{"id":475844,"date":"2025-10-11T08:43:50","date_gmt":"2025-10-11T12:43:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=475844"},"modified":"2025-10-11T07:24:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-11T11:24:25","slug":"nhl-prediction-october-11-anaheim-ducks-vs-san-jose-sharks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/10\/11\/nhl-prediction-october-11-anaheim-ducks-vs-san-jose-sharks\/","title":{"rendered":"NHL Prediction: October 11 Anaheim Ducks vs San Jose Sharks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions from the team at <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/\" target=\"_self\">Last Word on Hockey<\/a>. Each day we break down the matchups and give you insight into projected outcomes using advanced stats and betting analysis. Tonight\u2019s Pacific Division matchup features the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/category\/ducks\/\" target=\"_self\">Anaheim Ducks<\/a> visiting the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/category\/sharks\/\" target=\"_self\">San Jose Sharks<\/a>\u00a0in an early-season clash between two clubs looking to stay ahead of the eight ball early in the season.<\/p>\n<h2>NHL Predictions: Anaheim Ducks vs San Jose Sharks<\/h2>\n<p><strong>2025-26 Head-to-Head<\/strong>: Ducks 0 &#8211; 0 Sharks<br \/>\n<strong>Time<\/strong>: 7:00 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (PDT)<br \/>\n<strong>TV:<\/strong> Victory+, NBCSCA, ESPN+<br \/>\n<strong>Location:<\/strong> SAP Center at San Jose, California<\/p>\n<h3>Matchup Overview<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/10\/05\/predicting-anaheim-ducks-troy-terry-stat-line-2025-26-nhl-fantasy-season\/\" target=\"_self\">Anaheim<\/a> enters this one 0\u20131\u20130 after a 3\u20131 loss to the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/10\/09\/nhl-prediction-oct-9-anaheim-ducks-vs-seattle-kraken\/\" target=\"_self\">Seattle Kraken<\/a> in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/q\/quennjo01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joel Quenneville<\/a>\u2019s coaching debut with the team. The Ducks started strong, outshooting Seattle 17\u20135 in the first period, but could not sustain pressure as the game wore on. Rookie <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/s\/sennebe01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Beckett Sennecke<\/a> scored his first NHL goal in the loss, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/mctavma01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mason McTavish<\/a> earning the primary assist. Meanwhile, the Sharks opened their season with a 3\u20131 victory, showing early signs of structure under new head coach Ryan Warsofsky. Both teams are building around youth and speed, but Anaheim\u2019s underlying metrics suggest their loss may have been more encouraging than the scoreboard implied.<\/p>\n<h3>Anaheim Ducks Storyline<\/h3>\n<p>Anaheim controlled 58 percent of Corsi and 55 percent of expected goals at five-on-five via <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.advancedhockeystats.com\/stats\/teams\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Advanced Hockey Stats<\/a>, evidence of their progress under Quenneville\u2019s system. Veterans <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/k\/kreidch01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chris Kreider<\/a> and Troy Terry helped drive play in transition, while McTavish and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/g\/gauthcu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cutter Gauthier<\/a> were active on the forecheck. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/dostalu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lukas Dostal<\/a> (.903 SV%) was sharp in net despite limited goal support. Only one game, but the Ducks rank fourth league-wide in xGF\/60 following their opener, and with more finishing luck, their process could soon translate into wins. Sennecke\u2019s poised debut adds another dimension to a forward group already heavy on skill.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m2snnfyjsu2w\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreig3ssvyupgqyjm7omudao5ouxoasvptppuqjcvbfxvscqxljoysgu\">\n<p>Anaheim goal!Scored by Beckett Sennecke with 15:49 remaining in the 1st period.Assisted by Mason McTavish.Seattle: 1Anaheim: 1#ANAvsSEA #SeaKraken #FlyTogether<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3m2snnfyjsu2w?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-10-10T02:44:51.497180Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>San Jose Sharks Storyline<\/h3>\n<p>The Sharks fell to 0-0-1 after a hard-luck 4-3 overtime loss to the Vegas Golden Knights in their season opener. Despite the defeat, there were promising signs under new coach Warsofsky. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/s\/skinnje01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jeff Skinner<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/w\/wennbal01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alexander Wennberg<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/k\/kurasph01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Philipp Kurashev<\/a> each scored, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/mukhash01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Shakir Mukhamadullin<\/a> stood out on the blue line with two assists and a team-leading 66.7 percent expected goals share via <a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/lines.htm\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MoneyPuck<\/a> alongside <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/o\/orlovdm01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dmitry Orlov<\/a>. That pairing controlled play, while the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/l\/leddyni01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nick Leddy<\/a>\u2013<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/k\/klingjo01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">John Klingberg<\/a> duo struggled to contain pressure, posting just 16.7 percent in the same metric. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/e\/eklunwi01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">William Eklund<\/a> generated several high-danger chances, including the sequence that led to Wennberg\u2019s 5-on-3 goal, but San Jose couldn\u2019t close it out after a late misplay by goaltender <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/n\/nedelal01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-10-11_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alex Nedeljkovic<\/a>. Even so, the Sharks\u2019 structure and puck movement looked markedly improved from last season, hinting at a more competitive group despite the early heartbreak.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bluesky-embed\" data-bluesky-uri=\"at:\/\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/app.bsky.feed.post\/3m2svkapwyo2w\" data-bluesky-cid=\"bafyreifjp6rl36kc4qiijdu5gzc54lwsrqmw4p3ru4l4qdjn3j6qlh2674\">\n<p>Vegas goal!Scored by Reilly Smith with 03:36 remaining in the OT period.Assisted by Shea Theodore.San Jose: 3Vegas: 4#VGKvsSJS #TheFutureIsTeal #VegasBorn<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a  href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3m2svkapwyo2w?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2025-10-10T05:06:12.784104Z<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/embed.bsky.app\/static\/embed.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"3142\" data-end=\"3171\"><strong data-start=\"3146\" data-end=\"3171\">Advanced Stats Summary<\/strong><\/h3>\n<div class=\"_tableContainer_1rjym_1\">\n<div class=\"group _tableWrapper_1rjym_13 flex w-fit flex-col-reverse\">\n<table class=\"w-fit min-w-(--thread-content-width)\" data-start=\"3173\" data-end=\"3636\">\n<thead data-start=\"3173\" data-end=\"3207\">\n<tr data-start=\"3173\" data-end=\"3207\">\n<th data-start=\"3173\" data-end=\"3182\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Metric<\/th>\n<th data-start=\"3182\" data-end=\"3190\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/th>\n<th data-start=\"3190\" data-end=\"3199\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Sharks<\/th>\n<th data-start=\"3199\" data-end=\"3207\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Edge<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody data-start=\"3229\" data-end=\"3636\">\n<tr data-start=\"3229\" data-end=\"3264\">\n<td data-start=\"3229\" data-end=\"3238\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Record<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3238\" data-end=\"3246\" data-col-size=\"sm\">0\u20131\u20130<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3246\" data-end=\"3254\" data-col-size=\"sm\">0\u20130\u20131<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3254\" data-end=\"3264\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Sharks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3265\" data-end=\"3314\">\n<td data-start=\"3265\" data-end=\"3285\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Corsi For % (CF%)<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3285\" data-end=\"3297\" data-col-size=\"sm\"><strong data-start=\"3287\" data-end=\"3296\">60.7%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3297\" data-end=\"3305\" data-col-size=\"sm\">45.9%<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3305\" data-end=\"3314\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3315\" data-end=\"3370\">\n<td data-start=\"3315\" data-end=\"3341\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Expected Goals % (xGF%)<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3341\" data-end=\"3353\" data-col-size=\"sm\"><strong data-start=\"3343\" data-end=\"3352\">55.0%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3353\" data-end=\"3361\" data-col-size=\"sm\">52.0%<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3361\" data-end=\"3370\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3371\" data-end=\"3424\">\n<td data-start=\"3371\" data-end=\"3395\" data-col-size=\"sm\">High-Danger Chances %<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3395\" data-end=\"3407\" data-col-size=\"sm\"><strong data-start=\"3397\" data-end=\"3406\">57.1%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3407\" data-end=\"3415\" data-col-size=\"sm\">48.6%<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3415\" data-end=\"3424\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3425\" data-end=\"3467\">\n<td data-start=\"3425\" data-end=\"3440\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Power Play %<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3440\" data-end=\"3446\" data-col-size=\"sm\">0.0<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3446\" data-end=\"3457\" data-col-size=\"sm\"><strong data-start=\"3448\" data-end=\"3456\">25.0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3457\" data-end=\"3467\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Sharks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3468\" data-end=\"3512\">\n<td data-start=\"3468\" data-end=\"3485\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Penalty Kill %<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3485\" data-end=\"3496\" data-col-size=\"sm\"><strong data-start=\"3487\" data-end=\"3495\">80.0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3496\" data-end=\"3503\" data-col-size=\"sm\">75.0<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3503\" data-end=\"3512\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3513\" data-end=\"3577\">\n<td data-start=\"3513\" data-end=\"3531\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Goaltending SV%<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3531\" data-end=\"3547\" data-col-size=\"sm\">.903 (Dostal)<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3547\" data-end=\"3568\" data-col-size=\"sm\">.871 (Nedeljkovic)<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3568\" data-end=\"3577\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr data-start=\"3578\" data-end=\"3636\">\n<td data-start=\"3578\" data-end=\"3607\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Simulation Win Probability<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3607\" data-end=\"3619\" data-col-size=\"sm\"><strong data-start=\"3609\" data-end=\"3618\">52.9%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3619\" data-end=\"3627\" data-col-size=\"sm\">47.1%<\/td>\n<td data-start=\"3627\" data-end=\"3636\" data-col-size=\"sm\">Ducks<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h3>NHL Prediction<\/h3>\n<p>Both teams enter this matchup with encouraging, if imperfect, opening-night efforts. Anaheim outshot Seattle 17\u20135 in the first period before fading, while San Jose controlled much of its game against Vegas but saw a fluky bounce erase a potential win. Special teams could swing the balance. The Ducks went 0-for-4 on the power play, while the Sharks capitalized on a 5-on-3 opportunity. With both clubs skating on the second half of back-to-backs, this one could turn into a battle of goaltending composure between Lukas Dostal and Alex Nedeljkovic.<\/p>\n<p>Our 100,000-game simulation projects Anaheim as 52.9 percent favourites, with an average score of 3.2 &#8211; 3.0 and an over 5.5 probability of 58.5 percent. The Ducks\u2019 strong underlying process gives them a slight edge despite being on the road. Expect Anaheim\u2019s possession game and net-front pressure to gradually wear down San Jose\u2019s defence.<\/p>\n<p>Slight edge to Anaheim, but only barely.<\/p>\n<p><strong>NHL Prediction:<\/strong> <em>Ducks win 4\u20133 (OT)<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>2025-2026 Season Prediction Record:<\/strong> 0-1<\/p>\n<h3>Prop Bets of the Night<\/h3>\n<p>Last game was rough for the betting slip, so we will try to get back on track in this one. Look for Mason McTavish over 0.5 points (-130) after logging a primary assist and generating four scoring chances in the opener. His line continues to drive Anaheim\u2019s offence. The second target is Anaheim Over 3.5 team total goals (+125) given San Jose&#8217;s poor defence, goaltending, and high event rates. Anaheim\u2019s possession edge and San Jose\u2019s counterattack potential should combine for a lively matchup in the Pacific Division.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2025-2026 Season Betting Record:<\/strong> 0\u20133 (-3.00 units)<\/p>\n<p>Stats courtesy of: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.advancedhockeystats.com\/stats\/teams\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Advanced Hockey Stats<\/a>, <a  href=\"https:\/\/evolving-hockey.com\/stats\/team_standard\/?_inputs_&amp;std_tm_table=%22On-Ice%22&amp;std_tm_team=%22All%22&amp;std_tm_str=%22All%22&amp;std_tm_adj=%22Score%20%26%20Venue%22&amp;std_tm_type=%22Rates%22&amp;std_tm_range=%22Seasons%22&amp;std_tm_span=%22Regular%22&amp;std_tm_group=%22Season%22&amp;dir_ttbl=%22Stats%22&amp;std_tm_season=%2220252026%22\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Evolving Hockey<\/a>, <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nhl.com\/gamecenter\/ana-vs-sjs\/2025\/10\/11\/2025020036\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NHL.com<\/a>, <a  href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MoneyPuck<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Main Photo Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to another edition of NHL Predictions from the team at Last Word on Hockey. Each day we break down the matchups and give you insight into projected outcomes using advanced stats and betting analysis. Tonight\u2019s Pacific Division matchup features the Anaheim Ducks visiting the San Jose Sharks\u00a0in an early-season clash between two clubs [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5399,"featured_media":447180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,4547,4548,4524,25],"tags":[6013,7928,6752,6060],"class_list":["post-475844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ducks","category-hockey","category-nhl","category-nhl-predictions","category-sharks","tag-anaheim-ducks-predictions","tag-beckett-sennecke","tag-mason-mctavish","tag-san-jose-sharks-predictions"],"modified_by":"Levi Pike, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/475844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5399"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=475844"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/475844\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":475861,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/475844\/revisions\/475861"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/447180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=475844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=475844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=475844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}