The Packers host the Rams to tie a bow on the week’s NFL action. We picked four Week 15 MNF player props that stand out ahead of tonight’s matchup.
Monday Night Football Player Props, Touchdown Bets
Aaron Rodgers Over 31.5 Pass Attempts
Rodgers has reached 33 pass attempts in only two of his last five games. The Rams, however, are much stronger against the run than the pass which may create a “funnel effect”.
Nobody will confuse the Packers’ pass-catching corps as one of the best in the NFC, but Christian Watson and Allen Lazard are emerging as decent options. Additionally, Rodgers and the Packers have a number of players to target in the short and intermediate passing game if running lanes are difficult to create.
More Packers: Safety Darnell Savage forcing Packers hand
Cam Akers Touchdown | Under 55.5 Rushing Yards
Let’s start with the Under. The Packers feature one of the game’s friendliest run defenses, but we’re bearish on Akers hitting 56 rushing yards. He’s averaging a shade under 13 carries at 3.9 yards per attempt over his last four. It’s also worth wondering if rookie Kryen Williams receives a few more carries following the Rams’ “half bye”.
Even though we like the Under on rushing yards, we like his odds to score a touchdown. He still figures to handle the controlling portion of the Rams’ ground game and receive the first opportunity to punch one in for six if/when the Rams get into scoring position.
Aaron Jones Under 59.5 Rushing Yards
Jones has been limited in practice due to an ankle injury. He finished with fewer than 44 rushing yards in four of his last five games. It’s not just a matter of inefficiency either. Jones was limited to 12 or fewer carries in each of those four contests.
A.J. Dillon handled 18 carries to Jones’ nine last week, and it won’t be a surprise to see Dillon handle the bruising interior runs once again. Jones’ versatility will allow him to inflict damage as a pass-catcher.
Mason Crosby Over 1.5 Field Goals Made
Sportsbooks peg this contest as a low-scoring affair with the Packers laying 7.5 points as home favorites. The Packers are reasonably efficient offensively (No. 12 in DVOA, an advanced efficiency metric), but they rank 22nd in scoring.
Green Bay isn’t the most eager to attempt field goals, but the Rams force the fourth most field goal attempts overall and the 2nd most over their last three games. Finally, considering the 7.5-point spread, the Packers may be in position to elect the conservative play (a field goal attempt) as opposed to forcing the issue.
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