The final week of the NFL kicks off on Saturday with two games featuring massive playoff implications.
The Titans head to Jacksonville for a ‘win-and-in’ game, while the Chiefs host the Raiders with hopes of securing the number one seed in the AFC.
Here are four player props to consider from top NFL betting sites.
Patrick Mahomes under 319.5 passing yards
Patrick Mahomes has had a monster season and is the frontrunner for the MVP. But this number is just way too high. Sure, the Raiders are ranked 29th in passing, but they’re only giving up 246.8 air yards per game.
Las Vegas is also brutal against the run (122.5 YPG). The Chiefs will want a balanced attack and lean on Isiah Pacheco the way they have been in recent weeks.
Even in the Chiefs’ wild Week 5 30-29 victory over the Raiders, Mahomes threw for under 300 yards.
Las Vegas should also be able to move the ball in this one, limiting the Chiefs’ time of possession. In Week 5, the TOP was almost even. Fewer snaps mean a lower chance of eclipsing this lofty number.
Travis Kelce to score a touchdown
This is an eye-popping stat, but Travis Kelce hasn’t scored a touchdown in five straight games. A positive regression is all but inevitable, as the Chiefs will want to get the big man going heading into the postseason.
What better team to snap the scoring slump against than the Raiders? Kelce had a career-high four TD catches in Week 5 against Vegas at Arrowhead.
If you’re feeling spicy, take a flier on number 87 to score 2+ for a hefty payday.
Darren Waller to score a touchdown
The Raiders have desperately missed their Pro Bowl tight end this season. Darren Waller has only played in seven games, which has been a significant factor in the team’s current state.
The good news is Waller is back and has been making an impact. Since returning from injury three games ago, the Georgia Tech product has racked up 178 yards and scored twice.
He had a big game last week catching balls from recently promoted quarterback Jarrett Stidham (72 yards, TD). Look for the new duo to connect again this week against a beatable Chiefs secondary.
Derrick Henry to score a touchdown
The early odds for Henry to score a touchdown this week seem unreasonably long. Grab them while you can.
The King has been on fire lately, scoring in three straight games and going over 100 yards in all of them. One of those games was against this same Jaguars team. He trampled Jacksonville for 121 and a TD in Week 14.
Henry is second in the NFL in rushing TDs (13) and has added another through the air. Everything is on the line for the Titans in this one, and they’ll need big Hank’s best if they plan on playing in the postseason.