{"id":467826,"date":"2025-04-30T11:30:20","date_gmt":"2025-04-30T15:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=467826"},"modified":"2025-04-30T11:30:20","modified_gmt":"2025-04-30T15:30:20","slug":"nhl-predictions-tampa-bay-lightning-vs-florida","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/04\/30\/nhl-predictions-tampa-bay-lightning-vs-florida\/","title":{"rendered":"NHL Predictions Playoff Edition with Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers &#8211; Game 5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to NHL Predictions 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs style<strong>,<\/strong>\u00a0where we break down the matchups, analyze the chaos, and try to predict the future with the accuracy of a Florida weather forecast. Tonight, it\u2019s Game 5 of the <em>Battle for the Peninsula<\/em> as the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers return to Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Locked in a 3-1 battle that <em>shoulda\/coulda<\/em> been 2-2, there&#8217;s been more swings than a beachside hammock. Let\u2019s break it down and try to pick the winners.<\/p>\n<p><em>Series &#8211; Florida &#8211; 3 Tampa Bay &#8211; 1<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Eastern Conference Round One\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>TV: ESPN+<\/em><br \/>\n<em>Puck Drop: 7:30 p.m. EDT<\/em><\/p>\n<h3>NHL Predictions: Lightning Keys to Victory<\/h3>\n<p>Let&#8217;s break it down to four points.<strong> Kill the Momentum, Not Just the Penalty: <\/strong>After dropping Game 4 in excruciating fashion (two goals allowed in 11 seconds with 3+ minutes left), Tampa needs to <em>weather<\/em> Florida\u2019s early push. Scoring first would help, unless you&#8217;re superstitious about Lightning leads in Amalie, which, fair enough. <strong>Hit more:<\/strong> Being outhit 46-28 is not sending a message. Or at least it&#8217;s going unread. <strong>Power Play Precision: <\/strong>Kucherov and Point must rediscover their playoff magic. Tampa\u2019s man-advantage has been flatter than a panini (two last game to Florida&#8217;s three). If they get rolling, it\u2019s trouble for Florida. <strong>Vasy\u2019s Vengeance: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2025\/04\/24\/nhl-predictions-april-24-florida-panthers-vs-tampa-bay-lightning\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Andrei Vasilevskiy<\/a> hasn\u2019t looked quite like \u201cBig Cat\u201d \u2014 more like \u201cSlightly Annoyed Housecat.\u201d If he returns to form,\u00a0 NHL Predictions thinks Tampa can steal and seal this one.<\/p>\n<h3>Panthers Keys to Victory<\/h3>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the <a  href=\"https:\/\/m.imdb.com\/title\/tt10676052\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fantastic Four<\/a> points for Florida (shameless plug for the new Marvel movie)<strong>. Bennett the Menace: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/b\/bennesa01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-04-29_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sam Bennett<\/a> needs to get back to annoying everyone in a 30-foot radius. His three shots and no points last game won&#8217;t help to end this. His ability to get under Tampa\u2019s skin (and possibly into their dental records) is invaluable. <strong>Bobrovsky = Bubble Wrap: <\/strong>Bob\u2019s been inconsistent \u2014 brilliant in Games 1 and 2, leaky in Game 3, and lucky in Game 4. If \u201cGood Bob\u201d shows up, Tampa\u2019s going to need to phone a friend.\u00a0<strong>Barkovian Brilliance: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/b\/barkoal01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-04-29_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Aleksander Barkov<\/a> needs more than four assists and no goals in the first four Games. If he returns to dominating both ends of the ice, Florida has a good shot at ending the series.<\/p>\n<h3>NHL Predictions<\/h3>\n<p>This series should have been a coin flip. Both teams have the star power, grit, and goaltending (when they feel like it). But Florida took home ice from Tampa, and the Lightning almost, but didn&#8217;t, return the favour. Those 11 seconds still feel like 11 hours.\u00a0 Tampa probably doesn&#8217;t recover from that in this year&#8217;s <em>Battle of Florida<\/em> playoff edition.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Final Score Prediction: Florida 4 \u2013 Tampa Bay 2<\/strong><br \/>\n(Empty-net goal included, because of course Tampa will pull the goalie with 2:14 left.)<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h3>Prop Bets Worth a Look:<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/p\/pointbr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-04-29_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brayden Point<\/a> to score a goal:<\/strong> He\u2019s due, like that Amazon package from 2022.<\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/tkachma01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-04-29_hr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Matthew Tkachuk<\/a> over 1.5 points:<\/strong> The guy\u2019s built for playoff chaos.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Penalty Minutes \u2013 Sam Bennett over 2.5:<\/strong> Because he just <em>can\u2019t help himself<\/em>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Rich Storry &#8211; Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p><strong>Please play responsibly. Check your local rules and age restrictions. Some jurisdictions require ages 21+. Have a gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to NHL Predictions 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs style,\u00a0where we break down the matchups, analyze the chaos, and try to predict the future with the accuracy of a Florida weather forecast. Tonight, it\u2019s Game 5 of the Battle for the Peninsula as the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers return to Amalie Arena in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5453,"featured_media":467852,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4524,6,4547,4548,9],"tags":[8133,6255,6391],"class_list":["post-467826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl-predictions","category-panthers","category-hockey","category-nhl","category-lightning","tag-2025-stanley-cup-playoffs","tag-florida-panthers-predictions","tag-tampa-bay-lightning-predictions"],"modified_by":"Levi Pike, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/467826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5453"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=467826"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/467826\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":467854,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/467826\/revisions\/467854"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/467852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=467826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=467826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=467826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}