{"id":4050,"date":"2016-11-24T11:41:03","date_gmt":"2016-11-24T16:41:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordoncollegefootball.com\/?p=4050"},"modified":"2017-12-30T16:18:15","modified_gmt":"2017-12-30T21:18:15","slug":"lwos-bowl-projections-week-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2016\/11\/24\/lwos-bowl-projections-week-12\/","title":{"rendered":"LWOS Bowl Projections Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With &#8220;Rivalry Week&#8221; upon us we have a huge game in <strong>Columbus<\/strong>\u00a0this weekend. <strong>Michigan<\/strong> plays archrival <strong>Ohio State<\/strong> in what is shaping up to be a national quarter-final. There is one weekend of true regular season action remaining, so here\u00a0are the LastWordOnCollegeFootball Bowl Projections Week 12.<\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>College Football Playoff<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>CFP Semifinal<br \/>\n<strong>#1 Alabama vs. #4 Wisconsin<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Fiesta Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>CFP Semifinal<br \/>\n<strong>#2 Ohio State vs. #3 Clemson<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>National Championship Game<br \/>\n<strong>#1 Alabama vs. #2 Ohio State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>No change <a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegefootballplayoff.com\/content\/ranking\/2016\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">up top<\/a> for me, or the CFP Committee. If Ohio State beats Michigan, I think they are in no matter who wins the <strong>Big Ten<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oklahoma<\/strong> can make a playoff case if they win <strong>Bedlam <\/strong>over <strong>Oklahoma State<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Washington<\/strong> and <strong>Colorado<\/strong> will have a shot if one of them wins the <strong>Pac-12.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Penn State<\/strong> will make for an interesting scenario if they win the Big Ten. Wisconsin\u2019s overall body of work seems more playoff friendly. Either team winning arguably the best conference will make the committee\u2019s job much harder.<\/p>\n<p>Ohio State and Clemson will be the best one-loss teams if they win out.<\/p>\n<p>There will be one spot for three conference champions from the Big Ten, Pac-12 and <strong>Big 12<\/strong>, provided my theory that Ohio State is in even without a Big Ten title.<\/p>\n<h3><u><strong>New Years Six Bowls<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/u><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Rose Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>Michigan vs. Colorado<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sugar Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Oklahoma vs. Tennessee<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Capital One Orange Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC vs. Big Ten<br \/>\n<strong>Louisville vs. Penn State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic<br \/>\n<\/strong>At Large vs. At Large<br \/>\n<strong>Washington vs. Western Michigan<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><em>Explanation<\/em><\/h4>\n<p>Colorado took care of <strong>Washington State<\/strong>, and gets reeling <strong>Utah<\/strong> at home this\u00a0week. The Buffaloes can clinch a Pac-12 title game appearance.<\/p>\n<p>Either team from the Pac-12 North may be favored on a neutral field, but Colorado\u2019s momentum, a hungry (well traveling) fan base, and the confidence in having beaten Washington State will propel them to the Rose Bowl as the true Pac-12 champ.<\/p>\n<p>A rematch with Michigan with a healthy <strong>Sefo Liufao<\/strong> at quarterback will be quite the draw in Pasadena.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Florida<\/strong> has locked up the <strong>SEC East<\/strong> and gets Alabama in the conference championship game.<\/p>\n<p>The Gators may hurt their cause for the Sugar Bowl if they are blown out by the Tide. Tennessee can finish with a better record than Florida if the Gators lose their last two at <strong>Florida State <\/strong>and versus Alabama.<\/p>\n<h3><u><strong>Bowl Season Projections<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/u><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Outback Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Nebraska vs. Texas A&amp;M<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>TaxSlayer Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>SEC vs. ACC\/Big Ten\/Notre Dame<br \/>\n<strong>Arkansas vs. Georgia Tech\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>SEC vs. ACC\/Big Ten\/Notre Dame<br \/>\n<strong>Auburn vs. Florida State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC\/Big Ten vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Iowa vs. Florida<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Hyundai Sun Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>UNC vs. Utah<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>AutoZone Liberty Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Kansas State vs. Georgia<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Arizona Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Mountain West vs. Sun Belt<br \/>\n<strong>New Mexico vs. Idaho <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Valero Alamo Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>Oklahoma State vs. USC<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Belk Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Wake Forest vs. Kentucky<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Birmingham Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Tulsa vs. Ole Miss<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>TCU vs. LSU<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Foster Farms Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>Indiana vs. Stanford<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Russell Athletic Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC vs. Big 12<br \/>\n<strong>Virginia Tech vs. West Virginia<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>New Era Pinstripe Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Big Ten<br \/>\n<strong>Pitt vs. Northwestern <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cactus Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>Baylor vs. Colorado State * <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Holiday Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>Minnesota vs. Washington State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Military Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. ACC<br \/>\n<strong>Memphis vs. Miami (FL)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Zaxby\u2019s Heart of Dallas Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. C-USA<br \/>\n<strong>Vanderbilt ** vs. UT San Antonio<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Camping World Independence Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC vs. SEC<br \/>\n<strong>Boston College ** vs. South Carolina<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Quick Lane Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>ACC vs. Big Ten<br \/>\n<strong>Army * vs. Maryland<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>St. Petersburg Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. ACC<br \/>\n<strong>South Florida vs. North Texas **<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Hawai\u2019i Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. Mountain West<br \/>\n<strong>Old Dominion vs. Hawai\u2019i<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dollar General Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>MAC vs. Sun Belt<br \/>\n<strong>Toledo vs. Troy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. Big 12<br \/>\n<strong>Navy vs. Texas **<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Popeyes Bahamas Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. MAC<br \/>\n<strong>Southern Mississippi vs. Ohio<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Famous Idaho Potato Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>MAC vs. Mountain West<br \/>\n<strong>Central Michigan vs. Wyoming<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>BYU vs. Mountain West<br \/>\n<strong>BYU vs. Air Force<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Marmot Boca Raton Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. C-USA<br \/>\n<strong>Temple vs. Western Kentucky<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Miami Beach Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. MAC<br \/>\n<strong>Houston vs. Eastern Michigan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. Sun Belt<br \/>\n<strong>Middle Tennessee vs. Appalachian State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>AutoNation Cure Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>AAC vs. Sun Belt<br \/>\n<strong>Central Florida vs. South Alabama<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Raycom Media Camellia Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>MAC vs. Sun Belt<br \/>\n<strong>Miami (OH) vs. Arkansas State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Las Vegas Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>Mountain West vs. Pac-12<br \/>\n<strong>San Diego State vs. Arizona State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Gildan New Mexico Bowl<br \/>\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. Mountain West<br \/>\n<strong>Louisiana Tech vs. Boise State<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>*<\/strong> = Replacement team<br \/>\n<strong>**<\/strong> = APR (<strong>Academic Progress Rate) <\/strong>waiver<\/p>\n<h4><em>Explanation<\/em><\/h4>\n<p>Six-win Army and Hawai\u2019i will be in ahead of the 5-7 APR teams. Army has two FCS wins, but will likely finish 6-6 after the Army-Navy Game, as they currently sit at 6-5.<\/p>\n<p>Hawai\u2019i looks headed for 6-7. With a win in their finale versus <strong>Massachusetts<\/strong>, the Warriors would get that sixth win. The Mountain West will want Hawai\u2019i in their de facto home bowl game to face Conference USA.<\/p>\n<p>Boston College and Texas will slide in at the bottom of the ACC and Big 12, respectively. Texas was on track for a traditional bowl game, but their stunning loss to Kansas puts them on track for a 5-7 finish.<\/p>\n<p>North Texas and Vanderbilt fill in the APR teams. Ideally these teams would switch spots for more competitive bowl games.<\/p>\n<p>The Heart of Dallas Bowl will not want to match up two teams from C-USA, so Vanderbilt replaces the Big Ten. The <strong>Mean Green<\/strong> will head to St. Petersburg.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo:<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty embed image\" style=\"background-color: #fff; display: inline-block; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; color: #a7a7a7; font-size: 11px; width: 100%; max-width: 594px;\">\n<div style=\"padding: 0; margin: 0; text-align: left;\"><a style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/503233040\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"overflow: hidden; position: relative; height: 0; padding: 64.141414% 0 0 0; width: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; margin: 0;\" src=\"\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/503233040?et=bQBZ-2JQSsdWiTxWXQeOfw&amp;viewMoreLink=off&amp;sig=Qw3fTNUkzC3KGdz0r_0m9vMOURZPtxkYDyT-M7vjt5A=&amp;caption=true\" width=\"594\" height=\"381\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p style=\"margin: 0;\">\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our LWOS Bowl Projections Week 12 looks at which teams are most likely to go to each of the bowl games in the College Football post-season line up.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1048,"featured_media":4134,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[300,536,184,40,299,1066],"class_list":["post-4050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fbs","tag-bowl-projections","tag-bowl-season","tag-cfb","tag-college-football-playoff","tag-new-years-six","tag-sefo-luifao"],"modified_by":"Mike Loveall","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1048"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4050"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4050\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4134"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}