{"id":480274,"date":"2025-12-19T07:52:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T12:52:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=480274"},"modified":"2025-12-19T05:17:05","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T10:17:05","slug":"nhl-prediction-december-19th-dallas-stars-vs-anaheim-ducks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/12\/19\/nhl-prediction-december-19th-dallas-stars-vs-anaheim-ducks\/","title":{"rendered":"NHL Prediction: December 19th Dallas Stars vs Anaheim Ducks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at <em>Last Word On Hockey<\/em> break down the slate using matchup context, recent form, and underlying data to project likely outcomes. This NHL Prediction focuses on a Western Conference matchup in Southern California, where the Anaheim Ducks return home to face the Dallas Stars. Be sure to check out more NHL Predictions throughout the 2025\u201326 season.<\/p>\n<h2>NHL Predictions: Anaheim Ducks vs Dallas Stars<\/h2>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Series:<\/strong> Ducks lead 1\u20130<\/p>\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 10:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (EST); 7:00 p.m. Pacific Time (PT)<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/full-guide-for-how-to-stream-and-watch-nhl-hockey-games\/\" target=\"_self\">How to Watch<\/a> &#8211; US TV: Victory+, KCOP-13, ESPN+ | Canada TV: SN, SN+<\/h3>\n<h3>Setting the Stage<\/h3>\n<p>The Anaheim Ducks (20\u201312\u20132) return to Honda Center after a five-game road trip that produced mixed results but continued to reinforce their identity. Anaheim enters this matchup with points in five of its past seven games, leaning on transition speed and a top-six group that consistently drives play through the neutral zone. While defensive lapses remain part of the profile, the Ducks have stayed competitive by generating offence off the rush and keeping games close into the third period.<\/p>\n<p>Dallas (22\u20137\u20135) arrives in Anaheim off a 5\u20133 road win last night over San Jose, continuing a stretch of strong results driven by depth scoring and structured five-on-five play. The Stars remain one of the league\u2019s most efficient teams despite middling shot volume, converting quality looks and protecting the middle of the ice. With both teams playing their second game in three nights, execution rather than pace should dictate this matchup.<\/p>\n<h3>Dallas Stars Storyline<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/12\/06\/nhl-rumours-dallas-stars-might-get-aggressive-in-trade-market\/\" target=\"_self\">Dallas<\/a> is built on balance and discipline. Despite ranking below league average in raw shot volume, the Stars consistently generate quality looks off the cycle and off second chances. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/r\/roberja01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jason Robertson<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/h\/hintzro01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Roope Hintz<\/a> drive the offence, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/j\/johnswy01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Wyatt Johnston<\/a>\u2019s recent scoring surge has added interior threat that forces defensive adjustments. Dallas\u2019 finishing efficiency remains a major separator, particularly at five-on-five.<\/p>\n<p>Defensively, the Stars are comfortable collapsing around the slot and allowing lower-danger attempts from the outside. Their high-danger share hovers near break-even, but goaltending stability has helped smooth out breakdowns. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/o\/oettija01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jake Oettinger<\/a> is the expected starter after Dallas\u2019 win in San Jose, and his presence allows the Stars to play conservatively when protecting leads. Dallas\u2019 success comes from patience rather than pace.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3macu7tt22b27\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreihdxvexaf6o6zzh3vylcfiqxglkwm5lzohzfjiijgch7etfedb66u\">\n<p>Power play goal for Dallas!Scored by Wyatt Johnston with 11:20 remaining in the 2nd period.Assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Roope Hintz.San Jose: 1Dallas: 3#DALvsSJS #TheFutureIsTeal #TexasHockey<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3macu7tt22b27?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-12-19T04:31:03.868896Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>Anaheim Ducks Storyline<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/25\/anaheim-ducks-quarter-season-analysis-shows-a-team-ahead-of-schedule\/\" target=\"_self\">Anaheim<\/a> continues to profile as a strong territorial team whose results remain driven by pace and execution rather than sustained zone pressure. At five-on-five, the Ducks sit north of 51 percent in both Corsi and Fenwick, but their expected-goals share remains below break-even. That gap reflects where their offence is coming from. Anaheim generates most of its damage off controlled entries and secondary rush waves rather than extended possession. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Leo Carlsson<\/a> remains the fulcrum, leading the team in on-ice shot share while driving play through the middle lanes. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/terrytr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Troy Terry<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gauthcu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cutter Gauthier<\/a> continue to benefit from that movement, but net-front conversion has been inconsistent.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/20\/nhl-rumours-anaheim-ducks-first-round-defenceman-wants-a-trade\/\" target=\"_self\">Defensively<\/a>, the Ducks still give up too many looks from the slot after initial coverage breaks down. Their high-danger chance share remains under 47 percent, which narrows their margin when goaltending is merely average. When Anaheim dictates tempo, the game tilts. When it slows, their structural flaws surface quickly.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3ma5mmjfqsv2n\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreibf5hqr63l63pb3svywxq4z5j6dq7daz23skl7qve6ftbd2567tfa\">\n<p>Anaheim goal!Scored by Jackson LaCombe with 03:16 remaining in the 3rd period.Assisted by Ryan Poehling and Mikael Granlund.Columbus: 3Anaheim: 3#ANAvsCBJ #CBJ #FlyTogether<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3ma5mmjfqsv2n?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-12-17T02:31:40.688198Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>The Model<\/h3>\n<p>The blended model simulates this matchup 10,000 times using four evenly weighted inputs. The in-house model gives Dallas a 54.0 percent edge, driven by finishing efficiency and defensive-zone control. <a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/preview.htm?id=2025020548\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MoneyPuck<\/a> projects the Stars at 48.0 percent, reflecting Anaheim\u2019s home-ice boost. <a  href=\"https:\/\/hockeystats.com\/games\/2025020548\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Advanced Hockey Stats<\/a> lists Dallas at 56 percent, citing special teams and goaltending separation. The market leans Stars at approximately \u2212115. After blending all inputs, Dallas lands at 54.9 percent with fair odds near \u2212122. Anaheim settles at 45.1 percent with fair odds around +122.<\/p>\n<h3>NHL Prediction<\/h3>\n<p>Anaheim\u2019s speed and transition game give it the tools to stress Dallas early, particularly if the Ducks can generate odd-man looks before structure sets. However, Dallas\u2019 ability to manage the middle of the ice and capitalize on second-chance opportunities tilts the matchup over 60 minutes. If the Stars can avoid extended penalty trouble and keep Anaheim to the perimeter, they should control the most dangerous stretches of the game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Stars win 4\u20133 (54.9% probability)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Prediction Record:<\/strong> 6\u20138<\/p>\n<h3>Prop Bets of the Night<\/h3>\n<p>Tonight\u2019s prop card leans into volume drivers and blue-line involvement rather than pure finishing. Cutter Gauthier over 3.5 shots on goal (+110) stands out given Anaheim\u2019s reliance on transition speed against a Dallas team that concedes attempts off the rush. Gauthier continues to generate attempts at a strong rate at five-on-five, and his willingness to shoot off controlled entries gives him multiple paths to clear this number even without power-play production. On the Stars side, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/h\/heiskmi01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-12-19_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Miro Heiskanen<\/a> over 0.5 assists (-110) profiles well against an Anaheim penalty kill that allows point-to-slot movement and second-touch chances. Heiskanen remains Dallas\u2019 primary distributor from the blue line, and his involvement in both even-strength and power-play sequences provides assist equity without needing a high-event game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Prop Bet Record:<\/strong> 17\u201314 (+5.68 units)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> <em>Projected lineups are based on available data at time of writing. Please check social media and official team sources for the very latest lineup news before locking in any daily fantasy roster or prop wagers.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Please play responsibly, check for your local rules and age restrictions. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Main Photo: Jessica Alcheh-Imagn Images<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at Last Word On Hockey break down the slate using matchup context, recent form, and underlying data to project likely outcomes. This NHL Prediction focuses on a Western Conference matchup in Southern California, where the Anaheim Ducks return home to face the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5399,"featured_media":464966,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,29,4547,4548,4524],"tags":[6013,6124],"class_list":["post-480274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ducks","category-stars","category-hockey","category-nhl","category-nhl-predictions","tag-anaheim-ducks-predictions","tag-dallas-stars-predictions"],"modified_by":"Levi Pike, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5399"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=480274"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480274\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":480283,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480274\/revisions\/480283"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/464966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=480274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=480274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=480274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}