{"id":478595,"date":"2025-11-26T09:00:46","date_gmt":"2025-11-26T14:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=478595"},"modified":"2025-11-26T06:38:17","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T11:38:17","slug":"nhl-predictions-november-26-vancouver-canucks-vs-anaheim-ducks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/26\/nhl-predictions-november-26-vancouver-canucks-vs-anaheim-ducks\/","title":{"rendered":"NHL Predictions: November 26 Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at Last Word On Hockey look at the games and give in-depth analysis. Our team breaks down the key matchups, storylines, and stats, then makes predictions based on how they might play out. This edition features the Anaheim Ducks taking on the Vancouver Canucks. Don\u2019t forget to check out more NHL Predictions, as our writers continue this series throughout the 2025\u201326 season.<\/p>\n<h2>NHL Predictions: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nhl.com\/gamecenter\/ana-vs-van\/2025\/11\/26\/2025020374\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Series:<\/strong> First meeting this season (Last season: Canucks 3 &#8211; 1 Ducks)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 10:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (EST); 7:00 p.m. Pacific Standard Time (PST)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/full-guide-for-how-to-stream-and-watch-nhl-hockey-games\/\" target=\"_self\">How to Watch Tutorial<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.primevideo.com\/salp\/nhl\/ref=dvm_ass_acm_xx_mf_s_imp_d990ef38Naf6411f0bc06bb6bfb4a4ee\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2025\/11\/PRIMN_25_OOHDisplayAdBanner_Desktop_728x90_POST_Final_en-CA_PV00045908_Tonight.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>US TV:<\/strong> Victory+; ESPN+<\/p>\n<p><strong>Canada TV:<\/strong> SNP<\/p>\n<h3>Setting the Stage<\/h3>\n<p>The Anaheim Ducks (14\u20137\u20131) continue their homestand after another tight, playoff-style game, this time edging the Golden Knights 4\u20133 in overtime. Anaheim has won three of four and continues to sit atop the Pacific Division. Their young core keeps pushing their ceiling higher, and their rush game remains one of the most dangerous in the league. Meanwhile, the Vancouver Canucks (9\u201312\u20132) enter having dropped three straight and six of seven. Their territorial play has eroded, their penalty kill ranks last in the league, and their goaltending continues to wobble. However, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/h\/hughequ01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Quinn Hughes<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=petteel01,petteel02&amp;search=Elias+Pettersson&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Elias Pettersson<\/a> remain capable of swinging games on their own. Anaheim\u2019s challenge is avoiding early lapses, while Vancouver\u2019s is <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/12\/vancouver-canucks-goalie-out-two-to-three-weeks\/\" target=\"_self\">simply stabilising<\/a> long enough to give their stars a chance.<\/p>\n<h3>Vancouver Canucks Storyline<\/h3>\n<p>Vancouver\u2019s recent stretch mirrors its underlying profile. They own a 44.87 percent expected goal share and rank near the bottom of the league in shot volume and suppression. Their five-on-five save percentage sits at 90.83 percent, and their penalty kill is thirty-second. Furthermore, their last outing, a 5\u20132 loss to Calgary, revealed the same issues. They conceded multiple rebound goals, lost rush coverage, and struggled to defend the slot. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/l\/lankike01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Lankinen<\/a> allowed five goals on 21 shots, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/demkoth01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Thatcher Demko<\/a> remains day-to-day. However, Hughes continues to dominate play and enters tonight with eleven points in his last five games. Elias Pettersson remains their most dangerous finisher and sits at thirteen goals. Vancouver can still generate moments of pressure, but their depth forwards grade poorly in game score, and the defensive structure behind Hughes and Hronek has not held up.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m6dqzeuop42p\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreiaxetp353tmerfojbunyqxyemqruugfon4kkr5pejf4zo6abeocmi\">\n<p>Vancouver goal!Scored by Filip Hronek with 18:55 remaining in the 1st period.Assisted by Jake DeBrusk.Vancouver: 1Calgary: 0#CGYvsVAN #Canucks #Flames<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3m6dqzeuop42p?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-24T02:16:02.139486Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>Anaheim Ducks Storyline<\/h3>\n<p>Anaheim\u2019s win against Vegas reinforced their <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/25\/anaheim-ducks-quarter-season-analysis-shows-a-team-ahead-of-schedule\/\" target=\"_self\">growing maturity<\/a>. They erased a two-goal deficit and leaned on execution in key moments. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gauthcu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cutter Gauthier<\/a> extended his home point streak to eight games after scoring the overtime winner, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/terrytr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Troy Terry<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/l\/lacomja01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jackson LaCombe<\/a> each delivered multi-point nights. Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Leo Carlsson<\/a> became the youngest Duck to reach 60 career assists and continues to drive Anaheim\u2019s most dangerous sequences. Additionally, Anaheim\u2019s five-on-five numbers show strength. Their goal share sits at 53.97 percent, and they finish far above expectation with a 10.15 percent shooting rate. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/dostalu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-26_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lukas Dostal<\/a> remains steady with an 11\u20135\u20131 record and a .904 save percentage. Anaheim\u2019s flaw remains high-danger <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/20\/nhl-rumours-anaheim-ducks-first-round-defenceman-wants-a-trade\/\" target=\"_self\">defence<\/a>, yet they compensate with rush pressure, clean exits, and a top six that grades far stronger than Vancouver\u2019s. If Anaheim maintains structure, its finishers should again tilt the game.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m6bmm6tgp227\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreiahbodepddd2bbwdaf6lulxv4ypjnah7xrtwckt2aqtzdac4b3ige\">\n<p>Anaheim goal!Scored by Cutter Gauthier with 01:03 remaining in the OT period.Anaheim: 4Vegas: 3#VGKvsANA #FlyTogether #VegasBorn<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3m6bmm6tgp227?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-23T05:51:45.160455Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>The Model<\/h3>\n<p>Our blended model simulates this matchup ten thousand times using four independent inputs: the in-house projection,<a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/preview.htm?id=2025020374\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> MoneyPuck<\/a>, the betting market with vig removed, and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.advancedhockeystats.com\/projections\/games\/2025020374\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Advanced Hockey Stats.<\/a> Each input is equally weighted to ensure a balanced probability view anchored in both process and results. MoneyPuck lists Anaheim at 62.4 percent, while the market sits near 59.5 percent after vig removal. However, AHS gives Vancouver a 58 percent edge driven by expected goals and shot share. The in-house model, buoyed by Anaheim\u2019s finishing and Dostal\u2019s stability, favours the Ducks at 55 percent. Across ten thousand simulations, Anaheim wins 54.2 percent of outcomes (fair odds ~\u2212118), and Vancouver wins 45.8 percent (+118). The projection reflects Anaheim\u2019s finishing and home-ice advantage battling Vancouver\u2019s process-driven profile. However, the gap in penalty killing and goaltending keeps the Ducks narrowly ahead.<\/p>\n<h3>NHL Prediction<\/h3>\n<p>Expect Vancouver to push the pace early, especially through Hughes, but Anaheim\u2019s ability to finish rush chances should matter more as the game settles. Furthermore, Dostal provides a clearer edge in the crease than Vancouver can offer at the moment. Anaheim\u2019s top six continues to overwhelm weaker defensive teams, and Vancouver\u2019s depth forwards have struggled to hold their matchups. Ultimately, Anaheim\u2019s finishing, structure at home, and advantage in late-game moments should define the night.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Ducks win 4\u20132 (54.2% win probability)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Prediction Record:<\/strong> 5\u20133<\/p>\n<h3>Prop Bets of the Night<\/h3>\n<p>Tonight\u2019s prop card leans into Anaheim\u2019s high-end finishing. Gauthier anytime goal (+170) fits the matchup after an eight-game home point streak and a growing role on the rush. His ability to exploit Vancouver\u2019s transition struggles makes him the most logical scorer. Additionally Anaheim team&#8217;s total over 3.5 (-125)\u00a0 goals aligns cleanly with Vancouver\u2019s recent defensive trend and last-ranked penalty kill. Both plays match the projected 4\u20132 result and ride Anaheim\u2019s scoring talent without requiring a chaotic pace.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Betting Record:<\/strong> 9\u201310 (+1.04 units)<\/p>\n<p><em>Main Photo: Anne-Marie Sorvin-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Please play responsibly, check for your local rules and age restrictions; some jurisdictions require ages 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at Last Word On Hockey look at the games and give in-depth analysis. Our team breaks down the key matchups, storylines, and stats, then makes predictions based on how they might play out. This edition features the Anaheim Ducks taking on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5399,"featured_media":472618,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4524,20,4547,4548,26],"tags":[6013,7187,4803,3430,2138,6014],"class_list":["post-478595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl-predictions","category-ducks","category-hockey","category-nhl","category-canucks","tag-anaheim-ducks-predictions","tag-cutter-gauthier","tag-kevin-lankinen","tag-lukas-dostal","tag-quinn-hughes","tag-vancouver-canucks-predictions"],"modified_by":"Dan Mount, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/478595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5399"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=478595"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/478595\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":478602,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/478595\/revisions\/478602"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/472618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=478595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=478595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=478595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}