{"id":484958,"date":"2026-03-09T09:27:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:27:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=484958"},"modified":"2026-03-09T09:27:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:27:09","slug":"anaheim-ducks-storylines-at-the-three-quarter-mark-of-the-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2026\/03\/09\/anaheim-ducks-storylines-at-the-three-quarter-mark-of-the-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Anaheim Ducks Storylines at the Three-Quarter Mark of the Season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/10\/revisiting-anaheim-ducks-expectations-after-their-hot-start\/\" target=\"_self\">quarter mark of the season<\/a>, expectations around the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2026\/03\/05\/the-anaheim-ducks-announce-4-year-contract-extension-to-centre\/\" target=\"_self\">Anaheim Ducks<\/a> had already begun to shift. Early projections centred on ending the franchise\u2019s seven-year Stanley Cup Playoff drought. However, as the Ducks continued to climb the standings, the conversation evolved. The question was no longer simply whether Anaheim could make the playoffs, but whether they could finish among the Pacific Division\u2019s top teams.<\/p>\n<p>Now, with roughly three quarters of the season complete, that shift has become reality. As we look at the standings, the Ducks sit first in the Pacific Division with a 35\u201325\u20133 record, and several projection models give them <a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/predictions.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">over a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs<\/a>. Some sportsbooks have even installed Anaheim as the division favourite, reflecting how dramatically expectations have changed over the course of the season.<\/p>\n<p>This moment represents a turning point for the organization. The rebuild that defined much of the past decade appears to be over. The Ducks are no longer building toward contention. They are now trying to win.<\/p>\n<h3>The <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsjo01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">John Carlson<\/a> Trade Signals the Window Is Open<\/h3>\n<p>The clearest sign that Anaheim believes its competitive window has arrived came at the trade deadline. General manager <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/v\/verbepa01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pat Verbeek<\/a> acquired veteran defenceman John Carlson from the Washington Capitals in exchange for a package headlined by a conditional first-round pick.<\/p>\n<p>Carlson, one of the most productive defencemen of his generation, immediately becomes one of the most accomplished players ever acquired by Anaheim at the deadline. Even at age 36, he entered the trade with 46 points in 55 games, continuing to produce offensively while logging top-pair minutes.<\/p>\n<p>More important than Carlson\u2019s on-ice impact, however, is what the trade represents strategically.<\/p>\n<p>For several seasons the Ducks accumulated assets and patiently developed their young core. By moving a first-round pick for an established veteran, Verbeek delivered a clear message to the roster. That message being that the rebuild phase is over.<\/p>\n<p>Instead of selling at the deadline, Anaheim acted as a buyer for the first time in years. The organization is now signalling confidence that its young core is ready not only to reach the playoffs but to compete once they get there.<\/p>\n<p>Carlson\u2019s puck-moving ability should also help address one of the Ducks\u2019 biggest weaknesses: exiting the defensive zone cleanly and transitioning quickly into offence.<\/p>\n<h3>The Young Core Driving the Ducks\u2019 Rise<\/h3>\n<p>While the Carlson trade added experience, the foundation of Anaheim\u2019s surge remains its young core.<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.hockeystatcards.com\/all\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Several players<\/a> have emerged this season as legitimate building blocks.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3llihm4oghf25\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreih5bokso2uedg6sp6a7l3zlghbrkhpvqk3li2yzdi6kymz64pbziq\">\n<p>Anaheim goal!Scored by Leo Carlsson with 17:38 remaining in the 3rd period.Assisted by Olen Zellweger and Trevor Zegras.Anaheim: 2New York: 3#NYRvsANA #FlyTogether #NYR<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3llihm4oghf25?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-03-29T04:12:11.415519Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Leo Carlsson<\/a> continues to establish himself as the franchise\u2019s number-one centre. Still only 21 years old, he is already producing at a top-line pace while facing the toughest matchups on most nights.<\/p>\n<p><a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gauthcu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cutter Gauthier<\/a>, meanwhile, has developed into one of the league\u2019s most dangerous young scorers. His ability to change a game with a single shot has made him one of Anaheim\u2019s most dynamic offensive weapons.<\/p>\n<p><a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/s\/sennebe01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Beckett Sennecke<\/a>, the rookie winger, has also become one of the biggest surprises of the season. Leading all rookies in goals for stretches of the year, he has rapidly entered the Calder Trophy conversation.<\/p>\n<p>Behind them, the next layer of the core has taken significant steps forward.<\/p>\n<p>Defenceman <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/l\/lacomja01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jackson LaCombe<\/a> has developed into Anaheim\u2019s most reliable puck-moving defender while logging heavy minutes in all situations. His growth has been crucial for a blue line that has often relied on mobility and transition play.<\/p>\n<p>In goal, <a  target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/dostalu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-03-08_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luk\u00e1\u0161 Dost\u00e1l<\/a> continues to solidify his role as the franchise\u2019s long-term starter. When he is playing at his best, the Ducks are capable of beating any opponent.<\/p>\n<p>Taken together, this group forms the foundation of Anaheim\u2019s competitive window. Importantly, most of these players are still early in their careers, suggesting the team\u2019s ceiling may continue to rise in the coming seasons.<\/p>\n<h3>The Analytics Perspective Reveals A High-Event Team<\/h3>\n<p>While Anaheim\u2019s place atop the Pacific Division may surprise some observers, the underlying analytics provide useful context for their success.<\/p>\n<p>The Ducks rank among the league\u2019s stronger offensive teams at five-on-five. Models tracking expected goals place Anaheim inside the top ten in expected goals for, reflecting the quality of chances they generate.<\/p>\n<p>However, the same data reveals <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2026\/01\/13\/explaining-the-anaheim-ducks-slump-by-the-stats\/\" target=\"_self\">the team\u2019s biggest vulnerability<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Anaheim ranks near the bottom of the league in expected goals against, meaning they allow a high volume of dangerous opportunities. In simple terms, the Ducks often play a high-event style of hockey.<\/p>\n<p>That identity shows up clearly in several advanced metrics.<\/p>\n<table data-start=\"4806\" data-end=\"4957\" class=\"w-fit min-w-(--thread-content-width)\">\n<thead data-start=\"4806\" data-end=\"4827\">\n<tr data-start=\"4806\" data-end=\"4827\">\n<th data-start=\"4806\" data-end=\"4815\" data-col-size=\"sm\" class=\"\">Metric<\/th>\n<th data-start=\"4815\" data-end=\"4827\" data-col-size=\"sm\" class=\"\">NHL Rank<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody data-start=\"4838\" data-end=\"4957\">\n<tr data-start=\"4838\" data-end=\"4854\">\n<td data-start=\"4838\" data-end=\"4848\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Goals For<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"4848\" data-end=\"4854\" data-col-size=\"sm\">13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"4855\" data-end=\"4875\">\n<td data-start=\"4855\" data-end=\"4869\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Goals Against<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"4869\" data-end=\"4875\" data-col-size=\"sm\">31<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"4876\" data-end=\"4900\">\n<td data-start=\"4876\" data-end=\"4895\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Expected Goals For<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"4895\" data-end=\"4900\" data-col-size=\"sm\">7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"4901\" data-end=\"4930\">\n<td data-start=\"4901\" data-end=\"4924\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Expected Goals Against<\/td>\n<td data-col-size=\"sm\" data-start=\"4924\" data-end=\"4930\">29<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"4931\" data-end=\"4957\">\n<td data-start=\"4931\" data-end=\"4951\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Expected Goal Share<\/td>\n<td data-col-size=\"sm\" data-start=\"4951\" data-end=\"4957\">18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>This profile places Anaheim firmly in the category of teams that can score with anyone but sometimes struggle to defend consistently.<\/p>\n<p>It also helps explain the Carlson acquisition. A veteran defender capable of controlling play and improving puck movement could meaningfully stabilize the team\u2019s defensive results.<\/p>\n<h3>Models and Markets Believe in the Ducks<\/h3>\n<p>Projection models across the analytics community now see Anaheim as a legitimate playoff team.<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/hockeystats.com\/teams\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">HockeyStats<\/a> currently gives the Ducks approximately:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>93 percent probability of making the playoffs<\/li>\n<li>roughly 1 percent Stanley Cup odds<\/li>\n<li>a projection of around 97 points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Those numbers position Anaheim among the Western Conference\u2019s playoff tier rather than the fringe bubble teams.<\/p>\n<p>Even more telling is how betting markets have responded. Several sportsbooks have listed the Ducks as Pacific Division favourites, something that would have seemed improbable just a few months ago.<\/p>\n<p>The shift illustrates how dramatically the perception of this team has changed.<\/p>\n<h3>What Comes Next<\/h3>\n<p>For Anaheim, the final stretch of the season now carries far greater stakes than simply securing a playoff berth.<\/p>\n<p>The Ducks are in position to compete for the Pacific Division title, which would dramatically improve their first-round playoff outlook. Winning the division would likely give them home-ice advantage and a more favourable matchup.<\/p>\n<p>However, the playoffs will present a different challenge. Teams that rely heavily on offence can sometimes struggle in the tighter, more structured environment of postseason hockey.<\/p>\n<p>Improving defensively will be crucial if Anaheim hopes to make a deep run.<\/p>\n<p>Still, regardless of how the postseason unfolds, one thing is already clear. The Ducks have reached the next phase of their rebuild.<\/p>\n<p>After years spent developing prospects and accumulating assets, Anaheim now has a young core capable of driving success at the NHL level. With the addition of Carlson and a roster increasingly filled with impact players, the Ducks are no longer a team preparing for the future.<\/p>\n<p>They are a team trying to win right now.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the quarter mark of the season, expectations around the Anaheim Ducks had already begun to shift. Early projections centred on ending the franchise\u2019s seven-year Stanley Cup Playoff drought. However, as the Ducks continued to climb the standings, the conversation evolved. The question was no longer simply whether Anaheim could make the playoffs, but whether [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5399,"featured_media":465310,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,4547,4548],"tags":[8278,3247,7589],"class_list":["post-484958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ducks","category-hockey","category-nhl","tag-2026-nhl-trade-deadline","tag-john-carlson","tag-leo-carlsson"],"modified_by":"Levi Pike, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/484958","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5399"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=484958"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/484958\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":484970,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/484958\/revisions\/484970"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/465310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=484958"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=484958"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=484958"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}