{"id":667749,"date":"2026-04-17T09:30:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T13:30:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/?p=667749"},"modified":"2026-06-05T10:37:47","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T14:37:47","slug":"2026-fifa-world-cup-power-rankings-11-14-japan-and-belgium","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/2026\/04\/17\/2026-fifa-world-cup-power-rankings-11-14-japan-and-belgium\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 FIFA World Cup Power Rankings: 11-14 Including Japan and Norway"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After looking at teams ranked 48-15 in the World Cup field, we are at the stage that we are considering the dark horses of the tournament. These teams could upset the apple cart and make deep runs in the tournament, but group stage play won&#8217;t be a walk in the park. Look for Luka Modric in his last World Cup, and Erling Haaland in his first.<\/p>\n<h3>14. Ecuador<\/h3>\n<h3>(Group E with Germany, Curacao, and Ivory Coast)<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBWNvCFfpr\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 3974px; aspect-ratio: 3974\/2649;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p>\n<p>Placed in what might be the tournament\u2019s most intriguing group, Ecuador stand out as arguably the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/football\/2025\/oct\/10\/ecuador-2026-world-cup-usmnt-friendly-preview\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">best defensive side<\/a> in international football. Their pressing shape, discipline, and commitment in the back line make them incredibly hard to break down \u2014 yet a sharp drop-off in attacking quality leaves them in the dark horse category rather than among the true contenders.<\/p>\n<p>They finished second in CONMEBOL qualifying, a remarkable feat considering they started with a points deduction. After their penalty-shootout heartbreak against Argentina at Copa Am\u00e9rica, La Tri bounced back with impressive wins over both Colombia and Argentina in qualifying and even held Brazil to a draw.<\/p>\n<p>Post-qualification, results have been steady but not spectacular \u2014 five draws in six friendlies, with the only win coming over lower-ranked New\u202fZealand. Even when playing against ten men, they could only draw against the Netherlands, and they repeated that result versus Morocco in March. Defensively, they remain a brick wall, but they rarely click as a collective threat in attack.<\/p>\n<p>At 36, Enner Valencia (Pachuca) remains the heart and soul of Ecuador\u2019s frontline \u2014 a poacher, leader, and penalty specialist who still carries the nation on his back when goals are needed. He\u2019s reinforced by an exceptional supporting cast: Piero Hincapi\u00e9 (Arsenal) in defense, Mois\u00e9s Caicedo (Chelsea) commanding midfield duties, Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo) bringing flair down the wing, and Willian Pacho (PSG) anchoring the back line. Ecuador\u2019s development pipeline, led by Independiente del Valle, keeps producing elite talent, and this golden generation genuinely believes it can guide the country past the group stage for the first time since 2006. Ecuador have never reached a World Cup quarterfinal \u2014 but if they survive this group, they\u2019ll be real contenders to do it, even if it takes another shootout to get there.<\/p>\n<h3>13. Norway<\/h3>\n<h3>(Group I with Iraq, Senegal, and France)<\/h3>\n<p>With only four previous World Cup appearances, Norway\u2019s newfound golden generation has made them one of the competition\u2019s most talked\u2011about dark horses. The challenge, however, is monumental. France are title favorites, Senegal look like Africa\u2019s strongest side, and even Iraq \u2014 a play\u2011off qualifier \u2014 can be frustratingly compact and resilient. Norway\u2019s margin for error is razor\u2011thin.<\/p>\n<p>Their weapon, of course, is <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/2025\/09\/10\/erling-haalands-five-goal-game-pushes-norway-towards-first-world-cup-since-1998\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Erling Haaland<\/a> (Manchester City) \u2014 a once\u2011in\u2011a\u2011generation goalscorer capable of demolishing defenses on his day. His quest for the Golden Boot will be fueled by Martin \u00d8degaard (Arsenal) orchestrating from midfield, Alexander S\u00f8rloth (Atl\u00e9tico Madrid) providing physical presence, Patrick Berg (Bod\u00f8\/Glimt) adding balance, and Julian Ryerson (Borussia Dortmund) offering energy from the back. Norway have quietly become a talent factory, with Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica) and Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) among the U-23 prospects who could leave a mark this summer.<\/p>\n<p>The clash against Senegal will likely decide their fate. Norway are good enough to reach the knockouts \u2014 and no defense can completely contain Haaland when he\u2019s in rhythm. Their qualification run included dominant wins over Italy, showing their potential ceiling, although they stumbled in March with a narrow loss to the Netherlands and a low-tempo draw with Switzerland.<\/p>\n<h3>12. Croatia<\/h3>\n<h3>(Group L with England, Ghana and Japan)<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBEdZ7dgLv\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 4813px; aspect-ratio: 4813\/3210;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p>\n<p>Critics argue that Zlatko Dali\u0107\u2019s Croatia are past their prime, but experience cuts both ways \u2014 this is still the same nation that finished second at World Cup 2018 and took bronze in 2022. The \u201ctoo old\u201d narrative gained steam after their early Euro 2024 exit, yet Croatia continue to show they can deliver when it matters.<\/p>\n<p>Their recent form underscores that point: a 5\u20131 demolition of Czechia in qualifying, a win over Colombia, and a narrow defeat to Brazil this March. Croatia retain their dark\u2011horse status by combining tactical organization with tournament savvy few nations can match.<\/p>\n<p>At 40, <a href=\"https:\/\/extratimetalk.com\/modric-and-dzeko-two-balkan-football-legends\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luka Modri\u0107 (AC\u202fMilan)<\/a> remains the heartbeat of this team. Veterans Mario Pa\u0161ali\u0107 (Atalanta), Andrej Kramari\u0107 (Hoffenheim), and Ivan Peri\u0161i\u0107 (PSV) add experience and grit in terms of players 31+. There\u2019s fresh blood too \u2014 teenage center\u2011back Luka Vu\u0161kovi\u0107 (HSV) joins a disciplined, resilient setup that still expects to advance beyond the group. England and Japan will test their stamina, but Ghana\u2019s inconsistency opens the door. Croatia could easily frustrate England and complicate the group, though the question remains whether Modri\u0107 and Peri\u0161i\u0107 can withstand the physical demands of a full tournament where they must perform at a top level.<\/p>\n<h3>11. Japan<\/h3>\n<h3>(Group F with The Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia)<\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"e8c3ce70f1ad837bdffb21e2453272b6\" image-id=\"XhXPRRmVOPme\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 6236px; aspect-ratio: 6236\/4157;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p>\n<p>Japan enter a winnable group and have a credible case to top it. Asia\u2019s first World Cup qualifier has matured into a technically sharp, fearless unit unafraid to take on giants. Historically, the Samurai Blue have never gone beyond the Round of 16 \u2014 but this squad looks poised to rewrite that narrative.<\/p>\n<p>Following a mixed 2025 stretch \u2014 draws with Paraguay and Mexico, a loss to the United States \u2014 they turned a corner by beating Brazil in October, then edging Scotland and England on home soil in March. Nearly all of Japan\u2019s roster <a href=\"https:\/\/howfootballexplainsasia.substack.com\/p\/the-changing-japanese-pathway-to\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">plays in Europe now<\/a>, a testament to the J.League\u2019s development success and export model.<\/p>\n<p>Hiroki It\u014d (Bayern Munich) anchors the defense, Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton) and Ritsu D\u014dan (Frankfurt) bring dynamism in midfield, and Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace) provides the creative link. Up front, Daizen Maeda (Celtic) and Ayase Ueda (Feyenoord) share striking duties. The major absence is Takumi Minamino (Monaco), sidelined with an ACL injury, his absence keeping them from having even higher ambitions than 11th out of 48 teams.<\/p>\n<p>Japan\u2019s group pivot game will likely be the showdown with Sweden, but they have enough tactical cohesion and mental resilience to trouble the Netherlands too. Their collective identity \u2014 quick transitions, pressing lines, and disciplined buildup \u2014 often outperforms their market value, making Japan a dangerous opponent for anyone.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Smartframe Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After looking at teams ranked 48-15 in the World Cup field, we are at the stage that we are considering the dark horses of the tournament. These teams could upset the apple cart and make deep runs in the tournament, but group stage play won&#8217;t be a walk in the park. Look for Luka Modric [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1442,"featured_media":668059,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":true,"sfio_embed_code":"<smartframe-embed customer-id=\"a61405551f80e72f675225f083759bb9\" image-id=\"fwuQjPdcZa0A\" style=\"width: 100%;max-width: 4500px;aspect-ratio: 4500\/3000\"><\/smartframe-embed><!-- https:\/\/smartframe.io\/embedding-support -->","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2132,2,161],"tags":[798,801,1188,1393,1275,2251,7475,452,437,2157],"class_list":["post-667749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world-cup","category-featured","category-international-football","tag-2026-world-cup","tag-croatia","tag-ecuador","tag-erling-haaland","tag-japan","tag-luka-modric","tag-moises-caicedo","tag-norway","tag-world-cup","tag-world-cup-predictions"],"modified_by":"Michael Kovacs, ADMIN","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/667749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1442"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=667749"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/667749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":668065,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/667749\/revisions\/668065"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/668059"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=667749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=667749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/football\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=667749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}