{"id":69209,"date":"2019-07-29T08:00:52","date_gmt":"2019-07-29T12:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/?p=69209"},"modified":"2019-07-28T23:09:27","modified_gmt":"2019-07-29T03:09:27","slug":"nfc-north-award-predictions-part-ii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2019\/07\/29\/nfc-north-award-predictions-part-ii\/","title":{"rendered":"NFC North Award Predictions: Part II"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Making award predictions is as much an off-season staple as festivals and cookouts. Normally, this includes possible candidates from across the NFL. But for this, the second part of our exercise, we will be awarding the NFC North.\u00a0The standard awards like MVP and Defensive Player of the Year are present but also included are Most Improved and Newcomer of the Year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/2019\/07\/25\/nfc-north-award-predictions-part-i\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Part I<\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Predicting NFC North Award Winners &#8211; Part II<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3>Breakout Player of the Year: Dalvin Cook<\/h3>\n<p>It has been a rough couple of years for <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/C\/CookDa01.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dalvin Cook<\/a><\/strong>. After being drafted 41st overall in 2017, the running back has missed more regular-season games (17) than he has played in (15). Durability (and other) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.twincities.com\/2017\/05\/01\/nfl-draft-vikings-snagging-dalvin-cook-was-a-steal-experts-agree\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">concerns preceded<\/a> Cook into the NFL and the <a href=\"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/nfl-teams\/vikings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Minnesota Vikings<\/a> are taking no chances. They drafted <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/2019\/03\/01\/alexander-mattison-2019-nfl-draft-profile\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alex Mattison<\/a><\/strong> out of Boise State in the third round.<\/p>\n<p>Cook was considered a first-round talent coming out of college and when he&#8217;s healthy it is easy to see why. Of those 15 games he has played, he had at least 10 carries and four receptions five times, with another game with nine carries and eight receptions. Perhaps Mattison will be a good thing for Cook. Either as motivation or even a partner to split the workload and keep the latter fresh.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Vikings?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#Vikings<\/a> running back Dalvin Cook (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/dalvincook?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@dalvincook<\/a>) shares his expectations headed into his 3rd pro season fully healthy. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2dE59cwVti\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/2dE59cwVti<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Blake DeVine (@bladevine) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bladevine\/status\/1155575704119054336?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 28, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Minnesota invested in their offensive line this off-season, adding <a href=\"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/2019\/03\/17\/garrett-bradbury-2019-nfl-draft-profile\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Garrett Bradbury<\/strong><\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/dru-samia-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Dru Samia<\/strong><\/a> in the draft and signing <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/J\/JoneBr04.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brett Jones<\/a><\/strong>. That was to help <strong>Kirk Cousins<\/strong> too, but boosting the running game would boost the entire offense. From taking the air out of the ball and chewing clock to being a safety valve for his quarterback.<\/p>\n<p>The Vikings have lofty goals. They regressed last season despite spending big. Any hopes of a resurgence will require Cousins to play his best ball, and that will require a solid ground game. All quarterbacks benefit from that, but Cousins has shown he thrives when the conditions are right. What better way to ensure that than to control the game with the running backs?<\/p>\n<h3>Rookie of the Year: David Montgomery<\/h3>\n<p>Most often this would be broken into both an offensive and a defensive selection. For the purpose of this article, it will be a single player. That player is Bears rookie running back <a href=\"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/2019\/03\/12\/david-montgomery-2019-nfl-draft-profile\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>David Montgomery<\/strong><\/a>, a third-round choice out of Iowa State. With a body better suited to handle a lot of carries than <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/C\/CoheTa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tarik Cohen<\/a><\/strong> and better ability as a receiver than his predecessor, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/H\/HowaJo00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jordan Howard<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Montgomery led the FBS in forced missed tackles each of the last two seasons. On top of that, he had 2,362 rushing yards, 453 receiving yards (on 58 receptions), and 24 touchdowns. Howard, in his lone season under <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/coaches\/NagyMa0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Matt Nagy<\/strong><\/a>, rushed for a career-low 935 yards and 3.7 yards per carry. That was his second year with diminishing returns. He also provided little as a receiver.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">These two running plays by David Montgomery illustrate how tough he is to tackle. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Z6LwyUlvDJ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/Z6LwyUlvDJ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; \ud835\ude70\ud835\ude95\ud835\ude8d\ud835\ude98 \ud835\ude76\ud835\ude8a\ud835\ude97\ud835\ude8d\ud835\ude92\ud835\ude8a (@AldoBarkeeper) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AldoBarkeeper\/status\/1155567853774524418?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 28, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=DaviMi01,DaviMi20,DaviMi21&amp;search=Mike+Davis&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mike Davis<\/a><\/strong> joined the Bears this off-season coming over from the <a href=\"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/nfl-teams\/seahawks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Seattle Seahawks<\/a> and he will siphon some of the carries. But he is a career backup on his third team in five years with a career-high of 112 carries. He does possess some of the dual-threat ability that the Bears brass likes about Montgomery and he was one of the first signings of the off-season. It still <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/news\/story\/0ap3000001034880\/article\/bears-excited-by-david-montgomerys-tacklebreaking\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">sounds like<\/a> he will be a backup to the rookie and Cohen.<\/p>\n<p>Draft pedigree is also working in Montgomery\u2019s favor, which is not normally the case for third-round picks. When that is a team\u2019s first in the draft, and they trade up to make it, then things are a little different. A concern could be his heavy college workload (515 carries the last two years) and his lack of top-end speed (4.63 40) being why he had to break so many tackles. Still, of all the award predictions, this could be the biggest runaway.<\/p>\n<h3>Defensive Player of the Year: Danielle Hunter<\/h3>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/H\/HuntDa01.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Danielle Hunter<\/a><\/strong> led the NFC North in sacks last season and could have an even bigger year in 2019-20. For one thing, he recorded six of his sacks with fellow pass-rusher <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/G\/GrifEv99.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Everson Griffen<\/a><\/strong> out of commission, it stands to reason that Griffen\u2019s presence will provide even more opportunities for the fifth-year end. Hunter could challenge for the league-lead in sacks after finishing fourth last year.<\/p>\n<p>The Vikings finished a disappointing 2018 with an (8-7-1) record. Any hope for a return to prominence (they won the division the year prior) will need a resurgence from the defense. In terms of yardage, they were still third against the pass in 2018 but fell to 15th against the run. The year before they ranked second in both categories.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Danielle Hunter in hot pursuit of Kirk Cousins. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/VikingsCamp?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#VikingsCamp<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FOX9?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@FOX9<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MIEUWMKnDm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/MIEUWMKnDm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Jeff Wald (@JeffWaldFox9) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JeffWaldFox9\/status\/1154844443960324097?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 26, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Minnesota\u2019s offense finding its way would go a long way towards the defense return to dominance. A better rushing attack and Cousins better protecting the football would alleviate the pressure on a defense. It is not like they have to turnaround a bottom-of-the-league unit, just get back to playing their brand of defense.<\/p>\n<p>Hunter has been such a steal for the Vikings that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pff.com\/news\/draft-prospects-pff-was-too-low-on-in-the-nfl-drafts-over-the-past-five-years\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pro Football Focus<\/a> admitted they missed on him. They were not alone; his own team did not take him until the third round (88th overall) of the 2015 NFL Draft. If he can fight off the fluctuating sack totals he has experienced so far in his career, he has a clear path to making this award prediction a reality.<\/p>\n<h2>Most Valuable Player: Aaron Rodgers<\/h2>\n<p>Do you know how many quarterbacks have passed for at least 4,400 yards, 25 touchdowns, with only two interceptions in a season? There has been just one: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/R\/RodgAa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Aaron Rodgers<\/a><\/strong>. Rodgers&#8217; season was wasted with the team going a disheartening 6-9-1 That resulted in a coaching change and a lot of chatter about Rodgers role in the team\u2019s poor season.<\/p>\n<p>A season for the ages could be coming next. One that can be properly capitalized on thanks to defensive reinforcements. Green Bay\u2019s defense allowed more points last year than they have since 2013. Rodgers missed nine games in 2017 with a broken clavicle. It looked like he would miss time last year too when he suffered a sprained MCL and fractured knee.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&quot;Nobody&#39;s talking about us.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>And <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AaronRodgers?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@AaronRodgers<\/a> likes it that way. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/NFLTrainingCamp?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#NFLTrainingCamp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcfa: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nflnetwork?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@nflnetwork<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TRYli7M5JB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/TRYli7M5JB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NFL (@NFL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NFL\/status\/1154456133567823872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 25, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Rodgers played the entire season on one leg. This season he gets a new head coach and play-caller in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/coaches\/LaFlMa0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Matt LaFleur<\/strong><\/a> and their relationship has already had its fair share of controversy. Assuming that is all behind them, look for the Packers offense to be more creative and up-tempo. LaFleur comes from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/coaches\/ShanKy0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Kyle Shanahan<\/strong><\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/coaches\/McVaSe0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Sean McVay<\/strong><\/a> schools of coaching.<\/p>\n<p>Rodgers&#8217; down year (he passed for his fewest touchdowns in a full season) was further marred by in-fighting and a depleted defense. Green Bay <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/robreischel\/2019\/07\/28\/packers-anxious-to-put-last-two-years-behind-them\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">believes<\/a> it has addressed both of those issues. All that is left is keeping Rodgers upright. If they have done enough on that front, the last of our award predictions sees a return of Rodgers circa 2014 or 2016.<\/p>\n<h3>NFC North Award Predictions<\/h3>\n<p>This concludes the two-part NFC North award predictions. We have covered everything from Executive of the Year to MVP. Now to see how the season actually plays out. How would you dole out the accolades for the division?<\/p>\n<p>Stats and info provided by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pro-Football-Reference.com<\/a> unless otherwise noted.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"JdS2LOS0TtZDONAVMAjv-g\" class=\"gie-single\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1088338212\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'JdS2LOS0TtZDONAVMAjv-g',sig:'j0MQJ5RpuDnH9E6fOim5hqsKuud7QEogXeF5ZGblxXo=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1088338212',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In part two of our NFC North award predictions, we get to rookie of the year and MVP. Also included are breakout player and defensive player of the year. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2879,"featured_media":69252,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[23,24,2,25,26],"tags":[275,42,1586,1304,4828,43,61,44,45,40],"class_list":["post-69209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bears","category-lions","category-featured","category-packers","category-vikings","tag-aaron-rodgers","tag-chicago-bears","tag-dalvin-cook","tag-danielle-hunter","tag-david-montgomery","tag-detroit-lions","tag-football","tag-green-bay-packers","tag-minnesota-vikings","tag-nfl"],"modified_by":"John Bava","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2879"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69209"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69209\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69252"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}