{"id":14987,"date":"2018-06-21T09:03:41","date_gmt":"2018-06-21T13:03:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lwosoncfb.ms.lastwordonsports.com\/?p=14987"},"modified":"2026-04-02T20:09:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T00:09:32","slug":"cfp-national-championship-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2018\/06\/21\/cfp-national-championship-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Who\u2019s Too High\/Too Low in the CFP National Championship Odds?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Now that we are just a couple of months away from the start of the new season and we can start to get a clearer picture of rosters, we can start to <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordoncollegefootball.com\/2018\/06\/09\/very-early-2018-sec-west-predictions\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">make some predictions<\/a> on how things will pan out.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, it is still a bit too early to say with a degree of certitude who will be winning it all on January 7<sup>th<\/sup> in Santa Clara. However, when it comes to odds from sports books, we can pinpoint where there is some value and where teams have been overrated.<\/p>\n<h1>Who\u2019s Too High\/Too Low in the CFP National Championship Odds?<\/h1>\n<p>Most sports books have had the odds ready ever since the Tide landed their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/consent\/?toURL=https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/monteburke\/2018\/01\/09\/with-his-sixth-national-title-nick-saban-is-the-greatest-college-football-coach-ever\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">sixth title under <strong>Nick Saban<\/strong><\/a> in January. But, are they correct in their assertions? Below is a look at the main contenders with a view to assessing if the sports books have gone too low or high. All odds are provided by William Hill.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Alabama<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Odds: 5\/2<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Nobody expected anything else than the Tide being favorites, did they? There are a few niggles to iron out before the start of the season, whether <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/2019\/01\/19\/alabama-looking-for-a-backup-quarterback-after-jalen-hurts-transfers\/\" target=\"_self\"><strong>Jalen Hurts<\/strong><\/a> or <strong>Tua Tagovailoa<\/strong> will be their quarterback to name just one one. But they are relentless under Saban and make the playoffs again, at least. 5\/2 represents good value for a team that has contested the last three championship games.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: Odds are too high<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Ohio State<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: 7\/1 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is a good example of how sports books differ, because several have Clemson ahead of Ohio State in the odds. Anyway, the Buckeyes fell short last year, but there is a lot of positivity about them in the national media. Those odds would need to be a little bigger however.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: too low<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Clemson <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: 8\/1 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The 2017 champions are expected to be in the mix once again. They will be nailed on to win the ACC Atlantic Division, it\u2019s just a matter of how they perform in the playoffs. They were, by all objective measure, awful offensively in 24-6 defeat to Alabama in the Sugar Bowl in January. However, there seems to be some justified optimism around the Tigers.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: too high<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Clemson Football 2017 Season Highlights\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/lWMFpgUGTpo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Georgia<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: 10\/1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Georgia is another program whose odds vary a lot among different sports books. Losing in overtime was a devastating blow to the Bulldogs. Plenty think that they will <a href=\"https:\/\/fansided.com\/2018\/01\/09\/georgia-will-bounce-back-devastating-national-title-loss\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">be able to bounce back<\/a>, but there may be a psychological disadvantage should they meet Alabama in the Championship Game. Still, 10\/1 odds are reasonably generous for a team who could so easily have been the champions.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: too high<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Penn State <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: 14\/1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We are now in among the teams where it would be considered a slight shock should they find themselves playing in and winning the Championship Game. Nitanny Lions fans should be confident of a good season, but it is unlikely that we will be seeing them in January.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: too low<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Michigan<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: 16\/1 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Some sports books have the Wolverines at nearly half the odds listed above, so, for that reason, they are already a bargain. However, the fact that <strong>Jim Harbaugh<\/strong> is bringing so many of last year\u2019s team back with him makes many believe Wolverines can do something special this year.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: too high<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Auburn <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: 25\/1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Will it be another season of being overshadowed by their illustrious state rivals? Probably. But Auburn will push The Tide all the way in the SEC West. Once again, you might want to see bigger odds before choosing to back them.<\/p>\n<p>Verdict: too low.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Now that we are just a couple of months away from the start of the new season and we can start to get a clearer picture of rosters, we can start to make some predictions on how things will pan out. Of course, it is still a bit too early to say with a degree [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1675,"featured_media":29924,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,35578],"tags":[35,36,65,279,903,41,73],"class_list":["post-14987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-georgia-bulldogs","tag-alabama-crimson-tide","tag-clemson-tigers","tag-georgia-bulldogs","tag-michigan-wolverines","tag-national-championship","tag-nick-saban","tag-ohio-state-buckeyes"],"modified_by":"Michael Kovacs, ADMIN","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14987"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14987\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86295,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14987\/revisions\/86295"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/collegefootball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}