{"id":477586,"date":"2025-11-11T08:30:43","date_gmt":"2025-11-11T13:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=477586"},"modified":"2025-11-11T07:38:09","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T12:38:09","slug":"nhl-predictions-november-11th-anaheim-ducks-vs-colorado-avalanche","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/11\/nhl-predictions-november-11th-anaheim-ducks-vs-colorado-avalanche\/","title":{"rendered":"NHL Predictions: November 11th Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at Last Word on Hockey look at the games and give in-depth analysis. Our team breaks down the key matchups, storylines, and stats, then makes predictions based on how they might play out. This edition features the Anaheim Ducks taking on the Colorado Avalanche. Don\u2019t forget to check out more NHL Predictions, as our writers continue this series throughout the 2025\u201326 season.<\/p>\n<h2>NHL Predictions: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nhl.com\/gamecenter\/ana-vs-col\/2025\/11\/11\/2025020262\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Series:<\/strong> First meeting this season (2024\u201325: Ducks 0-3 Avalanche)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 9:30 PM Eastern Standard Time (EST); 6:30 PM Pacific Standard Time (PST)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/full-guide-for-how-to-stream-and-watch-nhl-hockey-games\/\" target=\"_self\">How to Watch Tutorial<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>US TV:<\/strong> TNT, truTV, HBO Max<\/p>\n<p><strong>Canada TV<\/strong>: Sportsnet, SN360<\/p>\n<h3>Setting the Stage<\/h3>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/10\/revisiting-anaheim-ducks-expectations-after-their-hot-start\/\" target=\"_self\">Anaheim Ducks<\/a> (11\u20133\u20131) and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/08\/nhl-predictions-nov-8-colorado-avalanche-vs-edmonton-oilers\/\" target=\"_self\">Colorado Avalanche<\/a> (10\u20131\u20135) meet in a matchup between two of the NHL\u2019s top-ranked teams, both featured at the top of <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6786538\/2025\/11\/07\/nhl-power-rankings-olympic-roster-avalanche\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Athletic\u2019s latest power rankings.<\/a> Anaheim arrives riding a seven-game winning streak, their longest since 2021, powered by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Leo Carlsson<\/a>\u2019s 10-game point streak and a resurgent power play that has struck in five straight games. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/q\/quennjo01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joel Quenneville<\/a>\u2019s group has turned early-season optimism into structure, confidence, and results.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Avalanche continue to look like a team playing a different sport. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/mackina01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nathan MacKinnon<\/a> is the league\u2019s leading scorer with 29 points in 16 games, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/makarca01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cale Makar<\/a>\u2019s 22 points from the back end keep Colorado\u2019s transition game operating at warp speed. They have earned points in seven straight and lead the NHL in five-on-five shot share and expected goals. It\u2019s a classic heavyweight-versus-upstart meeting: a polished champion against a contender learning to act like one.<\/p>\n<h3>Anaheim Ducks Storyline<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/02\/nhl-predictions-november-2nd-new-jersey-devils-vs-anaheim-ducks\/\" target=\"_self\">The Ducks<\/a>\u2019 surge has defied the odds and been defined by growth and cohesion. Carlsson has evolved into the team\u2019s offensive centrepiece, with 25 points in 15 games, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gauthcu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cutter Gauthier<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/terrytr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Troy Terry<\/a> continue to complement his blend of poise and playmaking. Anaheim\u2019s five-on-five numbers show maturity (52 percent Corsi For and a 56.5 percent goals-for rate), but their 48.5 expected goals percentage reveals they\u2019re finishing above expectation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/dostalu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lukas Dostal<\/a> has stabilised the crease with a .908 save percentage and remains one of the league\u2019s busiest goaltenders. The power play, ranked tenth at 23.7 percent, has become a difference-maker. Quenneville\u2019s lineup has found balance, and his young core is thriving under pressure, turning high-skill sequences into sustained scoring. However, their next game will be their biggest test yet.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m5auewuftd24\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreifnuvj2i6stxsnpvrqvit6exspda4nfbg5wrvhek2wjymoozbs2zu\">\n<p>Power play goal for Anaheim!Scored by Leo Carlsson with 17:13 remaining in the 3rd period.Assisted by Chris Kreider and Jackson LaCombe.Anaheim: 4Winnipeg: 1#WPGvsANA #FlyTogether #GoJetsGo<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3m5auewuftd24?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-10T05:13:00.620995Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>Colorado Avalanche Storyline<\/h3>\n<p>Colorado is once again the NHL\u2019s measuring stick. The Avalanche\u2019s five-on-five dominance is staggering: 61.9 percent goals-for, 58.5 percent Corsi, and 60.5 expected goals share. They\u2019re scoring 3.78 goals per 60 while allowing just 2.32, both top-three marks leaguewide. MacKinnon\u2019s nine-game point streak has coincided with Makar\u2019s road point streak reaching ten, the longest season-opening run in franchise history. Supporting depth has quietly been excellent too, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/l\/lehkoar01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Artturi Lehkonen<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/n\/nichuva01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Valeri Nichushkin<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/n\/necasma01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Martin Necas<\/a> all driving secondary production. Goaltender <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/w\/wedgesc01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-10_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Scott Wedgewood<\/a> (.906 save percentage) has given Colorado enough steadiness behind a defensive unit that limits chances through pure territorial control. In short, they\u2019re deep, fast, and frighteningly consistent.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m5awki2jkx2o\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreiapavzjw3r3csbwqrxqidxr4l7jzlr7cv3miphbhme6dq5fmzd5s4\">\n<p>Colorado goal!Scored by Gavin Brindley with 03:52 remaining in the OT period.Assisted by Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon.Vancouver: 4Colorado: 5#COLvsVAN #Canucks #GoAvsGo<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3m5awki2jkx2o?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-10T05:51:53.768496Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>The Model<\/h3>\n<p>Our blended model simulates this matchup 10,000 times using four independent inputs: the in-house projection, <a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/preview.htm?id=2025020262\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MoneyPuck<\/a>, the betting market (vig removed), and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.advancedhockeystats.com\/projections\/games\/2025020262\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Advanced Hockey Stats<\/a>. Each source is equally weighted to provide a balanced probability view. Results are recalculated nightly to reflect updated team strengths and recent form.<\/p>\n<p>Across the simulations, Colorado wins 66 percent of outcomes (fair odds ~\u2013194), while Anaheim claims 34 percent (+194). The Avalanche\u2019s superior expected-goal metrics and possession dominance provide the edge, but Anaheim\u2019s special teams efficiency narrows the gap slightly. Time will tell if the Ducks\u2019 current shooting surge will be stable long-term, yet their momentum and confidence make them a legitimate test for any team right now.<\/p>\n<h3>NHL Prediction<\/h3>\n<p>Expect fireworks. Colorado\u2019s offence will dictate tempo early, but Anaheim\u2019s power play should keep them within striking distance. If Dostal holds firm through the first twenty, the Ducks can make it interesting late. However, the Avalanche\u2019s depth and home-ice advantage usually tilt these contests back their way. MacKinnon\u2019s current form borders on inevitable, and Anaheim\u2019s penalty kill will have its hands full against a resurgent Colorado power play that just snapped an eight-game drought.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Avalanche win 4\u20132 (66% win probability)<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Prediction Record:<\/strong> 3\u20133<\/p>\n<h3>Prop Bets of the Night<\/h3>\n<p>We close this NHL Prediction by following a theme of sustained offence. The Avalanche team total over 3.5 goals (\u2212155) stands out, given Colorado\u2019s 4.13 goals per game and Anaheim\u2019s tendency to trade chances in transition. The second play focuses on Leo Carlsson to record over 0.5 points (\u2212180). The Ducks\u2019 top centre has been on a tear to start the season, registering at least a point in ten straight. The third angle is a fun momentum lean: over 1.5 goals in the first period (+300). Anaheim tends to start aggressively even on the road, while Colorado\u2019s first-period xGF sits top three leaguewide. If either goaltender blinks early, this one could open up fast.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025\u201326 Season Betting Record:<\/strong> 5\u20139 (\u22124.03 units)<\/p>\n<p><em>Please play responsibly, check for your local rules and age restrictions; some jurisdictions require ages 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Main Photo: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions. Each day, our writers here at Last Word on Hockey look at the games and give in-depth analysis. Our team breaks down the key matchups, storylines, and stats, then makes predictions based on how they might play out. This edition features the Anaheim Ducks taking on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5399,"featured_media":471863,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4524,20,28,4547,4548],"tags":[6013,6085,3430,77,2165,2426],"class_list":["post-477586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl-predictions","category-ducks","category-avalanche","category-hockey","category-nhl","tag-anaheim-ducks-predictions","tag-colorado-avalanche-predictions","tag-lukas-dostal","tag-nathan-mackinnon","tag-scott-wedgewood","tag-troy-terry"],"modified_by":"Dan Mount, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5399"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=477586"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477586\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":477602,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477586\/revisions\/477602"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/471863"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=477586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=477586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=477586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}