to seeing. Tom Brady<\/a><\/strong> doesn\u2019t have a single reliable weapon outside of Julian Edelman<\/a>,<\/strong> the offensive line is a mess, and the running game is nonexistent. The defense is fantastic, but every defense can be picked apart by an elite quarterback. Dak Prescott<\/a><\/strong> is playing at a ridiculously high level and should find some success through the air. Picking the Patriots to lose in Foxboro is never a good idea, but this game is going to be close.<\/p>\n

Pick: Patriots win, don\u2019t cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 46 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-3)<\/h3>\n

Jimmy Garoppolo<\/a><\/strong> would be the MVP if he could exclusively play the Arizona Cardinals. Unfortunately for him, he has to face off against other teams. The former second-round pick has struggled when facing teams that actually field a remotely competent defense, and Green Bay should be able to confuse the 49ers franchise passer. Aaron Rodgers<\/a><\/strong>, meanwhile, might struggle to find success through the air against San Francisco\u2019s elite secondary. This projects as another close game, but the Packers should prevail.<\/p>\n

Pick: Packers win<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 46 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Los Angeles Rams<\/h3>\n

How is the spread this close?\u00a0Lamar Jackson looks unstoppable and\u00a0Jared Goff<\/a><\/strong> looks like a pumpkin. The NFL figured out\u00a0Sean McVay<\/strong>, and the one-time wonder boy doesn’t know how to adapt. This is the easiest pick of them all, take the Ravens and the points.<\/p>\n

Pick: Ravens win, cover spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Over\/Under: 46.5 [Pick: Under]<\/p>\n

Main photo:
\nEmbed from Getty Images<\/a>