{"id":249074,"date":"2025-10-01T12:45:22","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T16:45:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/?p=249074"},"modified":"2025-10-01T09:36:05","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T13:36:05","slug":"what-the-numbers-say-about-the-cowboys-start-to-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/10\/01\/what-the-numbers-say-about-the-cowboys-start-to-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"What The Numbers Say About The Cowboys Start To 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s already been a wild ride for the Dallas Cowboys in 2025. Through four games, we&#8217;ve gotten a little bit of everything\u2014a comeback win, a blowout loss, two overtime games, and a tie.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s been inconsistent and frustrating, but always entertaining. The record says 1-2-1, but that doesn&#8217;t tell the whole story. These seven numbers do\u2014and reveal the truth behind the Cowboys&#8217; first four games of 2025<\/p>\n<h2>Seven Numbers That Tell the Story of Dallas&#8217; First Four Games of 2025<\/h2>\n<h3>87.5 &#8211; <em>Dak Prescott&#8217;s Passing Grade Under Pressure<\/em><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/05\/27\/an-honest-take-on-dak-prescott-among-nfl-quarterbacks\/\" target=\"_self\">Dak Prescott is the most important player on the Cowboys<\/a>. Unsurprising\u2014he is the quarterback, after all. But other franchises have the ability to overcome underwhelming performances by their signal-caller, either with an elite defense (Cleveland) or a devastating run game (Philadelphia). Dallas doesn&#8217;t have that luxury. If Prescott is bad, the Cowboys lose.<\/p>\n<p>His <a  href=\"https:\/\/premium.pff.com\/nfl\/positions\/2025\/REGPO\/passing-pressure?position=QB\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">87.5 PFF passing grade under pressure<\/a> is the highest in the NFL, and his 90.4 overall passing grade ranks third. He also leads the NFL in Big Time Throws with 12.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a massive turnaround from 2024, when he struggled early and then missed the second half of the season with a hamstring avulsion. This version of Prescott looks a lot like the 2023 version\u2014the one who finished second in MVP voting and carried Dallas to a division title.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/05\/29\/dak-prescott-is-poised-for-a-bounce-back-2025-season\/\" target=\"_self\">Dak&#8217;s return to form<\/a> is the single biggest reason this season hasn&#8217;t already descended into chaos. He hasn&#8217;t been perfect, but without him playing at an elite level, this team would be winless.<\/p>\n<h3>34 &#8211; <em>Dallas&#8217; Pass Blocking Grade<\/em><\/h3>\n<p>Prescott&#8217;s passing grade under pressure is impressive, even without any context. But when you look at the performance of his <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/07\/01\/dallas-cowboys-position-group-rankings-offensive-line\/\" target=\"_self\">protection unit<\/a> up front, it becomes almost laughably good.<\/p>\n<p>Dallas is the worst pass-blocking team in the NFL. According to PFF, their <a  href=\"https:\/\/premium.pff.com\/nfl\/teams\/2025\/REGPO\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">34.0 pass block grade ranks dead last<\/a>, and they&#8217;ve already surrendered 58 pressures\u2014third-most in the league. Injuries have bitten Cooper Beebe and Tyler Booker, and poor pass blocking from the tackles makes protection feel more like a coin flip than a deliberate action.<\/p>\n<p>And yet, Prescott hasn&#8217;t missed a beat.<\/p>\n<p>This isn&#8217;t 2016\u2014Tyron Smith, Zach Martin, and Travis Frederick aren&#8217;t walking through that door. This is a young, patched-together unit with backups forced into action\u2014and taking on a lot of water. It&#8217;s fair to wonder if Dak can continue to play at such a high level under pressure, or if the relentless onslaught will eventually bring him back down to earth.<\/p>\n<h3>52.4 &#8211; <em>Javonte Williams Rushing Success Rate<\/em><\/h3>\n<p>It can&#8217;t be overstated just how improbable it is that the Cowboys have been able to <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/06\/09\/dallas-cowboys-position-group-rankings-running-backs\/\" target=\"_self\">run the ball<\/a> this well.<\/p>\n<p>Dallas&#8217; run game hasn&#8217;t looked this good in years, and Javonte Williams has a &#8220;oomph&#8221; to him that this team hasn&#8217;t seen since Zeke. Williams&#8217; <a  href=\"https:\/\/ftnfantasy.com\/nfl\/stats?tab=rushing\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">rushing success rate of 52.4%<\/a> is the second-best among all running backs in the league. He&#8217;s also top-ten in WIN yards and yards after contact. As a unit, the Cowboys have a 50% success rate on the ground\u2014No. 1 in the league.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s hard to exaggerate how important this has been to the success of the offense. Or how revelatory. With injuries and inconsistency along the offensive line, and a running back rotation of discarded assets, you&#8217;d expect the run game to be a net negative. It hasn&#8217;t been. And with defenses now forced to respect the threat of a handoff, Prescott should continue to see more favorable looks.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/08\/28\/dallas-cowboys-head-coach-brian-schottenheimer-is-getting-the-opportunity-of-a-lifetime\/\" target=\"_self\">Head coach Brian Schottenheimer<\/a> said he wanted to run the ball, and we scoffed. It looks like he&#8217;s the one laughing now.<\/p>\n<p>And yet, for all the offensive success, the Cowboys&#8217; first four games of 2025 have been defined just as much by what&#8217;s happening on the other side of the ball.<\/p>\n<h3>56.80 &#8211; <em>Opponent Passing EPA<\/em><\/h3>\n<p>The Cowboys&#8217; <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/06\/24\/dallas-cowboys-position-rankings-defensive-backs\/\" target=\"_self\">pass defense<\/a> is utterly atrocious. The numbers are abysmal, and watching it on gameday is even worse.<\/p>\n<p>Dallas has allowed an <a  href=\"https:\/\/ftnfantasy.com\/nfl\/stats?tab=passing&amp;subtab=base&amp;dataTarget=defense\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EPA of 56.8 through the air<\/a>\u2014worst in the league by an impossibly wide margin. They&#8217;ve also allowed an EPA per dropback of 0.371 and a DVOA of 35.7%\u2014both second-worst in the league.<\/p>\n<p>To give you an idea of just how bad that is: the gap between Dallas (last) and Miami (second-to-last) in EPA is 20.21 points. That&#8217;s a wider gap than the one between Miami and the <em>ninth-worst<\/em> pass defense.<\/p>\n<p>Through four games, the Cowboys have also allowed the most passing yards, the most yards per attempt, and the most passing touchdowns in the league. If there&#8217;s a stat that measures how well you stop the pass, Dallas is sure to be last in it.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not just bad\u2014it&#8217;s borderline unwatchable. And no amount of Prescott heroics will make up for a defense this inept at defending the pass.<\/p>\n<h3>56 &#8211; <em>Years Since the Cowboys Played to a Tie<\/em><\/h3>\n<p>Ties are pretty rare in the modern NFL. In the overtime era (1974-present), only 30 games have ended without a winner.<\/p>\n<p>The Cowboys&#8217; 40-40 deadlock with the Packers last Sunday night marked the team&#8217;s <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.star-telegram.com\/sports\/nfl\/dallas-cowboys\/article312303279.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">first tie since 1969<\/a>, when they played the 49ers to a 24-24 draw. It was also the highest-scoring game to end in a tie in NFL history.<\/p>\n<h3>4 &#8211; <em>Jerry Jones Postgame Press Scrums<\/em><\/h3>\n<p>I wish this were a joke. It&#8217;s not. <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/07\/01\/jerry-jones-and-the-dallas-cowboys-head-coach-reality\/\" target=\"_self\">Jerry Jones<\/a> has held court with the media after every game this season, and he&#8217;ll continue to do so until he&#8217;s no longer associated with the Cowboys. The other 31 owners? Zero.<\/p>\n<p>Cowboys fans have grown accustomed to Jerry&#8217;s behavior, but it doesn&#8217;t change the fact that it&#8217;s absurd. There isn&#8217;t another owner in any other sport who is as front-and-center as Jones. For the owner of any other NFL team, you <em>may<\/em> hear from them once a year. Maybe twice. Not Jerry. He&#8217;s never met a microphone he didn&#8217;t like. And the only reason we went with four is because it&#8217;s impossible to tally the number of times he&#8217;s actually gone before the press. Realistically, he&#8217;s probably talking to the media four times <em>a week!<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Jerry weighs in on everything from player performance to coaching decisions to front office strategy. Sometimes he&#8217;s clear. Mostly, he&#8217;s not.<\/p>\n<p>The Cowboys have an entirely new coaching staff, but one thing remains constant:<a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/07\/25\/the-dallas-cowboys-are-americas-favorite-reality-show\/\" target=\"_self\"> Jerry Jones is still the most visible, quotable, and unavoidable figure in the Cowboys organization<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>93.4 &#8211; <em>Micah Parsons&#8217; Pass Rush Grade<\/em><\/h3>\n<p>It still doesn&#8217;t make sense.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/09\/02\/jerry-jones-trading-micah-parsons-is-peak-dallas-cowboys-theater\/\" target=\"_self\">The Cowboys traded away Micah Parsons<\/a>, and the results have been predictable. Parsons has a <a  href=\"https:\/\/premium.pff.com\/nfl\/positions\/2025\/REGPO\/defense-pass-rush?position=ED\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pass rush grade of 93.4<\/a>\u2014which is&#8230;yep, you guessed it, tops in the league. He&#8217;s also No. 1 in pressures with 25, second in hurries, fifth in quarterback hits, and top-five in win percentage. The Packers are also the second-best pass rushing unit as a team in the NFL. Parsons probably has something to do with that.<\/p>\n<p>How have the Cowboys fared? Not as well. Dallas&#8217; top pass rusher is James Houston, with a grade of 78.7 on only 31 snaps. If you want to go starters, Dante Fowler Jr. and Sam Williams have pass rush grades of 64.1 and 56.7, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>The moral of the story: you just <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/08\/07\/micah-parsons-trade-request-whats-real-and-whats-not\/\" target=\"_self\">don&#8217;t trade away blue-chip players<\/a> like Parsons. But Jerry made the deal and has tried to spin it, hoping the committee approach would be enough.<\/p>\n<p>It hasn&#8217;t been. Weird, losing your best pass rusher puts a bigger burden on players with less talent and ability.<\/p>\n<p>The defense is collapsing. The pass rush has no juice. And the guy you traded is now playing for a Super Bowl contender.<\/p>\n<p><em>*sad*<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>Final Takeaways on the Numbers Behind The Cowboys&#8217; First Four Games of 2025<\/h3>\n<p>Four games into 2025, and the Cowboys are 1-2-1 and one of the most <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/06\/12\/the-dallas-cowboys-should-embrace-chaos\/\" target=\"_self\">chaotic teams in football<\/a>. The offense is doing everything it can to keep the team afloat despite struggles along the offensive line, but the defense is sinking fast. Between questionable decisions, <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/04\/29\/dallas-cowboys-three-glaring-needs-after-the-2025-nfl-draft\/\" target=\"_self\">glaring holes<\/a>, self-inflicted stupidity, and a familiar, omnipresent voice dominating the headlines and airwaves, Dallas finds itself in a spot they know all too well: talented and volatile.<\/p>\n<p>The numbers don&#8217;t lie. And if they hold? Well, the Cowboys might not win much, but they&#8217;ll continue to produce <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/07\/25\/the-dallas-cowboys-are-americas-favorite-reality-show\/\" target=\"_self\">amazing theater<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The numbers behind the Cowboys\u2019 first four games in 2025 reveal a team that\u2019s talented, volatile, and teetering on the edge of chaos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5534,"featured_media":246619,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6431,19],"tags":[302,889,6993,32867],"class_list":["post-249074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl-teams","category-cowboys","tag-dak-prescott","tag-jerry-jones","tag-micah-parsons","tag-tyler-booker"],"modified_by":"Mike Kashuba","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/249074","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5534"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=249074"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/249074\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":249169,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/249074\/revisions\/249169"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/246619"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=249074"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=249074"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=249074"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}