{"id":49105,"date":"2018-09-10T16:44:01","date_gmt":"2018-09-10T20:44:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lwosonnfl.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/?p=49105"},"modified":"2021-05-30T20:29:09","modified_gmt":"2021-05-31T00:29:09","slug":"nfl-week-one-overreactions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2018\/09\/10\/nfl-week-one-overreactions\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week One Overreactions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Each Monday I will be putting together some overreactions from the weekend\u2019s slate of NFL games. They might be reasonable, with stats and numbers to back them up. They also could be completely from the hip. All of them will have reasoning behind them. Either way, we are going to spend each Monday bringing you a couple of hot takes based on that particular week&#8217;s games. Here are overreactions from NFL Week One.<\/p>\n<h1>NFL Week One Overreactions<\/h1>\n<h2>The Tampa Bay Buccaneers Are Better Without\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/W\/WinsJa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jameis Winston<\/a><\/h2>\n<p>Heading into Week One, the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/buccaneers\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/a> were the biggest underdogs of the week at -9.5. That didn\u2019t stop the best quarterback on their roster from putting on a show. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/F\/FitzRy00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ryan Fitzpatrick<\/a><\/strong> went off on Sunday. He threw for 417 yards, four touchdowns and ran for another 36 yards with a touchdown on the ground as well. The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/saints\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">New Orleans Saints<\/a> were fifth in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.footballoutsiders.com\/stats\/teamdef\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">passing defensive DVOA<\/a> last year. Fitzpatrick didn\u2019t care, and showed he should be the starter all year for the Bucs. With all of the questions surrounding Jameis, the Bucs should keep him on the bench. Our week one overreaction here is Fitzpatrick provides the best path to a playoff berth for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.<\/p>\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/M\/MahoPa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Patrick Mahomes<\/a>\u00a0Is an MVP Candidate<\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/chiefs\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kansas City Chiefs<\/a> lit up the scoreboard against the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/chargers\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Los Angeles Chargers<\/a>. In his first NFL start, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/M\/MahoPa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Patrick Mahomes<\/a><\/strong> threw for 256 yards and four touchdowns. Pairing a quarterback who embraces the deep ball under the tutelage of <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/R\/ReidAn20.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Andy Reid<\/a><\/strong> is a formula for success. This is exactly where Mahomes finds himself, and it looks to be at the helm of the best offense in football. Kansas City finished fourth in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.footballoutsiders.com\/stats\/teamoff\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">offensive DVOA<\/a> in 2017 with <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=SmitAl03,SmitAl02&amp;search=Alex+Smith&amp;utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alex Smith<\/a><\/strong>. Mahomes is going to increase that for the hiefs, and will lead them to the playoffs. Not only that, our week one overreaction is that he will play good enough to be considered an MVP candidate.<\/p>\n<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/steelers\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pittsburgh Steelers<\/a>\u00a0Are Better Off Without\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/B\/BellLe00.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Le\u2019Veon Bell<\/a><\/h2>\n<p>All off-season, the assumption was that <strong>Le\u2019Veon Bell<\/strong> was going to sign his tender and play Week One. That didn\u2019t happen and the Steelers are better off for it. The team doesn\u2019t need his negativity and one is greater than the rest attitude. Already there is friction in the locker room whenever he is brought up. This is why the team can make do without him. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/C\/ConnJa00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">James Conner<\/a><\/strong> had himself a monstrous game, finishing with 135 yards on the ground, and 57 more receiving. He is just the player the Steelers need, with the week one overreaction being the team can rely on Conner.<\/p>\n<h2>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/raiders\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Oakland Raiders<\/a>\u00a0Have Lost the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/M\/MackKh00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Khalil Mack<\/a>\u00a0Trade Already<\/h2>\n<p>In the Sunday night game against the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/packers\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Green Bay Packers<\/a>, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/players\/M\/MackKh00.htm?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Khalil Mack<\/a><\/strong> did something that hasn\u2019t happened since 1982. That was the last time someone had a sack, forced fumble, fumble recovery, interception, and a touchdown in the same half. If you thought maybe this was the first time Mack had done it in a game, you\u2019d be wrong. Not only that, but the last player to do it in an NFL game was in fact, Khalil Mack.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/nfl-teams\/bears\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chicago Bears<\/a> didn\u2019t give up that much to get a Hall of Fame worthy player. Assigning the 15th pick to the Bears, and the 16th to the Raiders provides some interesting insights. Looking at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patspulpit.com\/2017\/4\/23\/15398184\/2017-nfl-draft-creating-a-brand-new-nfl-draft-value-trade-chart\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rich Hill\u2019s draft chart<\/a>, the Bears sent out the equivalent of around 409 draft points. This comes out to about the eighth pick in the draft. It\u2019s nowhere near enough for what Mack is worth. The week one overreaction here is that regardless of what Oakland does, they\u2019ve already lost the trade.<\/p>\n<h2>Last Word<\/h2>\n<p>As the year goes on, we will provide overreactions to each week of football. Some of them are going to be outlandish, while others will be based on facts and statistics. Only time will tell how many of them will end up looking good, and which are incorrect. For now, these were our Week One overreactions. See you in the Super Bowl, Patrick Mahomes.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"0U86bSA5RFtJaB_WOiA27A\" class=\"gie-single\" style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1030008626\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'0U86bSA5RFtJaB_WOiA27A',sig:'RrCLDUNH_3QLCjCqppQovZmfRWpqGTG45yS4Y5gJyHw=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1030008626',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Each Monday I will be putting together some overreactions from the weekend\u2019s slate of NFL games. They might be reasonable, with stats and numbers to back them up. They also could be completely from the hip. All of them will have reasoning behind them. Either way, we are going to spend each Monday bringing you [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2446,"featured_media":49117,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,23,16,17,18,28,9,29],"tags":[42,44,122,358,157,1576,81,559],"class_list":["post-49105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-bears","category-chiefs","category-raiders","category-chargers","category-saints","category-steelers","category-buccaneers","tag-chicago-bears","tag-green-bay-packers","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-khalil-mack","tag-oakland-raiders","tag-patrick-mahomes","tag-pittsburgh-steelers","tag-ryan-fitzpatrick"],"modified_by":"David Latham, Managing Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2446"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49105\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49117"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}