{"id":20101,"date":"2018-12-31T08:30:19","date_gmt":"2018-12-31T13:30:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lwosoncfb.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/?p=20101"},"modified":"2020-12-21T13:49:28","modified_gmt":"2020-12-21T18:49:28","slug":"tailgate-pick-em-week-3-bowl-predictions-including-kentucky-vs-penn-state","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2018\/12\/31\/tailgate-pick-em-week-3-bowl-predictions-including-kentucky-vs-penn-state\/","title":{"rendered":"Tailgate Pick &#8216;Em Week 3 Bowl Predictions Including Kentucky vs Penn State"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 2018 bowl season winds down with the rest of the non NY6 bowls being played over the two day New Year&#8217;s holiday period. Our panelists take a look at the last bowl action of the season and offer up their previews and predictions, including Kentucky vs Penn State in the Citrus Bowl.<\/p>\n<h3>Military Bowl: Cincinnati (10-2) vs Virginia Tech (6-6) (Monday at 12:00)<br \/>\nLine: Cincinnati by 5.5<\/h3>\n<p>John Bava: Cincinnati\u2019s only 2 losses came to UCF and to Temple in overtime while Virginia Tech needed a season-ending win over Marshall to become bowl eligible. The Bearcats should roll in this one. <strong>Cincinnati<\/strong> 41, Virginia Tech 20<\/p>\n<p>Steen Kirby: The Bearcats two losses came against bowl eligible teams as coach Luke Fickell has guided his team to their first 10 win season since 2012. Virginia Tech endured a disappointing season where they had to win their final two games to become bowl legible. Cincy is the better team and should be favored to prevail. <strong>Cincinnati<\/strong> 38, Virginia Tech 24<\/p>\n<p>Yesh Ginsburg:\u00a0Luke Fickell is doing a tremendous job at Cincinnati. Virginia Tech barely sneaked into a bowl, and won&#8217;t be able to move against the Cincinnati defense. <strong>Cincinnati<\/strong> 34, Virginia Tech 17<\/p>\n<p>Mike Loveall:\u00a0This is the take-it-to-the-bank moneyline bet of the bowl season. Cincinnati is underrated and motivated. <strong>Cincinnati<\/strong> 37, Virginia Tech 20<\/p>\n<h3>Sun Bowl: Stanford (8-4) vs. Pitt (7-6) (Monday at 2:00) Line: Stanford by 5.5<\/h3>\n<p>John: Bryce Love should be extra motivated to boost his draft stock with a standout performance in El Paso against a Pittsburgh team who struggles defending the run. <strong>Stanford<\/strong> 33, Pitt 17<\/p>\n<p>Steen: Pitt stumbled their way into the ACC title game but Stanford is the better team and their strong end to the year should continue with a Sun Bowl victory. <strong>Stanford<\/strong> 24, Pitt 17<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0Stanford is just a better team than Pitt, across the board. The Cardinal might have struggled for much of this year&#8211;and Pitt certainly overachieved&#8211;but I find it hard to imagine this game being anything other than Stanford slowly grinding out a relatively comfortable victory. <strong>Stanford<\/strong> 28, Pittsburgh 17<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0The Cardinal fly away from the ACC Runner Ups. <strong>Stanford<\/strong> 31, Pitt 14<\/p>\n<h3>Redbox Bowl: Michigan State (7-5) vs Oregon (8-4) (Monday at 3:00) Line: Oregon by 2.5<\/h3>\n<p>John: Mark Dantonio\u2019s MSU teams knows how to flummox opposing offenses in bowl games. They did so last year against Washington State and should continue the trend against Justin Herbert and the Ducks. <strong>Michigan State<\/strong> 27, Oregon 20<\/p>\n<p>Steen: Two teams that expect better than to be unranked at this time of the year. Michigan State&#8217;s offense sputtered when it mattered this season, and Oregon should score enough to secure a win. <strong>Oregon<\/strong> 35, Michigan State 28<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0Michigan State is the more talented team, but the Spartans absolutely collapsed this season. <strong>Oregon<\/strong> 31, Michigan State 13<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0Oregon is quietly getting back to the top &#8211; this will serve as a springboard to next season. <strong>Oregon<\/strong> 42, Michigan State 28<\/p>\n<h3>Liberty Bowl: #23 Missouri (8-4) vs Oklahoma State (6-6) (Monday at 3:45) Line: Missouri by 9<\/h3>\n<p>John: This is the first time these two programs have met since Missouri departed the Big XII for the SEC. It\u2019s also Oklahoma State\u2019s first-ever appearance in the Liberty Bowl. The Cowboys come into this game in a bit of a funk, having lost three of their last four. The Tigers, on the other hand, are in the midst of a four-game winning streak which has seen them crack the top 25. It\u2019s a big reason why the betting line is fairly skewed in Mizzou\u2019s favor.<\/p>\n<p>Both quarterbacks can sling it around. Both Oklahoma State\u2019s Taylor Cornelius and Missouri\u2019s Drew Lock threw for over 3,000 yards this year. Lock was considered one of the top pro prospects heading into this season and he can certainly up his draft stock with a standout performance in Memphis. Cornelius is a bit more mistake-prone and that ultimately gives the Tigers the advantage in this one. <strong>Missouri<\/strong> 31, Oklahoma State 24<\/p>\n<p>Steen: OK State was just 2-5 down the stretch after a solid start, while Missouri won their last four games. Oklahoma State won&#8217;t be able to stop the Tigers offense in what should be a high scoring contest. <strong>Missouri<\/strong> 42, Oklahoma State 24<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0I don&#8217;t like this line, mostly because I don&#8217;t like predicting Oklahoma State. The Cowboys can play down to just about anyone&#8217;s level, but they can also step up and beat anyone. In their biggest games, they blew out Boise State, beat Texas and West Virginia, and almost upset Oklahoma. This team will come out motivated, and Missouri won&#8217;t know what happened. <strong>Oklahoma State<\/strong> 41, Missouri 30<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0Missouri should be healthy, and they\u2019ve got a ton of offensive weapons. Their defense has been getting better as the season moves on as well. The big variable here is the inconsistency of Oklahoma State. At times they\u2019ve been great and at times they\u2019ve been terrible. The Tigers will impress.<strong> Missouri<\/strong> 45, Oklahoma State 33<\/p>\n<h3>Holiday Bowl: #22 Northwestern (8-5) vs #17 Utah (9-4) (Monday at 7:00) Line: Utah by 7<\/h3>\n<p>John: This year\u2019s edition of the Holiday Bowl pits two teams who played for conference championships and ultimately lost. But both of them surprised quite a bit of observers just by winning their respective divisions. It underscores the fact that these two head coaches, Northwestern\u2019s Pat Fitzgerald and Utah\u2019s Kyle Whittingham, are among the more underrated in college football.<\/p>\n<p>Each of these teams are a bit banged up heading into this contest. Utah\u2019s regular starter at quarterback, Tyler Huntley, is questionable after suffering a broken collarbone in November. And the Northwestern defense will be missing a few key playmakers. That\u2019s particularly worrisome as the Wildcats are one of the Big Ten\u2019s worst teams defending the pass. Look for the Utes to go 12-1 in bowls under Whittingham.<strong> Utah<\/strong> 27, Northwestern 17<\/p>\n<p>Steen: Neither conference championship participant was able to crack the top 15 in the pre-bowl rankings but the winner has a shot at doing so. Northwestern was great in the BIG 10, recovering from a slow start to the season to earn 8 wins. Utah&#8217;s defense has put them within striking distance of 10 wins but the more balanced Northwestern team should prevail. <strong>Northwestern<\/strong> 21, Utah 17<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0This game is going to be a grinder. I don&#8217;t know who will win, but unless you like old-fashioned football this might not be a game for you. Either way, I think this will come down to a late score. I don&#8217;t think either team can really impose its will on the other, so expect this to be tight. Turnovers and mistakes will make the difference here. <strong>Northwestern<\/strong> 24, Utah 21<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0This is a great matchup for Northwestern. They\u2019ve shown the capacity to play with the best teams, just not for a full sixty minutes and at depth. Utah can\u2019t pressure the Wildcats evenly for a complete game. Both teams are well coached and fundamentally sound. <strong>Northwestern<\/strong> 24, Utah 21<\/p>\n<h3>Gator Bowl: NC State (9-3) vs #19 Texas A&amp;M (8-4) (Monday at 7:30) Line: Texas A&amp;M by 7<\/h3>\n<p>John: Jimbo Fisher\u2019s first season as Texas A&amp;M head coach concludes with him facing a familiar foe from his time with Florida State. He went 5-3 against NC State during his tenure with the Noles and is favored to get win number six when these teams meet in Jacksonville. But the Wolfpack will prove a challenge. They should be a motivated bunch as they\u2019re in search of just the second double-digit win season in program history.<\/p>\n<p>These teams sport differing identities on offense. NC State boasts a dynamic passing game behind quarterback Ryan Finley who ranks eighth nationally in passing yardage. Meanwhile, the Aggies have an incredibly potent rushing attack led by Trayveon Williams whose 127 yards per game is fourth in FBS. But the Wolfpack are fairly stout against the run while A&amp;M has struggled defending the pass this season. The Aggies could be ripe for the picking. <strong>NC State<\/strong> 26, Texas A&amp;M 23<\/p>\n<p>Steen: Texas A&amp;M was hoping for better under new coach Jimbo Fisher but he has guided them to a ranking and nine wins if they win this bowl. The Aggies were solid to finish the season including an upset win against LSU and I just don&#8217;t see NC State stacking up. The Wolfpack won 9 games with a weak schedule, TAMU is the better team if they are focused. <strong>Texas A&amp;M<\/strong> 35, NC State 20<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0Texas A&amp;M was solid in its first year under Jimbo Fisher. N.C. State was ranked for most of the second half of the season, but that was almost entirely the product of a weak early schedule. The team has talent, sure, but it hasn&#8217;t been tested, really. I think N.C. State gets a shocking dose of reality at the hands of the Aggies. <strong>Texas A&amp;M<\/strong> 41, NC State 17<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0The Aggies seemed to find their stride as the season wore on. People forget the quality of Texas A&amp;M\u2019s losses &#8211; they really haven\u2019t played a bad game all season. NC State has a potent offense, but can\u2019t match up with the speed and athleticism of A&amp;M across the board. This will be an interesting coaching match up. <strong>Texas A&amp;M<\/strong> 35, North Carolina State 21<\/p>\n<h3>Outback Bowl: #18 Mississippi State (8-4) vs Iowa (8-4) (Tuesday at 12:00) Line: Mississippi State by 7<\/h3>\n<p>John: The hallmark of both these teams\u2019 identities centers around playing gritty, hard-nosed defense. That becomes apparent when taking notice of the fact that they\u2019re both top 10 among FBS teams in yards allowed. With that in mind, this has all the makings of a physical, low-scoring, slobberknocker of a contest.<\/p>\n<p>Mississippi State\u2019s Nick Fitzgerald hopes to close out his collegiate career with an impressive performance in Tampa. He\u2019s a dual threat sensation and already has more rushing yards than any quarterback in SEC history. What gives the Bulldogs the advantage is the return of running back Kylin Hill who missed the last two games of the season due to injury. Expect them to ground and pound their way to victory. <strong>Mississippi State<\/strong> 24, Iowa 13<\/p>\n<p>Steen: Iowa remains a steady and tough team but they should be overwhelmed by an effective MS State offense that can put up points and yards very quickly thanks to the talents of QB Nick Fitzgerald. The SEC should beat the BIG 10 here. <strong>Mississippi State<\/strong> 27, Iowa 14<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0This line seems a little high. I think Mississippi State is the slightly better team, but Iowa is plenty talented and doesn&#8217;t make too many mistakes. The Hawkeyes should turn this game into a grind, which means that they really can beat the Bulldogs if Iowa can force just a few mistakes. <strong>Mississippi State<\/strong> 24, Iowa 21<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0The Hawkeyes don\u2019t have the best luck with SEC teams in bowl season. Look for the Bulldogs defensive line to be the dominant factor in this game; along with a balanced offense. <strong>Mississippi State<\/strong> 30, Iowa 21<\/p>\n<h3>Citrus Bowl: #14 Kentucky (9-3) vs #12 Penn State (9-3) (Tuesday at 1:00) Line: Penn State by 6.5<\/h3>\n<p>John: Kentucky was one of the more pleasant surprises in the SEC, finishing second in the SEC East. In search of just their third-ever 10-win season, they face a Penn State team looking to post a third consecutive 10-win campaign for the first time in 36 years. This is the second bowl matchup between these two schools with them having played in the Outback Bowl on New Year\u2019s Day 1999.<\/p>\n<p>Nittany Lion quarterback Trace McSorley is the most prolific passer in program history, having thrown for a school record 9,653 career yards. He can also make plays with his feet as he\u2019s 16 yards away from becoming Penn State\u2019s all-time rushing leader among quarterbacks. Both teams boast dynamic running backs in PSU\u2019s Miles Sanders and UK\u2019s Benny Snell. But look for Wildcat linebacker Josh Allen to turn in a performance that solidifies himself as one of the first picks of the 2019 NFL Draft. <strong>Kentucky<\/strong> 31, Penn State 27<\/p>\n<p>Steen: The winner of this game will end the year with 10 wins, which is a bigger accomplishment for traditional laggards Kentucky compared to regular contenders PSU. Kentucky had two big wins this year and should be highly motivated in this one. Penn State is not an elite team and they should slip up here. <strong>Kentucky<\/strong> 27, Penn State 21<\/p>\n<p>Yesh:\u00a0Both of these teams drastically underperformed all season. Each has a ton of talent, but both teams never really showcased it. They just did the bare minimum to win, even against bad teams. It&#8217;s anyone&#8217;s guess as to who will play better this game, but Penn State has more talent. I think The Nittany Lions will want to show off in Trace McSorley&#8217;s final game, and will unleash more than even a good Kentucky defense can stop.<strong> Penn State<\/strong> 41, Kentucky 21<\/p>\n<p>Mike:\u00a0The magic may have run out for the Wildcats. After a great start Kentucky faltered down the stretch. Penn State comes in after another disappointing, oh-so-close season. The Nittany Lions are better all around and will attack the Kentucky quarterback situation. <strong>Penn State<\/strong> 42, Kentucky 26<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2018 bowl season winds down with the rest of the non NY6 bowls being played over the two day New Year&#8217;s holiday period. Our panelists take a look at the last bowl action of the season and offer up their previews and predictions, including Kentucky vs Penn State in the Citrus Bowl. Military Bowl: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1442,"featured_media":20108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8,7361,2],"tags":[1145,1322,4167,334,4440,1184,1323,4441],"class_list":["post-20101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fbs","category-bowl-games","category-featured","tag-bowl-games","tag-citrus-bowl","tag-college-football-bowls","tag-college-football-predictions","tag-gator-bowl","tag-holiday-bowl","tag-outback-bowl","tag-sun-bowl"],"modified_by":"Tony Siracusa, CFB Managing Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1442"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20101\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20108"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}