{"id":143844,"date":"2023-08-15T14:55:56","date_gmt":"2023-08-15T18:55:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/?p=143844"},"modified":"2023-08-15T15:19:03","modified_gmt":"2023-08-15T19:19:03","slug":"evan-engram-2023-fantasy-football-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2023\/08\/15\/evan-engram-2023-fantasy-football-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Evan Engram 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sometimes all a player needs is a change of scenery. Before last season, long-time New York Giants tight end Evan Engram left in free agency to go play for the Jacksonville Jaguars. In 2022, Evan Engram had a career resurgence on his way to a TE5 finish in PPR formats and averaged 10.41 PPG which was good enough to be top-10 at the position. During his first season as a Jacksonville Jaguar, he had career bests in receptions and yards, and second-best in receiving touchdowns. Thanks to Engram\u2019s career year, it helped him secure a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/news\/jaguars-te-evan-engram-blessed-to-sign-long-term-deal-they-wanted-me-here-as-muc\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">new three-year deal<\/a> after being <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2023\/03\/02\/evan-engram-to-receive-franchise-tag\/\" target=\"_self\">franchise-tagged<\/a> earlier in the offseason. Can Evan Engram build upon his 2022 production or was it just another anomaly in his career?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">[metabet_core_side_odds_tile query=&#8221;nfl\/evan_engram\/player_65671&#8243; size=&#8221;350&#215;300&#8243; site_id=&#8221;lastwordonsports&#8221;]<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>2023 Fantasy Football Player Profile: Evan Engram<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3><strong>Light Showers With a High Chance of Bust<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Among the top eight PPR fantasy tight ends in 2022, Evan Engram had the second-lowest target share at 17.07%. Not only did Engram have a low target share for a top tight end, but he was also the third-targeted player on the Jaguars. Why does this matter? <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2023\/06\/19\/calvin-ridley-fantasy-football-outlook-2023\/\" target=\"_self\">Calvin Ridley\u2019s<\/a> back from a year-long suspension and is eager to show the world he\u2019s still a \u201c<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/news\/calvin-ridley-promises-dominant-jaguars-debut-after-reinstatement-im-giving-jacksonville-1400-yards\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dominant<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201d playmaker. Adding a player such as Ridley\u2019s caliber isn\u2019t ideal for Engram\u2019s volume and he\u2019s likely going to take a statistical hit from a season ago. Targets were already tough to come by and this year they\u2019ll be even more difficult to collect in a crowded receiver room.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/FantasyFootball?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#FantasyFootball<\/a> 2022 Top8 PPR Tight End Target Shares.<\/p>\n<p>Who do you think stays and who goes?<\/p>\n<p>(My Thoughts On Each Player Below\u2935\ufe0f) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4koJkJ1Z6m\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/4koJkJ1Z6m<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Austin Thomas (@Fantasy_Swan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Fantasy_Swan\/status\/1690910843033034752?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">August 14, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3><strong>The Over\/Under of Number 5.5<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last season Evan Engram averaged 5.76 targets per game. To be consistent with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/news.sportsinteraction.com\/guide\/point-spread-betting-explained-rules-guidelines#:~:text=Point%20Spread%20Tie%20Rules%20(Push)&amp;text=Oftentimes%20you&#039;ll%20see%20a,a%20chance%20of%20a%20push.\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vegas<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, let\u2019s mark the over\/under at 5.5 per game. In games where Engram received over 5.5 targets he had 16.16 PPG whereas when he had below that 5.5 number, it was a measly 3.94 PPG. That doesn\u2019t seem like a good ratio and is the epitome of a boom-or-bust player. With Engram\u2019s volume expected to decrease from last year, it&#8217;s going to be tough drawing six targets consistently and he\u2019ll encounter more \u201cbust\u201d weeks than not.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">To keep it simple, Engram was good when he got 6 or more targets &amp; a non-factor when he got less than 5.<br \/>16.16 PPG compared to 3.94 PPG <\/p>\n<p>With the addition of WR Calvin Ridley to this offense it&#39;s hard to see how Engram returns any sort of positive value at his current TE8 ADP <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sH0FZ2jpoB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/sH0FZ2jpoB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Austin Thomas (@Fantasy_Swan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Fantasy_Swan\/status\/1691144962715299849?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">August 14, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3><strong>This Jaguar\u2019s Roar Has Been Silenced<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Evan Engram\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fantasypros.com\/nfl\/adp\/evan-engram.php\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ADP of TE8<\/a> is as spotty as his furry mascot. There are more negatives working against him than positives in his 2023 fantasy outlook. At TE8, Engram\u2019s being drafted close to his ambitious ceiling leaving very little room for error to give a return on investment or, at the very least, match last year\u2019s totals. There are more adequate <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2023\/08\/12\/3-tight-end-targets-in-fantasy-football\/\" target=\"_self\">tight end options<\/a> later in the draft that offer much better value. Don\u2019t get stuck with Engram and let your fellow league mates draft him instead!<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Main Photo: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2022 TE5 enters this year with a new deal and high aspirations. Going off the board at TE8, can Evan Engram find similar success in 2023?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4832,"featured_media":143878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[59,15,54],"tags":[10229,1692,7335],"class_list":["post-143844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fantasy","category-broncos","category-editorials","tag-2023-fantasy-football","tag-evan-engram","tag-jacksonville-jaguars-news"],"modified_by":"Will Koshover, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4832"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=143844"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/143844\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/143878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=143844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=143844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=143844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}