{"id":4296,"date":"2016-10-23T02:13:52","date_gmt":"2016-10-23T06:13:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonprofootball.com\/?p=4296"},"modified":"2021-12-28T07:07:48","modified_gmt":"2021-12-28T12:07:48","slug":"week-7-fantasy-football-boom-bust","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2016\/10\/23\/week-7-fantasy-football-boom-bust\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 7 Fantasy Football: Boom or Bust"},"content":{"rendered":"

Week Seven<\/strong>\u00a0of the fantasy football season brings us to almost the halfway point of the year. Each division has a true standings leader except for the AFC West<\/strong> which has Oakland and Denver tied at 4-2. We have the Dallas Cowboys<\/strong>\u00a0and the\u00a0Carolina Panthers\u00a0<\/strong>on bye this week,\u00a0<\/strong>with back to back six team bye weeks on tap for Weeks Eight and Nine. This is a good chance to solidify fantasy positions before the big waiver wire adds.<\/p>\n

Week Seven Fantasy Football: Boom or Bust<\/h2>\n

This is not just a \u201cgarden variety\u201d fantasy football column. Recommending to start\u00a0Tom Brady<\/a><\/strong>, or sit a backup running back is a waste of time. The \u201cBooms\u201d will be those players that have under-performed this season, but project to do well this week. The \u201cBusts\u201d will be players who have been quality fantasy producers, but will disappoint in this\u00a0week\u2019s matchup.\u00a0Each week, this column will give 20 Boom\/Busts for fantasy lineups, including\u00a0a full disclosure breakdown of the prior week. Please enjoy the balance of contrarian predictions with full accountability.<\/p>\n

Booms:<\/strong> \u00a0Tyrod Taylor<\/a>\u00a0(W), Brian Hoyer<\/a> (L), James White<\/a> (W), Lamar Miller<\/a> (W), John Brown<\/a> (L), Alshon Jeffery<\/a> (L), Richard Rodgers<\/a> (L), Charles Clay<\/a> (L), Bilal Powell<\/a> (L), Detroit Defense (L)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Busts:<\/strong> \u00a0Matt Ryan<\/a>\u00a0(L),\u00a0Jeremy Hill<\/a>\u00a0(W), Dwayne Allen<\/a>\u00a0(W), Dak Prescott<\/a>\u00a0(L), Matt Forte<\/a>\u00a0(W), Tyrell Williams<\/a>\u00a0(W), Martellus Bennett<\/a>\u00a0(W), Terrelle Pryor<\/a>\u00a0(L), A.J. Green<\/a>\u00a0(W), Baltimore Defense\u00a0(L)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Last Week’s Record:<\/strong> \u00a09-11
\nSeason Record<\/strong>: \u00a045-35 \u00a0(56.3 percent)<\/p>\n

BOOMS<\/h3>\n

Jamison Crowder<\/a>, Washington Redskins, WR<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs. Detroit Lions
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a037th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0WR24 or better<\/p>\n

Situational play here. No Jordan Reed<\/a><\/strong> and DeSean Jackson<\/a><\/strong> is questionable, which points to a big game from Crowder. The Lions are 26th against opposing fantasy wide receivers, and Crowder will avoid cornerback Darius Clay by lining up in the slot. The script here is a high scoring game, which lends itself to a high point\u00a0result for Crowder. Start as a WR2 with confidence.<\/p>\n

Mohammed Sanu<\/strong>, Atlanta Falcons, WR<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Home vs. San Diego Chargers
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a050th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0WR24 or better<\/p>\n

The Chargers<\/strong> travel to Atlanta with an extra three days of preparation. A win against the Falcons\u00a0<\/strong>could vault them back into the playoff picture. Game script plays a big role here as the concerns need to be stopping Julio Jones<\/a><\/strong> and the running back tandem of Devonta Freeman<\/a><\/strong>\/Tevin Coleman<\/a><\/strong>. The Falcons<\/strong> have only been home twice this year, and Sanu went for 80 yards and a touchdown in one of those games. Always a part of the offense in multiple ways, look for Sanu to have a WR2 floor in Week Seven.<\/p>\n

Russell Wilson<\/a><\/strong>, Seattle Seahawks,\u00a0QB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs. Arizona Cardinals<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a023rd
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0Top 12 QB<\/p>\n

Fantasy analysts need to “go deeper.” On the surface, Seattle at Arizona seems like a defensive struggle. However, the last two games between these teams have produced scores of 39-32 and 36-6. In those games, Wilson has averaged 23 fantasy points. This year both defenses have failed to live up to expectations, and on Sunday Night Football<\/strong> this will be a high scoring affair. It is about time for Wilson to start his annual come from behind assent up the fantasy quarterback rankings. That will begin with 25+ fantasy points at Arizona.<\/p>\n

Colin Kaepernick<\/a><\/strong>, San Francisco 49ers,\u00a0QB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Home vs. Tampa Bay
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a039th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0Top 12 QB<\/p>\n

Kaepernick scored 19 fantasy points in his first start since Week Eight<\/strong> of last season. Throw in a tough Bills<\/strong> defense, and that’s a fairly impressive performance. He’s 28 years old and will be under center in his first game in Chip Kelly’s<\/strong> offense, the same system that made Nick Foles<\/a><\/strong> a Pro Bowler. Kaepernick faces\u00a0a Tampa Bay<\/strong> defense that is 19th against opposing fantasy quarterbacks. Chip Kelly + Kaepernick’s running ability = a huge fantasy performance.<\/p>\n

Devontae Booker<\/a><\/strong>, Denver Broncos, RB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Home vs.\u00a0Houston Texans<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a054th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0RB24 or better<\/p>\n

Booker has increased his role in the offense each of the last three games. Coach Gary Kubiak<\/a><\/strong> has even stated that Booker deserves more work. Houston only ranks 16th against opposing fantasy running backs, and the clear waiver move is to grab Booker now. The next three defenses he faces after this week rank 26th, 28th, and 32nd against opposing running backs. The Broncos will roll on Monday Night Football<\/strong>\u00a0making Booker is an RB2 lock.<\/p>\n

Additional Booms<\/span><\/p>\n

Golden Tate<\/a>, Detroit Lions, WR<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Home vs. Washington Redskins
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a048th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0WR24 or better
\nRationale:<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Marvin Jones<\/a> Jr. draws Josh Norman<\/a>. \u00a0Lions feed Tate with no Ebron\/Riddick.<\/p>\n

Vernon Davis<\/a><\/strong>, Washington Redskins,\u00a0TE<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:\u00a0Away vs.\u00a0Detroit Lions<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a029th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0TE12 or better
\nRationale: \u00a0<\/strong>Gimpy DeSean Jackson, no Jordan Reed, 29th most forgiving defense to fantasy tight ends. Pretty easy, no?<\/p>\n

Jacquizz Rodgers<\/a>, Tampa Bay, RB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away at San Francisco 49ers<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a053rd
\nProjection: <\/strong>RB24 or better
\nRationale:\u00a0<\/strong>“Quiz Show” gets fed against 49ers defense without Navarro Bowman. Volume is huge.<\/p>\n

Chris Ivory<\/a>, Jacksonville Jaguars, RB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:\u00a0Home vs. Oakland<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank<\/strong>:\u00a063rd
\nProjection<\/strong>: RB24\u00a0or better
\nRationale<\/strong>: \u00a0Finally healthy and clear goal line running back. Oakland fourth friendliest to opposing fantasy running backs. Jaguars will try to control clock at home against explosive Oakland offense.<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Bengals\u00a0Defense<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Home vs. Cleveland Browns
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a023rd
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0Top 12 Defense
\nRationale:<\/strong>\u00a0Only third home game of season, Browns injury train arrives just in time to get right.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

BUSTS<\/span><\/p>\n

Christine Michael<\/a>, Seattle Seahawks, RB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away\u00a0vs. Arizona Cardinals<\/b>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a011th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0RB20 or\u00a0worse<\/p>\n

Coming off their bye week at home, most fantasy owners expected a big day for Michael against Atlanta (31st ranked defense). While Michael did score, the Seahawks failed to get the running game going consistently. As a team they averaged just 2.7 yards per carry. This week they travel to Arizona for Su<\/strong>nday Night Football<\/strong>. The Cardinals have the sixth ranked defense in the league in points per game (17.3 ppg). Do not rely on Michael to produce RB1 points this week, and watch rookie Alex Collins<\/a><\/strong> get more touches as well. Michael could serve as an RB2 if you have bye week issues, but should be on the bench in most situations.<\/p>\n

Brandin Cooks<\/a>, New Orleans Saints, WR<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs. Kansas City Chiefs
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a013th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0WR24 or worse<\/p>\n

Cooks was incredible last week with the third best fantasy wide receiver line: seven catches for 173 yards and a touchdown. The issue remains his extreme weekly volatility. In standard scoring leagues Cooks’ weekly output has been: 27, 6, 1, 3, and 23 points respectively. This week he faces a Kansas City<\/strong> team that outside of the Sunday Night Football<\/strong> game at Pittsburgh<\/strong>, has done fairly well against opposing wide receivers. The Chiefs boast the sixth best overall defense in\u00a0total yards allowed, and cornerback Marcus Peters<\/a><\/strong> is leading the league in interceptions with five. In two outdoor games this year Cooks is averaging five catches for 49 yards.<\/p>\n

Antonio Brown<\/a>, Pittsburgh Steelers,\u00a0WR<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Home vs. New England Patriots
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a02nd
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0WR24 or\u00a0worse<\/p>\n

Back to life, back to reality. The oft-injured Ben Roethisberger<\/strong> is out again, which means bad news for Antonio Brown fantasy owners. There should be no faith in quarterback Landry Jones<\/a><\/strong>, especially facing Bill Belichick<\/strong> and star cornerback Malcolm Butler<\/a><\/strong>. Fantasy football is about the matchups, and owners would be wise to put Brown on the bench this weekend.<\/p>\n

Terrelle Pryor<\/a>, Cleveland Browns, WR<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs.\u00a0Cincinnati
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a08th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0WR24 or worse<\/p>\n

Injury plays a big part here, as does Cincinnati’s need for a win. \u00a0With no real other passing threat, look for the Bengals to take Pryor away and get pressure on quarterback\u00a0Cody Kessler<\/a><\/strong> all game. The Browns other wide receivers will need to make plays, which will be difficult in this big rivalry game. In short, the Browns offense is not talented enough to guarantee a solid fantasy floor for an injured wide receiver.<\/p>\n

Coby Fleener<\/a>, New Orleans,\u00a0TE<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs. Kansas City
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a06th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0TE13 or worse<\/p>\n

The creative offense mind of Sean Payton<\/a><\/strong> actually got Fleener a receiving and rushing<\/em> touchdown last week. After a slow start, Fleener is actually the sixth best fantasy tight end at this point. The Saints travel to Kansas City, where the red hot Chiefs will be a massive pass rush. In those situations, the tight end is often asked to stay in and block more often. This will be the game script on Sunday. Even without that narrative, the Chiefs are seventh best against opposing fantasy tight ends.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Additional Busts<\/span><\/p>\n

Drew Brees<\/a>, New Orleans Saints, QB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs. Kansas City Chiefs<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a04th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0QB10 or worse
\nRationale:<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0KC hitting their stride. Defense just held Derek Carr<\/a><\/strong> to 11 fantasy points on road.<\/p>\n

Tyrod Taylor<\/a><\/strong>, Buffalo Bills, QB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:\u00a0Away vs. Miami Dolphins<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a012th
\nProjection:<\/strong>\u00a0QB 13 or worse
\nRationale: \u00a0<\/strong>No Sammy Watkins<\/a><\/strong>, no LeSean McCoy<\/a><\/strong>, no Robert Woods<\/a><\/strong>, on road? No bueno.<\/p>\n

Lamar Miller<\/a>,\u00a0Houston, RB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away at Denver Broncos<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a09th
\nProjection: <\/strong>RB20 or worse
\nRationale: <\/strong>Miller supporters feel he’s “back” after last week. Only problem? He’s not good.<\/p>\n

Frank Gore<\/a>, Indianapolis Colts, RB<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:\u00a0<\/strong>Away at Tennessee<\/strong>
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank<\/strong>:\u00a015th
\nProjection<\/strong>: RB24\u00a0or worse
\nRationale<\/strong>: \u00a0Tennessee<\/strong> defense seventh best vs. run. Colts banged up all over offense. Pass on Gore this week.<\/p>\n

Washington Redskins\u00a0Defense<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Matchup:<\/strong>\u00a0Away vs. Detroit
\nYear To Date\u00a0Positional Rank:<\/strong>\u00a09th
\nProjection:<\/strong> DEF13 or worse
\nRationale:<\/strong>\u00a0Washington giving up 124.1 rushing yards per game. Detroit’s no-huddle offense at home difficult to stop.<\/p>\n

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Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n