{"id":2342,"date":"2016-10-13T16:01:42","date_gmt":"2016-10-13T20:01:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordoncollegefootball.com\/?p=2342"},"modified":"2017-05-23T15:03:47","modified_gmt":"2017-05-23T19:03:47","slug":"lwos-bowl-projections-week-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2016\/10\/13\/lwos-bowl-projections-week-6\/","title":{"rendered":"LWOS Bowl Projections Week 6"},"content":{"rendered":"

Six teams have secured bowl eligibility<\/a>, and a host of others can snag win number six this weekend. Here is my forecast for the post season with\u00a0my LWOS Bowl Projections Week 6.<\/p>\n

College Football Playoff<\/span><\/p>\n

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
\n<\/strong>CFP Semifinal
\n#1 Alabama vs. #4 Washington<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fiesta Bowl
\n<\/strong>CFP Semifinal
\n#2 Ohio State vs. #3 Clemson<\/strong><\/p>\n

National Championship Game
\n#1 Alabama vs. #2 Ohio State<\/strong><\/p>\n

No changes up top once again. If Alabama wins the SEC as an undefeated or one-loss team, they are in, probably as the one or two seed.<\/p>\n

The winner of Ohio State versus Michigan<\/strong> will be on the fast-track for the\u00a0top two seeds.<\/p>\n

Clemson can likely afford a loss as well, provided it\u2019s not to a far inferior team, or a late season ACC title game loss. Losing early is the preferred method if one has to lose, as there is time to get back in the good graces of the CFP Committee.<\/p>\n

Washington\u2019s schedule is setting up for a 12 \u2013 0 finish before the Pac-12 Championship\u00a0Game. The Pac-12 South seems like a battle royal in which the winner won\u2019t have much fight left for the championship match. I\u2019ve got USC <\/strong>sneaking out of the division, but don\u2019t count out UCLA<\/strong>, or Utah<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

New Years Six Bowls<\/u><\/p>\n

Rose Bowl
\nMichigan vs. USC<\/strong><\/p>\n

Allstate Sugar Bowl
\nBaylor vs. Texas A&M<\/strong><\/p>\n

Capital One Orange Bowl
\nLouisville vs. Wisconsin<\/strong><\/p>\n

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
\nTennessee vs. Boise State<\/strong><\/p>\n

As mentioned above, I have USC coming out of the Pac-12 South, with possibly four losses. The Rose Bowl would love to have the Trojans play across town and fill the stadium to the brim. If it is Michigan taking Big Ten Champion Ohio State\u2019s place, there may not be a team in the Pac-12 that can touch\u00a0them.<\/p>\n

I know Colorado<\/strong> hung in with Michigan in Ann Arbor longer than they should have (Lost 45 \u2013 28), but outside of the Washington schools, the Pac-12 isn\u2019t inspiring confidence.<\/p>\n

Baylor and Oklahoma<\/strong> will duke it out for the Big 12 title, and as of now I\u2019ll put the Bears in to take on SEC replacement Texas A&M. The Aggies beat the Tennessee Volunteers last weekend to move into second in the pecking order behind Alabama.<\/p>\n

The biggest change in the New Year\u2019s Six\u00a0lineup was the exit of Houston <\/strong>from my picks. Their replacement, Boise State, faces their toughest tests versus BYU<\/strong>, at Wyoming<\/strong>, and at Air Force<\/strong> to close out the season. The Broncos will be favored in all of their remaining games.<\/p>\n

A Mountain West title game versus (likely)\u00a0San Diego State<\/strong> will be Boise State\u2019s reward if they can get to 12 \u2013 0. While I still see Houston winning the American Athletic Conference, I give Boise State the edge to be the highest ranked Group of Five conference champion.<\/p>\n

Keep an eye on Western Michigan<\/strong>, South Florida<\/strong>, and San Diego State as other teams in the running to win their Group of Five conference, and make an appearance in the New Year\u2019s Six Bowls.<\/p>\n

Bowl Season Projections<\/u><\/p>\n

Outback Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. SEC
\nPenn State vs. Missouri<\/strong><\/p>\n

TaxSlayer Bowl
\n<\/strong>SEC vs. ACC\/Big Ten\/Notre Dame
\nOle Miss vs. Miami (FL)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
\n<\/strong>SEC vs. ACC\/Big Ten\/Notre Dame
\nFlorida vs. Nebraska<\/strong><\/p>\n

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC\/Big Ten vs. SEC
\nMaryland vs. Arkansas<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hyundai Sun Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Pac-12
\nFlorida State vs. Utah<\/strong><\/p>\n

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. SEC
\nWest Virginia vs. Georgia<\/strong><\/p>\n

Arizona Bowl
\n<\/strong>Mountain West vs. Sun Belt
\nNevada vs. UL-Lafayette <\/strong><\/p>\n

Valero Alamo Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. Pac-12
\nOklahoma vs. UCLA<\/strong><\/p>\n

Belk Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC vs. SEC
\nUNC vs. Auburn<\/strong><\/p>\n

Birmingham Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. SEC
\nTulsa vs. California *<\/strong><\/p>\n

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. SEC
\nTexas vs. LSU<\/strong><\/p>\n

Foster Farms Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. Pac-12
\nIowa vs. Colorado<\/strong><\/p>\n

Russell Athletic Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC vs. Big 12
\nVirginia Tech vs. Oklahoma State<\/strong><\/p>\n

New Era Pinstripe Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC\/Notre Dame vs. Big Ten
\nPitt vs. Michigan State<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cactus Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big 12 vs. Pac-12
\nTCU vs. Arizona State<\/strong><\/p>\n

Holiday Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. Pac-12
\nIndiana vs. Washington State<\/strong><\/p>\n

Military Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. ACC
\nUConn vs. NC State<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zaxby\u2019s Heart of Dallas Bowl
\n<\/strong>Big Ten vs. C-USA
\nTexas Tech * vs. Western Kentucky<\/strong><\/p>\n

Camping World Independence Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC vs. SEC
\nGeorgia Tech vs. South Carolina<\/strong><\/p>\n

Quick Lane Bowl
\n<\/strong>ACC vs. Big Ten
\nTemple * vs. Northwestern<\/strong><\/p>\n

St. Petersburg Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. ACC
\nUSF vs. Wake Forest<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hawai\u2019i Bowl
\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. Mountain West
\nArmy * vs. Hawai\u2019i<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dollar General Bowl
\n<\/strong>MAC vs. Sun Belt
\nAkron vs. Georgia Southern<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. Big 12
\nNavy vs. Kansas State<\/strong><\/p>\n

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. MAC
\nSouthern Mississippi vs. Ohio<\/strong><\/p>\n

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
\n<\/strong>MAC vs. Mountain West
\nToledo vs. Wyoming<\/strong><\/p>\n

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
\n<\/strong>BYU vs. Mountain West
\nBYU vs. Air Force<\/strong><\/p>\n

Marmot Boca Raton Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. C-USA
\nCincinnati vs. Old Dominion<\/strong><\/p>\n

Miami Beach Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. MAC
\nHouston vs. Western Michigan<\/strong><\/p>\n

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. Sun Belt
\nMiddle Tennessee vs. Appalachian State<\/strong><\/p>\n

AutoNation Cure Bowl
\n<\/strong>AAC vs. Sun Belt
\nMemphis vs. Troy<\/strong><\/p>\n

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
\n<\/strong>MAC vs. Sun Belt
\nCentral Michigan vs. South Alabama<\/strong><\/p>\n

Las Vegas Bowl
\n<\/strong>Mountain West vs. Pac-12
\nSan Diego State vs. Stanford<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gildan New Mexico Bowl
\n<\/strong>C-USA vs. Mountain West
\nLouisiana Tech vs. Nevada<\/strong><\/p>\n

Explanation
\n<\/em>Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, Western Michigan, Texas A&M, and Washington are already bowl eligible.<\/p>\n

The biggest losers of Week 6 were Stanford and Notre Dame. Ironically, those two play this weekend in South Bend to see who has a realistic shot at making a bowl. The Irish sit at 2 \u2013 4 on the season with, at most, three winnable games remaining.<\/p>\n

This includes the game versus Stanford. If Notre Dame beats the Cardinal, and the Service Academies, they will likely finish 5 \u2013 7 and need an APR<\/strong> (Academic Progress Rate) bailout\u00a0if there aren\u2019t enough bowl eligible teams.<\/p>\n

Stanford is 3 \u2013 2 on the year, and has lost all hope for a conference championship. Two weeks ago, it was Stanford and Washington as the favorites in\u00a0the Pac-12. Two blowouts later, and the Cardinal have dropped down to the Las Vegas Bowl. Given the state of Stanford football, any bowl game will seem like a gift.<\/p>\n

* = Replacement team<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Six teams have secured bowl eligibility, and a host of others can snag win number six this weekend. Here is my forecast for the post season with\u00a0my LWOS Bowl Projections Week 6. College Football Playoff Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl CFP Semifinal #1 Alabama vs. #4 Washington Fiesta Bowl CFP Semifinal #2 Ohio State vs. #3 Clemson […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1048,"featured_media":1332,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[1145,300,536],"class_list":["post-2342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fbs","tag-bowl-games","tag-bowl-projections","tag-bowl-season"],"modified_by":"Tony Siracusa, CFB Managing Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1048"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2342"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2342\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1332"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}