{"id":65242,"date":"2024-10-01T12:00:20","date_gmt":"2024-10-01T16:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/?p=65242"},"modified":"2025-09-16T23:05:38","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T03:05:38","slug":"2024-week-five-bowl-projections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2024\/10\/01\/2024-week-five-bowl-projections\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Week Five Bowl Projections"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Big Changes At The Top<\/h3>\n<p>Hello everyone and welcome to our 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections. Once or twice a year you get a weekend featuring several upsets. As a result, it turns the picks into a giant Etch-A-Sketch. That was the case this past weekend as three top-ten teams lost. That means we have a new team at the top of the chart. In addition, there&#8217;s a lot of movement within our top 12.<\/p>\n<h3>How The Process Works<\/h3>\n<p>As you are probably aware the playoff expanded to 12 teams this year. The winners of the major conferences will be seeded 1-4 by the committee. The top Group Of Five squad gets a berth, leaving seven teams fighting for the other spots. Champions of the Power Four get a first-round bye while the other eight meet in games played at the higher seed. In addition, many of the New Year\u2019s Six games are now playoff games. With all the backstory out of the way let\u2019s get to our picks.<\/p>\n<h3>College Football Playoff First Round<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Friday, December 20th- (12) Boise State at (5) Alabama-<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/ashton-jeanty-1.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-30_cfb\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ashton Jeanty<\/a> continues to put up incredible numbers week after week. For now, we&#8217;re keeping them as our Group of Five teams over UNLV and James Madison. The Crimson Tide beat Georgia in <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2024\/09\/29\/big-play-freshmen-alabama-halts-georgias-comeback-41-34\/\" target=\"_self\">one of the best games you&#8217;ll see. <\/a>As a result, they move up to fifth.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Saturday, December 21st- (9) Georgia at (8) Penn State- <\/strong>The Bulldogs nearly pulled out an incredible comeback win. However, their loss drops them from not only the top spot but a visitor for the first round. The Nittany Lions move up a spot and now host a first-round game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Saturday, December 21st- (11) Iowa State at (6) Tennessee- <\/strong>The Cyclones make their first appearance in our playoff. Currently 3-0 they have a real chance at 10-0 before playing Utah on the next to last week of the season. The Vols had the week off but moved up a spot as well. <strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Saturday, December 21st- (10) Clemson vs. (7) Oregon<\/strong>\u2013The Ducks take Ole Miss&#8217;s spot after their loss to Kentucky. Dabo&#8217;s Tigers move up one after easily beating Stanford.<\/p>\n<h3>College Football Playoff Quarterfinals<\/h3>\n<p><strong>VRBO Fiesta Bowl- Tuesday, December 31st- (5) Alabama at (4) BYU-<\/strong> As a result of Utah&#8217;s loss to Arizona we&#8217;re projecting the Cougars as our Big 12 Champion.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl- Wednesday, January 1st- (6) Tennessee vs. (3) Miami (Florida)-<\/strong> Was it a catch or was it incomplete? The end of the Miami-Virginia Tech game will be argued for a long time.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rose Bowl- Wednesday, January 1st- (7) Oregon vs. (2) Ohio State-<\/strong> If this works out we get what would have been a traditional match-up in Pasadena.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Allstate Sugar Bowl- Wednesday, January 1st- (8) Penn State vs. (1) Texas- <\/strong>With Georgia&#8217;s loss the Longhorns move to the top spot this week.<\/p>\n<h3>College Football Semi-Finals And Final<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Capital One Orange Bowl- Thursday, January 9th- (5) Alabama vs (1) Texas- <\/strong>A rematch of the SEC title game looks likely.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Goodyear Cotton Bowl- Friday, January 10th-<\/strong> <strong>(3) Miami vs. (2) Ohio State-<\/strong> The schools have met four times with each winning twice.<\/p>\n<p><strong>College Football National Championship- Atlanta, Georgia- Monday, January 20th- (2) Ohio State vs. (1) Texas-<\/strong> The Longhorns hold a 2-1 lead all-time. However, they haven&#8217;t met since 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Well, that\u2019s a lot to digest but we\u2019ve still got a lot more to come. Let\u2019s move on with the 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections.<\/p>\n<h3>Filling The Void<\/h3>\n<p>A few things to consider as we go through the remainder of the games. With the end of the Pac-12, many of the old teams from the league are eligible to fill those bowl slots. Those are the Alamo, Holiday Independence, LA, Las Vegas, and Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl. While Oregon State and Washington State are of course eligible don\u2019t be surprised to see former Pac-12 schools as well.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, bowls try to avoid teams playing in the same game in back-to-back years. However, with all the conference swapping madness duplicates are a definite possibility. One other thing you\u2019ll notice is with five SEC schools in the playoff we had more games with league tie-ins than we had teams.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s check out our next set of games with our 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections.<\/p>\n<h3>Games Around The New Year<\/h3>\n<p><strong>TransPerfect Music City Bowl- December 30th Big Ten vs. SEC- Illinois vs. South Carolina<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Reliaquest Bowl- December 31st- SEC vs. Big Ten- Ole Miss vs. Iowa- <\/strong>The Rebels fall out of the playoff after their loss to Kentucky. A fun match-up awaits with a great offense versus a great defense.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl- December 31st- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Pac-12- Boston College vs. California- <\/strong>This is an interesting one with Cal representing its old conference against its new one. However, these two don\u2019t play during the season so why not?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cheez-It Citrus Bowl- December 31st- Big Ten vs. SEC- Missouri vs. Michigan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Texas Bowl- December 31st- Big 12 vs. SEC- Oklahoma vs. Colorado- <\/strong>The 4-1 Buffaloes make their first appearance in our projections. Why not a battle of former Big 8 schools?<\/p>\n<p><strong>TaxSlayer Gator Bowl- January 2nd- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. SEC- LSU vs. Louisville<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>ServPro First Responder Bowl- January 3rd- American\/ACC\/Big 12- Cincinnati vs. Sam Houston State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Duke\u2019s Mayo Bowl- January 3rd- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Big Ten- Pittsburgh vs. Indiana-<\/strong> The SEC and Big Ten alternate every other year in this contest and in 2024 it\u2019s the Big Ten\u2019s turn.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Bahamas Bowl- January 4th- Conference USA vs. MAC- Florida International vs. Bowling Green<\/strong>\u2013 The game is back in its normal home this year. In addition, it\u2019s moving from the first weekend to the last non-playoff bowl.<\/p>\n<p>Continuing with our 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections let\u2019s move to the contests held just after Christmas.<\/p>\n<h3>After Christmas Bowl Games<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Detroit Bowl- December 26th- Big Ten vs. MAC- Wisconsin vs. Northern Illinois- <\/strong>The Huskies have dropped two in a row since beating Notre Dame.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Guaranteed Rate Bowl- December 26th- Big 12 vs. Big Ten- West Virginia vs. Rutgers<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>68 Ventures Bowl- December 26th- Conference USA\/MAC\/Sun Belt- Ohio vs. Texas State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>76 Birmingham Bowl- December 27th- ACC\/SEC\/American- Syracuse vs. East Carolina<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl- December 27th- Big 12 vs. Pool- South Alabama vs. Kansas State<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>AutoZone Liberty Bowl- December 27th- Big 12 vs. SEC- Texas A&amp;M vs. Central Florida<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl- December 27th- SEC vs. Pac-12- Kentucky vs. Washington State- <\/strong>With the Big Ten playing in the Mayo Bowl it\u2019s the SEC\u2019s turn to head to Las Vegas. The Wildcats <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2024\/09\/28\/kentucky-upsets-ole-miss-20-17\/\" target=\"_self\">upset Ole Miss on the road<\/a> winning in Oxford for the first time since 1978.<\/p>\n<p><strong>DirecTV Holiday Bowl- December 27th- ACC vs. Pac-12- SMU vs. Arizona<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The biggest date as far as the number of games is December 28th with eight bowls total. Let\u2019s go through each of them with our 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections.<\/p>\n<h3>A Huge Day Of Games<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Wasabi Fenway Bowl- December 28th- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. American- Virginia Tech vs. South Florida<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl- December 28th- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Big Ten- Duke Carolina vs. Nebraska<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Isleta New Mexico Bowl- December 28th- Mountain West vs. American\/Conference USA\/MAC\/Sun Belt- Louisiana-Monroe vs. San Jose State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Pop-Tarts Bowl- December 28th- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Big 12- Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl- December 28th- MAC vs. Mountain West- Utah State vs. Central Michigan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Go Bowling Military Bowl- December 28th- ACC\/Notre Dame vs. American- Maryland* vs. Navy- <\/strong>The Terrapins make the short trip as we have no American team available.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Valero Alamo Bowl- December 28th- Big 12 vs. Pac-12- Utah vs. USC<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl- December 28th- Army\/ American vs. Pac-12- Army vs. Arizona State<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Army and Navy are both 4-0 and are well on their way to six wins. That&#8217;s important because they\u2019ll need to get to six before meeting on December 14th. The reason is final bowl selections are the Sunday before.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s finish up our 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections with a look at the first slate of contests.<\/p>\n<h3>Early Season Bowl Games<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Cricket Celebration Bowl- December 14th- MEAC vs. SWAC- Jackson State vs. Howard<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Camellia Bowl- December 14th- MAC vs. Sun Belt- Louisiana vs. Texas San-Antonio<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Boca Raton Bowl- December 17th- American\/Conference USA\/MAC\/Mountain West\/Sun Belt- Georgia Southern vs. Western Kentucky<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Scooter\u2019s Coffee Frisco Bowl- December 17th- American\/Conference USA\/MAC\/Mountain West\/Sun Belt- Georgia Tech vs. Texas Tech<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>LA Bowl Presented By Gronk- December 18th- Pac-12 vs. Mountain West- UNLV vs. Oregon State- <\/strong>Despite all the craziness around the Rebels program over the last week they had no trouble with Fresno State.<\/p>\n<p><strong>R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl- December 19th- Conference USA vs. Sun Belt- Coastal Carolina vs. Liberty<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Staff DNA Cure Bowl- December 20th American\/Conference USA\/MAC\/Mountain West\/Sun Belt- James Madison vs. North Texas- <\/strong>The Dukes again just missed being our Group Of Five team.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl- December 20th- American vs. ACC\/SEC<\/strong>\u2013 <strong>Memphis vs. Michigan State *<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Myrtle Beach Bowl- December 23rd- American\/MAC\/Sun Belt- Appalachian State vs. Toledo<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Famous Idaho Potato Bowl- December 23rd- MAC vs. Mountain West- Colorado State vs. Buffalo<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Hawai\u2019i Bowl- December 24th- Conference USA vs. Mountain West- Fresno State vs. Tulane<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>*Denotes a replacement team for a conference without enough bowl-eligible teams.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Games We Are Watching This Weekend<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While not as huge of a slate as this past weekend there are a few contests we are closely monitoring. Those include Missouri at Texas A&amp;M, SMU at Louisville, and Ole Miss at South Carolina.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks for checking out the 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections here at Last Word On College Football.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_63917\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-63917\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-63917\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"2024 Week Two Bowl Projections: A huge upset changed around several teams' positioning in our playoff picks this week.\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/09\/USATSI_22249940_168400542_lowres-1200x800.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-63917\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo courtesy: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images<br \/>Jan 8, 2024; Houston, TX, USA; A view of the CFP Trophy before the 2024 College Football Playoff national championship game between the Michigan Wolverines and the Washington Huskies at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-26\">\n<div id=\"lwos_incontent_3\" align=\"center\" data-freestar-ad=\"__336x280 __300x250\" data-google-query-id=\"CKPBhMO_5IgDFcnQTwIdQmoD6g\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/15184186,22512265771\/lwos_incontent_3_0__container__\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Big Changes At The Top Hello everyone and welcome to our 2024 Week Five Bowl Projections. Once or twice a year you get a weekend featuring several upsets. As a result, it turns the picks into a giant Etch-A-Sketch. That was the case this past weekend as three top-ten teams lost. That means we have [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":877,"featured_media":63917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7361,2],"tags":[33666,35628,6992,5476,35627,184,9342,140,126,5475],"class_list":["post-65242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bowl-games","category-featured","tag-2024-college-football-playoff-projetions","tag-aac-bowl-projections","tag-acc-bowl-projections","tag-big-12-bowl-projections","tag-big-ten-bowl-projections","tag-cfb","tag-etch-a-sketch","tag-fbs","tag-ncaa","tag-sec-bowl-projections"],"modified_by":"Michael Kovacs, ADMIN","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/877"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65242"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65242\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":79910,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65242\/revisions\/79910"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}