{"id":477531,"date":"2025-11-10T11:10:57","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T16:10:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=477531"},"modified":"2025-11-10T11:10:57","modified_gmt":"2025-11-10T16:10:57","slug":"revisiting-anaheim-ducks-expectations-after-their-hot-start","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/11\/10\/revisiting-anaheim-ducks-expectations-after-their-hot-start\/","title":{"rendered":"Revisiting Anaheim Ducks Expectations After Their Hot Start"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The<a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/09\/01\/puck-drop-preview-2025-26-anaheim-ducks\/\" target=\"_self\"> Anaheim Ducks<\/a> entered the 2025\u201326 NHL season projected to scrap for a wild-card spot. A month later, they sit first in the NHL&#8217;s Pacific Division at 11-3-1, riding a six-game winning streak and ranking second in the league by points percentage. After last night&#8217;s statement 4-1 game against the Winnipeg Jets, the body of work so far is undeniable. Anaheim is 9-1-0 in its last ten and has already earned national recognition, climbing to second in <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6786538\/2025\/11\/07\/nhl-power-rankings-olympic-roster-avalanche\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Athletic\u2019s power rankings<\/a>. It\u2019s time to revisit the Anaheim Ducks expectations because whatever ceiling fans imagined in October just got higher.<\/p>\n<h3>Carlsson and Gauthier Redefining Anaheim Ducks Expectations<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Leo Carlsson<\/a> looks every bit the franchise cornerstone Anaheim envisioned when they took him second overall. The 20-year-old has 25 points through 15 games, including a nine-game point streak, and now dictates play with the poise of a veteran. In addition, since the first game of the season, he&#8217;s only been held pointless once. His blend of patience and precision has stabilized the top line, and his off-puck intelligence is already elite. Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gauthcu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cutter Gauthier<\/a> has become the finisher Anaheim desperately needed with 11 goals in 15 games and shot volume that ranks among league leaders. Together, they\u2019ve given Anaheim a one-two offensive punch unseen since the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/getzlry01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ryan Getzlaf<\/a>\u2013<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/p\/perryco01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Corey Perry<\/a> era.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:kuqn4m4afm5j3nxjzc6z5d25\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m56bmxporc23\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreiae6b2y77cwaspvdn42dylrlohepotriz6fa3egufzelu5s2bbdrq\">\n<p lang=\"en\">Leo Carlsson. Nasty<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:kuqn4m4afm5j3nxjzc6z5d25?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dimitri Filipovic (@dimfilipovic.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:kuqn4m4afm5j3nxjzc6z5d25\/post\/3m56bmxporc23?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-09T04:32:09.569Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>Kreider and Trouba Bring New York Grit to the &#8220;Rangers South&#8221;<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/k\/kreidch01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chris Kreider<\/a> has rediscovered his scoring touch in Anaheim, dominating net-front on a revitalized power play. Yet <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/troubja01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jacob Trouba<\/a> has been the bigger revelation. Since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gudasra01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Radko Gudas<\/a>\u2019 injury, he has logged more than 25 minutes per night beside <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/z\/zellwol01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Olen Zellweger<\/a>, forming Anaheim\u2019s most effective defensive pair with a 63.9 percent expected-goal share. Trouba ranks sixth leaguewide in <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.hockeystatcards.com\/all\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">average GameScore<\/a> (1.93) and owns one of the season\u2019s top single-game marks at 5.98. He leads Anaheim defencemen in points and plus-minus while staying penalty-free through 14 games. Rangers fans are kicking themselves; his nine points would rank second among Rangers defencemen and ahead of every New York blueliner except <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/f\/foxad01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Adam Fox<\/a>, while Kreider would sit second in goals on that roster. Zellweger credits Trouba\u2019s calm presence and clear communication for simplifying his reads. Together, they\u2019ve given Anaheim a top pair built on experience, efficiency, and unexpected scoring touch.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:nhumwndmeeoy23aownhgcxem\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m56g72cusk2a\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreiaysqrztn6cowbatbwhv3bz6anprf27m5swyxz2e5bqbkke4tot5y\">\n<p lang=\"en\">Final\/OT: Ducks 4, Golden Knights 3JACOB TROUBA?! What&#39;re you doing up there?! Trouba&#39;s fourth goal of the season gets the Ducks&#39; sixth straight win, and Anaheim is all alone on top of the Pacific Division.Ducks host Winnipeg tomorrow night. @SportingTrib | #FlyTogether<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:nhumwndmeeoy23aownhgcxem?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Zach Cavanagh (@zachcavsports.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:nhumwndmeeoy23aownhgcxem\/post\/3m56g72cusk2a?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-09T05:53:51.242Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:nhumwndmeeoy23aownhgcxem\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m56glcfzls2a\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreifjldu3gpq2tl73atg5oalm22sihlttbqcsej4i6msykgjjyvlj3y\">\n<p lang=\"en\">Chris Kreider with the same reaction as most of us to Jacob Trouba scoring the Ducks overtime-winner in Vegas.#FlyTogether | #NYR<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:nhumwndmeeoy23aownhgcxem?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Zach Cavanagh (@zachcavsports.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:nhumwndmeeoy23aownhgcxem\/post\/3m56glcfzls2a?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-11-09T06:00:42.388Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>Coaching and Structure Elevating Anaheim Ducks Expectations<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/q\/quennjo01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joel Quenneville<\/a>\u2019s arrival brought instant stability. Anaheim now plays with detail, pace, patience, and consistent effort, hallmarks of his previous Stanley Cup teams. The breakout patterns are cleaner, the neutral-zone turnovers are down, and the counter-attacks are lethal. These are not Greg Cronin&#8217;s Ducks, as Quenneville has refined the team into a disciplined five-man system. Also behind the bench, Jay Woodcroft has quietly transformed the power play into one of the league\u2019s best. Anaheim ranks 10th at 23.7 percent, driven by fluid puck movement and net-front traffic. The Ducks have outshot opponents 70\u20137 on the man advantage and posted a 96 percent expected-goal share at 5v4, per <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.naturalstattrick.com\/teamreport.php?team=ANA\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Natural Stat Trick<\/a>. The penalty kill remains a weakness (76.5 percent), but the structure is tightening.<\/p>\n<h3>The Statistical Picture<\/h3>\n<p>At five-on-five, Anaheim\u2019s improvement is clear. Their 51.8 percent Corsi-for rate and 56.1 goals-for percentage signal growing control, even if the 48 percent expected-goals rate warns of slight overperformance. The team\u2019s PDO of 1.029 reflects hot shooting (11.4 percent) and reliable goaltending (.915 at even strength). Offence drives the success: 4.14 goals per game, first in the NHL, with balanced contributions across the lineup. The Ducks have already scored seven or more goals four times in their first 13 games, becoming the first team to do so since the 1990s Pittsburgh Penguins led by Jaromir Jagr. The Ducks\u2019 top line of Kreider\u2013Carlsson\u2013Terry has posted a 68.6 percent expected-goal share at 5v5 per <a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/lines.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MoneyPuck, <\/a>elite by any standard. Defensively, the blue line has tightened behind Trouba, <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/09\/25\/predicting-anaheim-duck-jackson-lacombes-stat-line-for-2025-26-season\/\" target=\"_self\">LaCombe<\/a>, Zellweger, and Mintyukov, each averaging above 47 percent in shot quality metrics.<\/p>\n<h3>The Dostal Effect and Defensive Reality<\/h3>\n<p>Goaltender <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/dostalu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lukas Dostal<\/a> has brought calm to the chaos. Through 12 starts, he\u2019s 8-3-1 with a .908 save percentage and a 2.66 goals-against average. While the numbers aren\u2019t spectacular, the timing of his saves has been. Anaheim\u2019s penalty kill still surrenders dangerous looks, allowing 26 percent of shots and over 20 percent of high-danger attempts, but Dostal\u2019s positioning and rebound control have prevented blowouts. Backup <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/mrazepe01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-11-09_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Petr Mrazek<\/a>\u2019s limited workload (3-0-0) underscores Dostal\u2019s reliability as the true starter. As Quenneville\u2019s defensive layers develop and solidify, expect the goals-against numbers to fall closer in line with their possession trends.<\/p>\n<h3>Power Play Precision<\/h3>\n<p>Woodcroft\u2019s design has brought purpose and variety. <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/09\/02\/predicting-anaheim-duck-leo-carlssons-stat-line-for-the-2025-2026-season\/\" target=\"_self\">Carlsson<\/a> orchestrates from the half-wall, manipulating penalty kills with poise beyond his years. Kreider camps in front, where he\u2019s become one of the league\u2019s most efficient tip threats again. The Ducks have already scored ten power-play goals, equal to their total from mid-December last year. Their 93 percent Corsi-for rate and 90 percent shot-share with the man advantage rank among league leaders. It\u2019s not just the structure that stands out; it\u2019s the confidence. Anaheim\u2019s power play now looks deliberate rather than desperate, a signature of elite coaching coordination.<\/p>\n<h3>Analytics vs. Reality<\/h3>\n<p>Models still show caution. MoneyPuck gives Anaheim an 82.5 percent chance to make the playoffs and a 7.3 percent shot at reaching the Stanley Cup Final. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.advancedhockeystats.com\/projections\/standings\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Advanced Hockey Stats<\/a> projects them for 86 points and just a 36 percent playoff probability, citing a modest expected-goal share profile. Yet every metric agrees on one thing, the Ducks are trending up fast. They currently sit sixth in MoneyPuck\u2019s power rankings, ahead of perennial contenders like Tampa Bay and Toronto. While their 48 percent xGF% suggests they\u2019re outperforming expectations, it\u2019s not unsustainable given the team\u2019s strong finishing talent and above-average goaltending.<\/p>\n<h3>Resetting Anaheim Ducks Expectations Going Forward<\/h3>\n<p>Before the season, Anaheim\u2019s internal goal was simple. They wanted to stay competitive, develop young talent, and make the playoffs. That narrative has shifted entirely. Now, the expectation is a top-three finish in the Pacific Division. With Quenneville\u2019s system settling in, Carlsson emerging as a true top-line centre, and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/09\/26\/predicting-anaheim-duck-cutter-gauthiers-stat-line-for-2025-26-season\/\" target=\"_self\">Gauthier<\/a> pacing for 40 goals, this isn\u2019t a fluke stretch, it\u2019s an inflection point. Veterans like Kreider and Trouba have legitimized the dressing room culture, and the kids have responded. If the penalty kill sharpens and Dostal maintains consistency, Anaheim\u2019s underlying numbers will catch up to their record.<\/p>\n<h3>The Last Word<\/h3>\n<p>For the first time in nearly a decade, Anaheim Ducks expectations feel both ambitious and realistic. Their offence is unstoppable, their stars are emerging, and their veterans are leading. The metrics show progress, not luck. As they continue to blend youthful creativity with championship-calibre guidance, the Ducks are no longer playing for respect, they\u2019re playing for position. And if this start is any indication, the rest of the Pacific is suddenly on the clock.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Anaheim Ducks entered the 2025\u201326 NHL season projected to scrap for a wild-card spot. A month later, they sit first in the NHL&#8217;s Pacific Division at 11-3-1, riding a six-game winning streak and ranking second in the league by points percentage. After last night&#8217;s statement 4-1 game against the Winnipeg Jets, the body of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5399,"featured_media":474839,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,4547,4548],"tags":[7187,1370,7589,3430],"class_list":["post-477531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ducks","category-hockey","category-nhl","tag-cutter-gauthier","tag-hockey-analytics","tag-leo-carlsson","tag-lukas-dostal"],"modified_by":"Levi Pike, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5399"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=477531"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477531\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":477554,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477531\/revisions\/477554"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/474839"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=477531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=477531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=477531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}