{"id":433659,"date":"2025-03-12T10:36:27","date_gmt":"2025-03-12T14:36:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/?p=433659"},"modified":"2025-04-23T16:39:36","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T16:39:36","slug":"2025-players-championship-odds-bets-and-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/2025-players-championship-odds-bets-and-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2025 Players Championship: Odds, Bets, and Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 2025 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is set to be a thrilling event, with a $4.5 million prize awaiting the winner. Here&#8217;s an analysis of the odds, best bets, underdogs, and potential bad bets for this year&#8217;s tournament.<\/p>\n<h2>Plays at The Players<\/h2>\n<h3>The Favorites<\/h3>\n<p>There\u2019s no surprise the heavy favorite coming into this weekend\u2019s championship is world no.1 Scottie Sheffler. The defending back-to-back champion is +360 to recapture his crown. A bet on Scheffler is a bet on something that hasn\u2019t happened in over a decade. Scheffler is looking to become the first player on the PGA Tour to win the same event 3 times in a row since Steve Stricker at the John Deere Classic (2009, 2010, 2011).<\/p>\n<p>Rory McIlroy, the second favorite at +800, is uneasy at Sawgrass. His inconsistency here doesn\u2019t make for a high value pick. Justin Thomas is a strong contender at +2000 due to his past success on this course. Thomas, who won the Players Championship in 2021, shows signs of resurgence with three top-10 finishes this year, including second at The American Express.<\/p>\n<p>Xander Shauffele\u2019s recent return from injury doesn\u2019t inspire much confidence heading into The Players. He finished <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/2025\/03\/10\/xander-shauffele-reminder-arnold-palmer-invitational\/\" target=\"_self\">T-40<\/a> after edging past the cut line by a stroke. At +1600 Shauffele may have the least value of the entire field to win it all.<\/p>\n<h3>Value Plays<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/2025\/03\/13\/collin-morikawa-and-rio-takeda-rewrite-the-script-of-dominance\/\" target=\"_self\">Collin Morikawa<\/a> has been in great form heading into this week. He saw the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/2025\/03\/05\/2025-arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-bets-analysis\/\" target=\"_self\">Arnold Palmer Invitational<\/a> ripped out of his hands by Russel Henley on the last hole this past weekend. With two other top-20 finishes in the past month, +1600 to win outright or +350 for a top-5 finish is something to think about.<\/p>\n<p>In maybe the best value play of the tournament, +1200 for Sepp Straka as top European could do some damage in Vegas. Since a poor outing at The Genesis Straka has finished T-11 and T-5. Straka is also a winner on tour taking down The American Express. It won\u2019t be easy with the likes of Mcilroy, Lowry, and Aberg to contend with.<\/p>\n<p>Last week saw Russel Henley conquer the Arnold Palmer Invitational not only as <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/2025\/03\/05\/2025-arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-bets-analysis\/\" target=\"_self\">top american<\/a> (+2800) but also as overall winner. The american who is coming in at the same odds this weekend is Keegan Bradley. Bradley has been Mr. Consistency on tour this year 4 finishes inside the top 15. This includes a T-6 at the Sony Open and a T-5 just last week. Although he\u2019s had some roller coaster performances in recent years, at those odds he is at the very least something to think about.<\/p>\n<h3>Longshot Possibilities<\/h3>\n<p>As many thought with Shane Lowry last week, many think <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/golf\/news\/2025-players-championship-picks-odds-field-surprising-predictions-from-golf-model-thats-nailed-13-majors\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hideki Matsuyama<\/a> (+3000) has a chance at Sawgrass this week. Matsuyama has had strong past performances at Sawgrass and a win already this year. His consistent play and ability to handle challenging courses make him a solid choice.<\/p>\n<p>For those interested in a hail mary, Aaron Rai could be your guy this week. At +10000 and a recent T-4 finish, there could be some legitimacy to throwing some dollars behind Rai. Finishing just outside the top-10 at the Arnold Palmer this may be the moment Rai makes that jump.<\/p>\n<p>Being one of the last tournaments before The Masters tees off, this is a huge chance for many players to earn their invitation to Augusta. Expect to see desperate players making some desperate plays to play for a green jacket. Finding some of those players who are fighting for one of those spots may not be a bad idea.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2025 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is set to be a thrilling event, with a $4.5 million prize awaiting the winner. Here&#8217;s an analysis of the odds, best bets, underdogs, and potential bad bets for this year&#8217;s tournament. Plays at The Players The Favorites There\u2019s no surprise the heavy favorite coming into this weekend\u2019s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4860,"featured_media":433700,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[15,246,19],"tags":[247,282],"class_list":["post-433659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-golf","category-golf-news","category-pga","tag-jordan-speith","tag-the-players-championship"],"modified_by":"yobodev","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4860"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=433659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433659\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=433659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=433659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/golf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=433659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}