{"id":243881,"date":"2025-08-26T07:50:01","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T11:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/?p=243881"},"modified":"2025-08-30T10:37:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T14:37:09","slug":"fantasy-football-tetairoa-mcmillan-outlook-with-adam-thielen-trade-rumors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/08\/26\/fantasy-football-tetairoa-mcmillan-outlook-with-adam-thielen-trade-rumors\/","title":{"rendered":"Fantasy Football: Tetairoa McMillan Outlook After Adam Thielen Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Update (8\/27\/25): The Carolina Panthers have traded Adam Thielen to the Minnesota Vikings.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The Carolina Panthers selected wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth-overall pick in the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/category\/nfl-draft\/\" target=\"_self\">2025 NFL Draft<\/a>, and the Arizona product may have a path to fantasy football dominance right out of the gate. Adam Thielen is still a member of the Panthers as of this posting, but reports across the league indicate the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/08\/26\/adam-thielen-trade-update-is-bad-news-for-panthers-fans-vikings\/\" target=\"_self\">Vikings could trade for him<\/a> at any moment. Seeing as fantasy drafts are happening all over the world as we speak, how should you value McMillan given the uncertainty surrounding Thielen&#8217;s status?<\/p>\n<h2>Tetairoa McMillan Fantasy Football Outlook With Adam Thielen Trade Rumors<\/h2>\n<h3>McMillan Himself<\/h3>\n<p>The most important part of finding fantasy football success is actually being good at football, so let&#8217;s start this analysis by looking at Tetairoa McMillan himself. While he has yet to play in a regular season game, all signs point to him being a great player at the professional level.<\/p>\n<p>There is no such thing as a can&#8217;t-miss prospect, but McMillan checks just about every box you could hope for. Based on film alone, the Arizona product is a big, physical receiver with the size to win downfield and the versatility to line up throughout the formation. While he&#8217;s not the fastest player in the league, his ability to high-point the football and create separation at the top of routes suggests he will succeed at the NFL level.<\/p>\n<p>The film is good, and the metrics are even better. Draft capital is the most predictive metric out there, and his top-10 draft capital suggests he&#8217;ll be a star for years to come. Of course, draft misses happen all the time, which is why it&#8217;s important to check his collegiate production. Fortunately, he checks every box you&#8217;re looking for there, as his breakout age (19.4), college target share (30.1%), and college dominator (44.4%) all point towards NFL success. Even going back to high school, McMillan was a five-star recruit and a top-five receiver nationally.<\/p>\n<p>Again, there is no way to guarantee success at the NFL level, but all signs point towards Tetairoa McMillan having a strong career, both in real life and fantasy football. The only question now is how long it will take for him to find professional success.<\/p>\n<h3>Projecting the 2025 Carolina Panthers<\/h3>\n<p>Tetairoa McMillan is a good prospect, but he&#8217;s not an <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/07\/27\/jamarr-chase-the-case-for-the-1-01-in-fantasy\/\" target=\"_self\">elite one like Ja&#8217;Marr Chase<\/a> was when he entered the NFL. There will probably be some growing pains, and while he could earn a 30% target share in the future, he&#8217;ll probably hover around the 23-25% range as a rookie. This should make him the top option in Carolina&#8217;s passing attack, but there are still other mouths to feed.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to Adam Thielen, the Panthers have a series of promising young talent in <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2024\/01\/16\/2024-nfl-draft-profile-xavier-legette\/\" target=\"_self\">2024 first-round pick Xavier Legette<\/a>, Jalen Coker, and tight end Ja&#8217;Tavion Sanders. While all three players project as role players at this stage in their respective careers, they&#8217;re all good enough to demand a certain percentage of the targets.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, Thielen recorded a\u00a0 20.2% target share. Seeing as he&#8217;s another year older, he&#8217;ll probably finish around 18% if he remains with the Panthers. If he ends up with the Vikings, Tetairoa McMillan will probably see his target share increase by 2-3% while most of those vacated targets become evenly distributed among the rest of the wide receivers.<\/p>\n<p>FanDuel currently projects Bryce Young to throw for 3,200 passing yards. If you assume 25% of those go to Tetairoa McMillan, then he&#8217;ll finish the year with 800 yards. Personally, I&#8217;m taking the over on this and expecting McMillan to finish the fantasy football season with roughly 70 receptions for 900 yards and five touchdowns. This would likely make him a mid- to low-end WR2, regardless of what happens with Adam Thielen.<\/p>\n<p><em>Main Photo: Troy Taormina &#8211; Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What do the Adam Thielen trade rumors mean for Carolina Panthers first-round pick Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2376,"featured_media":243884,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[59,30],"tags":[1460,349,7661,33031],"class_list":["post-243881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fantasy","category-panthers","tag-adam-thielen","tag-fantasy-football-rankings","tag-panthers-featured","tag-tetairoa-mcmillan"],"modified_by":"David Latham, Managing Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2376"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=243881"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243881\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":244401,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243881\/revisions\/244401"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/243884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=243881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=243881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=243881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}