Nik’s Picks – Week 13 CFL Predictions
B.C. Lions @ Montreal Alouettes:
B.C. has beaten Montreal in eight of their last 10 meetings, but the bigger story is B.C. winning one of their 10 games in 2019. With both teams off a bye, the Alouettes have a slight advantage by staying at home and adding a healthy William Stanback. The Als are zone heavy on defence, but Mike Reilly won’t have time to pick apart its holes, and running back Brandon Rutley’s motivation going against his old team will be enough for the Lions. One trend is the under hitting in eight of the last 12 B.C.-Montreal games. Als by eight.
B.C. 18 Montreal 26
Best bet: Under 50.5
Toronto Argonauts @ Ottawa Redblacks:
Jon Jennings is under centre for Ottawa, which is a downgrade, even from Dom Davis. The Argos win-loss percentage hasn’t improved due to horrible defence, although their play on offence has with McLeod Bethel-Thompson. The Argos have yet to score a rushing major in 2019, while the Redblacks haven’t scored two offensive touchdowns in a game since Week 5. Ottawa and Toronto are also the two-lowest scoring teams, plus the under has hit in eight of their last nine. Everything points toward a barn burner. Better QB, Argos by eight.
Toronto 23 Ottawa 15
Best bet: OTT team total under 28.5
Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers:
After squeaking by last week, the Riders need to take the Bombers offensive b-squad a tad more serious. Luckily for Saskatchewan, Winnipeg will likely also be without receivers Nic Demski and Lucky Whitehead. If so, the Bombers will be littered with raw CFL players on offence, and as we saw in Regina, Winnipeg’s defence can only hold for so long. On Sunday the Riders did a superb job in containing returner Janarion Grant, Winnipeg’s biggest threat to score, to 36 return yards. The Bombers are too banged up, Saskatchewan wins by three.
Saskatchewan 24 Winnipeg 21
Best bet: SSK ML
Calgary Stampeders @ Edmonton Eskimos:
Some basic keys in football: capitalize on your deep shots, limit your opponent to field goals, and avoid costly penalties. The Stamps did all three last week and won by 16. Now in Edmonton, there’s little doubt this outcome won’t occur once more. Bo Levi Mitchell showed no rust, while Trevor Harris again showed an inability to punch the ball in for six. Calgary’s taken eight of their last 10 against the Esks, despite Edmonton averaging 405 yards of offence. Stamps by 13. And it’s no coincidence that six field goals equal 18 points.
Calgary 31 Edmonton 18
Best bet: CGY +3
Last week: 3-0
Bet of the week (5-7):
CGY +3 -115
B.C.-MTL under 50.5 -110 1u
TOR-OTT under 51.5 -110 2u
OTT team total under 28.5 -110 2u
C.J. Gable under 70.5 rushing yards -115 1u
SSK quarterbacks over .5 interceptions -110 1u
CGY +3 -115 2.5u
7-point teaser: B.C.-MTL under 57.5, TOR-OTT under 58.5, SSK-WPG under 55, CGY +10 .75u +200
Main image credit: Embed from Getty Images