{"id":47112,"date":"2022-11-29T09:00:41","date_gmt":"2022-11-29T14:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/?p=47112"},"modified":"2025-09-16T23:06:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T03:06:52","slug":"2022-week-13-bowl-projections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2022\/11\/29\/2022-week-13-bowl-projections\/","title":{"rendered":"2022 Week 13 Bowl Projections"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Rivalry Week Causes Chaos<\/h3>\n<p>The final weekend of the regular season is of course known as &#8220;Rivalry Week.&#8221; During this time you can throw out all the analytics because they really don&#8217;t mean much. This past weekend was no exception where four of the top ten teams lost. As a result, we have some major changes to our playoff and selection committee games. Let&#8217;s break it down with our 2022 Week 13 Bowl Projections. As always if you&#8217;d like to see how much things changed from Week 12 <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2022\/11\/22\/2022-week-12-bowl-projections\/\" target=\"_self\">click here.<\/a><\/p>\n<h3>College Football Playoff<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl- December 31st- (1) Georgia vs. (4) USC-\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/coaches\/kirby-smart-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kirby Smart\u2019s <\/a>club pulled away in the second half to beat Georgia Tech 37-14. They remain in the top spot as they get ready for the SEC title game against LSU.<\/p>\n<p>Behind <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/caleb-williams-3.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Caleb Williams\u2019 <\/a>monster game the Trojans knocked off Notre Dame 38-27. They&#8217;ll play Utah in the Pac-12 title game on Friday night.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Vrbo Fiesta Bowl- December 31st- (2) Michigan vs. (3) TCU-<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/jj-mccarthy-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">J.J.<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/jj-mccarthy-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> McCarthy<\/a> outplayed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/cj-stroud-1.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">C.J. Stroud<\/a> as the Wolverines went into Columbus and flat out whipped Ohio State 45-23 on Saturday. They take OSU&#8217;s place in the playoff.<\/p>\n<p>The Horned Frogs capped out a perfect regular season with a 62-14 thumping of Iowa State where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/max-duggan-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Max Duggan <\/a>threw for three touchdowns. They&#8217;ll play Kansas State in the Big 12 title game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>College Football National Championship- January 9th- (1)- Georgia vs. (2) Michigan-<\/strong> Remember how we said the match up for this game wouldn&#8217;t change unless something crazy happened. Well Saturday took care of that.<\/p>\n<h3>Selection Committee Games<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Orange Bowl- December 30th- ACC vs. SEC\/Big 10\/Notre Dame<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Clemson vs. Tennessee-<\/strong> The Tigers slim hopes of making the playoff ended when South Carolina ended their 40 game home winning streak 31-30. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/joe-milton-2.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Joe Milton<\/a> didn&#8217;t have to do a whole lot in replacing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/hendon-hooker-1.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hendon Hooker<\/a> as the Vols blasted Vanderbilt 56-0. <strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sugar Bowl- December 31st- SEC vs. Big 12 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Alabama vs. Kansas State- <\/strong>Normally the SEC title game runner-up heads to New Orleans unless there&#8217;s someone ranked higher. That&#8217;s the case this year as both the Crimson Tide and Vols will be above LSU. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/bryce-young-1.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bryce Young<\/a>&#8216;s 343 yards and three touchdowns led &#8216;Bama to an easy Iron Bowl win.<\/p>\n<p>The Wildcats took care of Kansas and now face TCU in the Big 12 title game.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cotton Bowl- January 2nd- At Large vs. At Large<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Penn State vs. Tulane- <\/strong>The Green Wave had lost 61 straight games to ranked clubs. They changed that on Friday when they knocked off Cincinnati on the road. As a result, they not only get to host the AAC title game but also become our Group Of Five team again.<\/p>\n<p>With Clemson, LSU, and Oregon all losing on Saturday the Nittany Lions are now the favorite to get the Cotton Bowl bid. That of course will create a big ripple effect with the Big 10 games which we will get to shortly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rose Bowl- January 2nd-Big 10 vs. Pac 12<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ohio State vs. Washington-<\/strong> Despite all the lobbying from the Big 10 it&#8217;s unlikely the Buckeyes sneak in as the fourth playoff team. The Huskies replace USC as the Pac-12 team heading to Pasadena.<\/p>\n<h3>Who&#8217;s In And Who&#8217;s Out<\/h3>\n<p>Right now there are 79 bowl-eligible teams so we won&#8217;t need the Frisco Football Classic. Buffalo could have been number 80 but they lost to Kent State in overtime. They get one more shot on Friday when they host a 2-9 Akron team.<\/p>\n<p>We are at the point now where school APR numbers come into play for 5-7 schools. Currently, the top two are Rice and UNLV. They along with Buffalo round out our 82 teams.<\/p>\n<p>LSU&#8217;s loss to Texas A&amp;M and Penn State moving up to the Cotton Bowl that necessitated numerous changes in the Big 10 and SEC games.<\/p>\n<p>Two other notes an # means a replacement team for a league that doesn&#8217;t have enough teams to qualify. An * means the team has accepted a bid to that bowl.<\/p>\n<h3>Games Around The New Year<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Citrus Bowl- January 2nd-Big 10 vs. SEC- LSU vs. Purdue<\/strong><strong>\u2013 <\/strong>The Tigers&#8217; loss to Texas A&amp;M took them out of the selection committee games. If Georgia blows them out in the SEC title game it&#8217;s entirely possible South Carolina could leapfrog them as well. On the other side of the ball, the Boilermakers ended up as the Big 10 West Champ and head to Orlando.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ReliaQuest Bowl- January 2nd- Big 10\/ACC vs. SEC- Iowa vs. Ole Miss<\/strong><strong>\u2013 <\/strong>A few weeks ago the Rebels were on the cusp of a New Year&#8217;s Six games. However, three straight losses knocked them out of major bowl consideration.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Music City Bowl- December 31st- Big 10 vs. SEC- Kentucky vs. Illinois- <\/strong>The Wildcats picked up their <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2022\/11\/27\/kentucky-retains-the-governors-cup\/\" target=\"_self\">fourth straight win over Louisville. <\/a>Last week we talked about how this game is happening at the same time as the UK-UL basketball game and the school didn&#8217;t want to split the fan base. However, those close to the program say that won&#8217;t matter so we&#8217;re sending UK to Nashville.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl- December 30th- Mountain West vs. Mid-American- Fresno State<\/strong><strong> vs. Toledo<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Duke\u2019s Mayo Bowl- December 30th- ACC vs. Big 10- Minnesota vs. North Carolina State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl- December 30th- ACC vs. Pac 12- Louisville vs. Oregon State<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>TaxSlayer Gator Bowl-<\/strong> <strong>December 30th- ACC vs. SEC- Notre Dame vs. South Carolina<\/strong><strong>&#8211;<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/spencer-rattler-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Spencer<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/spencer-rattler-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Rattler <\/a> and the Gamecocks are on quite the roll right now after ending both Tennessee and Clemson&#8217;s playoff hopes. Should they jump LSU in the final rankings you can be assured we&#8217;re putting the Tigers in this game.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Post-Christmas Day Games<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Quick Lane Bowl- December 26th<\/strong>\u2013<strong>Big 10 vs. Mid-American- #Connecticut vs. Ohio- <\/strong>With no Big 10 team available we&#8217;re sending the Huskies to Detroit as a replacement.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Birmingham Bowl- December 27th- Pool vs. AAC\/ACC\/SEC- Memphis vs. Missouri\u00a0<\/strong> <strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Camellia Bowl- December 27th<\/strong>\u2013 <strong>MAC vs. Sun Belt\/Conference USA\/Pool<\/strong><strong>\u2013 UNLV vs. South Alabama<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>First Responder Bowl- December 27th- Big 12 vs. Pool- Kansas vs. San Jose State<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Guaranteed Rate Bowl- December 27th- Big 12 vs. Big 10- Maryland vs. Texas Tech<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Holiday Bowl- December 28th- ACC vs. Pac 12- Florida State vs. Utah<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Liberty Bowl- December 28th-Big 12 vs. SEC- Baylor vs. Florida<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Military Bowl- December 28th-ACC vs. American- Cincinnati vs. Wake Forest- <\/strong>The Demon Deacons end of the season slide continued in <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2022\/11\/26\/47120-wake-forest-falls-to-duke-34-31\/\" target=\"_self\">a 34-31 loss to Duke.<\/a> UC is searching for a new coach after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/luke-fickell-1.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luke Fickell<\/a> left for Wisconsin.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Texas Bowl- December 28th- SEC vs. Big 12- Arkansas vs. Oklahoma<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Alamo Bowl- December 29th- Big 12 vs. Pac 12- Oregon vs. Texas<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cheez-It Bowl- December 29th- ACC vs. Big 12- <\/strong><strong>North Carolina vs. Oklahoma State- <\/strong>As much fun as the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/coaches\/mack-brown-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mack Brown<\/a> bowl would be we think the Longhorns will now end up in the Alamo Bowl.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pinstripe Bowl- December 29th- ACC vs. Big 10- Pittsburgh<\/strong><strong> vs. Wisconsin<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As we go through the final sets of games in our 2022 Week 13 Bowl Projections there are a couple of changes from last week.<\/p>\n<h3>Games Around Christmas<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Myrtle Beach Bowl- December 19th- Pool vs. Pool- <\/strong><strong>Rice vs. Southern Mississippi<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Boca Raton Bowl- December 20th- Pool vs. Pool- Buffalo<\/strong><strong> vs. Western Kentucky<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Idaho Potato Bowl- December 20th-Mid-American vs. Mountain West- <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bowling Green vs. Wyoming<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>New Orleans Bowl- December 21st- Conference USA vs. Sun Belt<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Coastal Carolina vs. Texas San-Antonio<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Armed Forces Bowl- December 22nd-American vs. Pool- Air Force<\/strong><strong> vs. BYU<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Gasparilla Bowl- December 23rd- ACC\/SEC vs. Pool<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Duke vs. Houston<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Independence Bowl- December 23rd- American vs. Army- Central Florida vs. Louisiana<\/strong><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Hawai\u2019i Bowl- December 24th- Mountain West vs. Conference USA<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Time to wrap our 2022 Week 13 Bowl Projections will the enormous slate of early season games. Of course that includes a whopping seven games on December 17th alone.<\/p>\n<h3>First Weekend Games<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Bahamas Bowl- December 16th- Conference USA vs. Mid-American- *Miami (Ohio) vs. *UAB- <\/strong>The Redhawks became the first team to accept a bid after beating Ball State last Tuesday. The Blazers knocked off Louisiana Tech to become bowl eligible and have accepted a bid to this game.<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cure Bowl- December 16th- Pool vs. Pool- <em>New Mexico State<\/em> vs. Marshall- <\/strong>We took out App State from previous projections. The NCAA turned down their waiver as a 6-6 team with two wins over FCS opponents. Only one is allowed to count toward bowl eligibility. NMSU also needs a waiver as a 5-6 team that had San Jose State cancel a game on them. We believe they are likely to get it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Celebration Bowl- December 17th- MEAC vs. SWAC- <\/strong><strong>Jackson State vs. North Carolina Central<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Fenway Bowl- December 17th- ACC vs. American-<\/strong><strong> East Carolina vs. Syracuse<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Frisco Bowl- December 17th- Pool vs. Pool- Georgia Southern vs. SMU<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl<\/strong>\u2013 <strong>December 17th- Mountain West vs. Pac-12- Boise State vs. Washington State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Las Vegas Bowl- December 17th- SEC vs. Pac-12- Mississippi State vs. UCLA- <\/strong>A different match up than what we&#8217;ve had previously. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/will-rogers-1.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Will Rogers<\/a> versus\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/players\/dorian-thompson-robinson-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dorian Thompson-Robinson<\/a> we&#8217;ll take it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Lending Tree Bowl- December 17th- Pool vs. Sun Belt- Eastern Michigan<\/strong><strong> vs. Troy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>New Mexico Bowl-<\/strong> <strong>December 17th- Conference USA vs. Mountain West- <\/strong><strong>North Texas vs. Utah State<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Thanks for checking out our 2022 Week 13 Bowl Projections here at <strong>Last Word On College Football<\/strong>. If there are enough teams who accept bids this week we&#8217;ll do a mid-week update. Otherwise, we&#8217;ll be back Sunday morning with our final picks.<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty embed image\" style=\"background-color: #fff; display: inline-block; font-family: Roboto,sans-serif; color: #a7a7a7; font-size: 11px; width: 100%; max-width: 594px;\">\n<div style=\"padding: 0; margin: 0; text-align: left;\"><a style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1347142385\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"overflow: hidden; position: relative; height: 0; padding: 66.66667% 0 0 0; width: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; margin: 0;\" src=\"\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/1347142385?et=t-z0sLCNS_hUvvW_gbOkWQ&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=SJSILOg0SETBuSuiBGY2KAD9hmP5m8ZWwHe08KwaLhE=&amp;caption=true&amp;ver=1\" width=\"594\" height=\"396\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rivalry Week Causes Chaos The final weekend of the regular season is of course known as &#8220;Rivalry Week.&#8221; During this time you can throw out all the analytics because they really don&#8217;t mean much. This past weekend was no exception where four of the top ten teams lost. As a result, we have some major [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":877,"featured_media":47136,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7361,2,2056],"tags":[9313,35628,6992,5476,35627,300,184,140,126,10101,5687,5475],"class_list":["post-47112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bowl-games","category-featured","category-top-25","tag-2022-selection-committee-games-projections","tag-aac-bowl-projections","tag-acc-bowl-projections","tag-big-12-bowl-projections","tag-big-ten-bowl-projections","tag-bowl-projections","tag-cfb","tag-fbs","tag-ncaa","tag-pac-12-bowl-projections","tag-rivalry-week","tag-sec-bowl-projections"],"modified_by":"Michael Kovacs, ADMIN","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/877"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47112"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47112\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":79935,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47112\/revisions\/79935"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47136"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}