{"id":113254,"date":"2021-07-05T11:00:27","date_gmt":"2021-07-05T15:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/?p=113254"},"modified":"2021-07-04T21:54:23","modified_gmt":"2021-07-05T01:54:23","slug":"san-jose-sharks-brass-needs-to-be-honest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2021\/07\/05\/san-jose-sharks-brass-needs-to-be-honest\/","title":{"rendered":"San Jose Sharks Brass Needs to Be Honest"},"content":{"rendered":"

Perhaps no one made the point more clearly than San Jose Sharks<\/a> president Jonathan Becher. When asked about a rebuild, Becher responded, \u201cI\u2019ll reiterate what Doug (general manager Doug Wilson) has said. Our owner, Doug, myself, that\u2019s not something we want to live through. It\u2019d be hard for me to sell a three-year season ticket plan to somebody that says we plan not to be good for the next three to four years. It just doesn\u2019t feel right to me and I think it would be hard in this market.\u201d<\/p>\n

On this front, Becher isn\u2019t lying. It is hard to sell tickets to the fan base of a rebuilding team. But we have to be honest here. No one chooses a rebuild because it is the easy way to sell tickets. A team chooses to rebuild because it is the right longer-term choice for the organization.<\/p>\n

For the San Jose Sharks, a rebuild is the right choice. We\u2019ve covered this in recent articles, explaining why the Sharks are unlikely to be highly competitive<\/a> in the next few seasons. And if they can\u2019t be highly competitive, they should pick a target date when they can be and build towards that. In my prior pieces, I offered up what a plan might look like with a target date of 2025 as a return to serious contender status<\/span>.<\/p>\n

The San Jose Sharks Brass<\/h2>\n

It is worth noting who comprises the Sharks leadership and how responsibility is divided. The owner is Hasso Plattner. A resident of Germany, Plattner is a \u201cbehind the scenes\u201d owner who trusts his staff to make the right calls. His communications with both the hockey media and the Sharks fan base are few and far between. Plattner, who founded SAP, is 77 and among the wealthiest of NHL owners. He first bought a share of the team in 2002, became the team\u2019s majority owner in 2010, and the full owner in 2013.<\/p>\n

Becher is the team president, but it is more helpful to view him as the person in charge of the business side of the operation. Selling tickets and dealing with venue issues (including the new venue being built for the San Jose Barracuda of the AHL) are among the things on his plate.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Doug Wilson is in charge of the hockey side of the operation. The hockey decisions are his to make or delegate. Wilson has been in charge of the hockey side of the business since 2003. He has a long history with Plattner.<\/p>\n

To Do or Not To Do<\/h3>\n

It was Shakespeare who authored the phrase \u201cto be or not to be.\u201d For the Sharks, the question is \u201cto do or not to do?\u201d In prior pieces, I described processes and approaches for a rebuild. If there is a recurring theme, it is about <\/span>now<\/em><\/strong> versus later<\/strong><\/em>. The organization needs to optimize for later and we’ve detailed an approach<\/a>.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll offer one example here of what to do, and one of what not to do.<\/p>\n

On the \u201cto do\u201d list is collecting draft picks in return for taking on bad contracts. I previously mentioned Zach Parise<\/a>, Milan Lucic<\/a> and James Neal<\/a>. But there are more players to consider. Duncan Keith<\/a> of the Chicago Blackhawks<\/a> is rumored in trade talks<\/a> while Andrew Ladd<\/a>\u2019s deal with the New York Islanders<\/a> is a liability for a very competitive team. Between these five players, (none of them are the players they once were), there are another 12 NHL seasons under contract and well over 70 million dollars in highly inefficient cap space.<\/p>\n

A few seasons back, the Toronto Maple Leafs<\/a> gave up a first-round draft pick to offload $6.25 million of cap space when they traded Patrick Marleau<\/a> to the Carolina Hurricanes<\/a>. If the Sharks can find a way to tap into these sorts of situations (whether by acquiring the players or by accepting a portion of salary cap hit in a multi-team trade) and collect draft capital, they can potentially add several high draft picks<\/p>\n

On the \u201cnot to do\u201d list, is a buyout. A buyout creates a longer-term problem while improving shorter-term potential. Goalie Martin Jones<\/a> is often cited as a buyout candidate, He has three seasons left on his contract. The Sharks can buy him out, but this impacts the team\u2019s salary cap for six seasons, not three. A rebuild avoids decisions that turn a three-year problem into a six-year problem. If the goal is selling tickets in 2021, then a Jones buyout makes sense and the team can be better in 2021-22 because of it. But this is the wrong goal.<\/p>\n

San Jose Sharks Reality<\/h3>\n

The reality is pretty clear. The team has delivered back-to-back seasons which, prorated to a full 82 game season, would have the Sharks finishing in the low to mid-70 point range. It usually takes a point total in the mid-\u201990s to capture a playoff spot. This is nowhere close to a playoff team. There is talent, but much of it is declining. Currently, the Sharks have roughly $71 million in salary cap allocated to 15 players. About two-thirds of this cap hit is allocated to six players who will be 30 or older come the start of training camp. Several of the six have declined much faster than expected.<\/p>\n

Elsewhere, the prospect system has just two first-round draft picks in it (both late in the round) and is generally regarded among the weaker ones in the league (The Athletic had the team\u2019s prospect pool ranked 22nd<\/a>, Elite Prospects 20th<\/a>). Help from the prospect pool may come, but it isn\u2019t likely to have a substantial impact for another few seasons.<\/p>\n

It is not a pretty picture. The reality of the past two seasons resonates <\/span>loudly and clearly. Sure, there is some nuance in this and perhaps this team can be better than it has shown. But there is not ‘25 more points in 82 games’<\/em> worth of nuance.<\/p>\n

The headline to this article accuses the Sharks management of being disingenuous. It is a big claim, but I stand by it. The thing is, I\u2019m not quite sure who they are lying to.<\/a> Are they lying to the fans or are they lying to themselves? An ad featuring a goal from 2019<\/a> makes the case for both. Neither is good. The owner shouldn\u2019t allow either.<\/p>\n

The Blame Game?<\/h3>\n

This issue facing the Sharks isn\u2019t a blame game, but an acceptance of today\u2019s unfortunate reality.<\/p>\n

This is a team that is no longer competitive. One can come up with scenarios where the Sharks become competitive, but these scenarios are littered with the word \u2018if\u2019, and in many cases, the \u2018if\u2019 is unlikely. Even then, competitive<\/em> isn\u2019t Stanley Cup competitive<\/em>. It is more along the lines of get into the playoffs and hope<\/em> competitive. When a team\u2019s success is based on a whole lot \u2018if\u2019 statements panning out, the team is on the wrong path.<\/p>\n

The team got to this point by taking a variety of risks<\/a>, each of which was defensible. However, the expected rewards haven\u2019t been there. Such things happen in sports, in business and in life. When this happens, it is appropriate to abandon the plan which didn\u2019t work and move to a plan which can.<\/p>\n

No doubt, Becher is right about season ticket sales. But there is another way to lose a fan base. It is to be dishonest with them, then deliver an extended period of mediocrity led by an overpaid and aging roster. This is the path Becher\u2019s comment indicates the Sharks are taking. It is a path to nowhere. It needs to stop. Now.<\/p>\n

Path Forward<\/h3>\n

Reality requires San Jose Sharks management to insist on taking the best path to building a team that is highly competitive. Other teams have done this (here<\/a> and here<\/a>); the Sharks can, too.<\/p>\n

The Sharks are not a mess, at least not yet. But they can quickly become one if they fail to make the necessary choices.<\/p>\n

By nature, Wilson is highly competitive. Playing the long game via a rebuild is not in his nature. But 2021-22 can\u2019t be another season of what this past season was. A season where the Sharks tried a middle-ground approach, wasting time and giving up opportunity.<\/p>\n

It is often said that an organization\u2019s leader has few decisions to make and those few decisions are bigger and critical. Plattner, the Sharks owner, is there, now. He needs to push back on Becher and Wilson and edict a rebuild. Specifically, with Wilson, the owner should give him the choice to either accept the rebuild challenge or find another job.<\/p>\n

This is Plattner\u2019s decision to make. After all, he owns the team. To make the right decision, he needs to be honest. To himself, to his staff and to his fan base. And if he fails to make the rebuild decision, he\u2019ll not just own the team, he\u2019ll own the mess as well. In every conceivable way.<\/p>\n

Embed from Getty Images<\/a>