{"id":239801,"date":"2025-07-15T14:27:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T18:27:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/?p=239801"},"modified":"2025-07-15T14:27:12","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T18:27:12","slug":"three-outcomes-t-j-watt-holdout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/07\/15\/three-outcomes-t-j-watt-holdout\/","title":{"rendered":"Three outcomes of Steelers&#8217; T.J. Watt holdout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Steelers star outside linebacker T.J. Watt held out of OTAs and mandatory minicamp in June, as he and the Steelers are in negotiations for a contract extension. Below, I examine how Watt&#8217;s holdout will end.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">T.J. Watt holdout &#8211; The three possible outcomes:<\/span><\/h2>\n<figure id=\"attachment_239834\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-239834\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-239834\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"T.J. Watt \" width=\"640\" height=\"427\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/T.J.-Watt-1200x800.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-239834\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nov 21, 2024; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt (90) warms up before the game between the Cleveland Browns and the Steelers at Huntington Bank Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Outcome 1 &#8211;<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Steelers sign Watt to a record-breaking extension.\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The most likely outcome of the Watt holdout is a massive new deal. The Steelers are likely to pay Watt more than the $40 million per year that <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2020\/07\/14\/cleveland-browns-myles-garrett-reach-five-year-extension\/\" target=\"_self\">Myles Garrett<\/a> received from the Browns last March.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In 2021, Watt held in (he showed up to avoid being fined, but avoided the practice field until a new deal was complete); however, with a newborn at home, it remains to be seen whether he will show up at Latrobe this summer.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The engine of the Steelers&#8217; defense is the outside linebackers. Since drafting Watt in 2017, he has led the league in sacks with <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nfl\/ask\/most-sacks-since-2017\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">108<\/a> and forced fumbles with <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nfl\/ask\/most-forced-fumbles-since-2017\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">33<\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Outcome 2 &#8211; The Steelers trade Watt<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">An unlikely but not impossible option. Few would have predicted <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2025\/06\/30\/breaking-miami-dolphins-trade-jalen-ramsey-to-pittsburgh-steelers\/\" target=\"_self\">Minkah Fitzpatrick<\/a> would have been traded last month for Jalen Ramsay and Jonnu Smith; <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">however, the Steelers are building a roster to win now. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> is most clearly demonstrated by the big-name additions of DK Metcalf and Aaron Rodgers.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Rodgers is one of a number of veteran players getting to the end of their careers. For this reason, trading Watt makes the least sense.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Outcome 3 &#8211;<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Watt plays out his current contract.<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> I would categorise this outcome as highly unlikely. The Steelers tend to look after their franchise stars, even late in their career. We can look back at<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0last year at <a href=\"https:\/\/overthecap.com\/player\/cameron-heyward\/1585\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cam Heyward&#8217;s<\/a> two-year extension <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">despite his age, another example would be the extension of veteran center Maurkice Pouncey in 2019. Whilst there are a number of reports stating the two sides aren&#8217;t close to an agreement, a new deal is the best outcome for both parties.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bonus option &#8211;<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Watt sits out the season, refusing to play without a new contract. <\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Whilst this option is <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">extremely unlikely<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, it wouldn&#8217;t be the first time that a Steelers star has refused to take the field due to their contract situation. Steelers fans will remember Le&#8217;Veon Bell sat out the entire 2018 season. We all know how that played out for both parties.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In terms of when there is to the T.J. Watt holdout, that is slightly more challenging. Watt is due to earn just over <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.spotrac.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/21771\/tj-watt\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$21<\/a> million this season. In 2025, this is far below his value. I<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0would expect this to conclude during training camp, which is now only one week away.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Main Image: Eric Hartline &#8211; Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T.J. Watt holdout; three outcomes for how the stalemate with the Pittsburgh Steelers star outside linebacker will end.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5587,"featured_media":239833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[9,36],"tags":[7366,2282],"class_list":["post-239801","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-steelers","category-nfl-news","tag-pittsburgh-steelers-news","tag-tj-watt"],"modified_by":"Isaac Zuniga","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239801","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5587"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=239801"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239801\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":239835,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239801\/revisions\/239835"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/239833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=239801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=239801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=239801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}