MLB Expert Picks & Predictions for Today’s Games (07/29/2022)

Our Top MLB Expert Picks for Today (07/29/2022)

Games Picks for 04/08/2022 Where to Bet

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants

Under 8 runs @ -110

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Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Game 2

Over 7 runs @ -110

Bet with Caesars >

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Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers

Miami Marlins to win @ -110

Bet with DraftKings >

MLB Picks and Predictions for Today’s Games – July 29

We have a full weekend of baseball to enjoy ahead of us, so what could go wrong? Teams will approach the next couple of days as postseason series, as the trade deadline is just a couple of days away, and going cold right now could put an early end to their seasons. With that in mind, let's take a look at the best picks for today's slate.

MLB Picks – July 29th, 2022

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Top MLB Pick: Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers (Rangers +110)

Two struggling teams face off at Angel Stadium in Anaheim when the Texas Rangers visit the Los Angeles Angels. The difference here is that the Rangers haven't given up on the season, whereas the Angels could blow their roster up pretty soon.

Trade chatter around superstar Shohei Ohtani could take a toll on their motivation, while Mike Trout continues to miss time with an injury. The Angels have been one of the worst teams in baseball the past two months, and not even Patrick Sandoval can do anything to help them.

Also, as good as Sandoval has been this season, the Rangers will counter with Martin Perez, who's having the best year of his career and has won eight straight games. The value is too good on a team that's still trying to win against an injury-riddled Angels squad.

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San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins (Twins +107)

The San Diego Padres have been one of the best teams in the National League this season, but the Minnesota Twins have been no pushovers. They've been a much better team offensively by all metrics (BA, OBP, Runs, Home Runs, and SLG).

But the biggest key for this game will come on the mound. The Twins will give the nod to Joe Ryan, who's 7-3 in 15 starts with a 2.89 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this season, striking out 73 and giving up 23 free passes over 81.0 innings of work.

Blake Snell has been far from good for the Padres this season. He's 2-5 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.45 WHIP and will face a Twins team that's averaged 6.75 runs per game in their past four games. Once again, there's more value on the visiting underdog here.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals (Cardinals -1.5 @-110)

The St. Louis Cardinals will get their two best players back after their trip to Toronto. Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt couldn't play in Canada due to their vaccination status, so they'll be well-rested to face the struggling Washington Nationals in the nation's capital.

The Nationals are thinking of next season already. Also, the Juan Soto drama has only made an already complicated season even worst. On the other hand, the Cardinals can't pull their feet off the gas with multiple teams trying to take them down in the Wild Card race.

The pitching edge also favors the visitors tonight. Mike Mikolas (7-8, 2.87 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) will counter the struggling Anibal Sanchez, who has yet to win a game this season and has a 6.30 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Cardinals should have no trouble getting to him early and winning this one by a margin.

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FAQs about MLB betting

How to bet on MLB Baseball?

Even though baseball is quite popular in the United States, some aren't familiar with this type of betting. For starters, MLB betting doesn't feature big point-spreads like basketball or football, as it has a standard of -1.5 for the runline.  Fortunately, there are plenty of legal and trustworthy options for rookie bettors to place their money, with each of them offering multiple bonuses and/or perks.

Here are some of the best:

 

BetMGM

 

Unibet

What are some Types Of Bets To Make on the MLB?

Runline

Betting the runline is similar to betting on point spreads for football or basketball. The only difference is that oddsmakers set a standard spread for all games, with the odds changing depending on how much of a favorite/underdog the team is. The favored team will get a -1.5 runline, meaning they'll have to win by at least 2 runs to cash your bet. On the other hand, underdogs will have a +1.5 runline, meaning they can win by any margin or lose by 1 run to cash your bet.

MLB Totals

Betting on MLB totals is just like in any other sport. Oddsmakers set a projected combined total for the game depending on both teams' offense, the ballpark, the weather, and even who's pitching and the bullpen stats for both teams. A total set at 8.5 runs, for example, would require both teams to combine for at least 9 runs to cash the over, or score fewer than 8 runs to cash for the under. Keep in mind that the total will consist of both teams.

First Five Innings

Just like in any other sport, you can also bet on the first half of a baseball game. These bets could refer to the runline (in this case -0.5 runs instead of .1.5), the game total, and the winner. If you bet on a winner and they're tied through five innings, then your bet will push and the funds will be refunded.

How To Bet MLB Props

Baseball features perhaps the largest variety of prop bets among all sports. You can bet whether a player will record a hit, run, or homer, or how many of those he'd hit. You can bet on a pitcher's strikeouts, how many runs will a team will score, who'll score first, and even whether there will be a run in the first inning. Needless to say, we encourage you to do some thorough research before placing any of these bets.

Trends to check before placing your MLB bets

Pitching Matchup

More often than not, starting pitching matchups make up for half of the MLB bet. Having the edge on the starting pitching department could lead a struggling team to win over a championship contender, which is why it's the first area we should always consider. Look out for both pitchers' stats, recent form, and even how they've fared against the rivals they're about to face.

Umpires

Believe it or not, expert bettors always consider who's calling the shots on every game. Some home plate umpires happen to be friendlier to over bettors, while others are far more strict with their calls and don't favor the offense at all. Some sites keep a track record of each umpire and how they've fared related to the over/under.

Weather

Just like in football, weather is key in baseball betting. Always keep an eye for rain forecasts, as most ballparks don't have roofs and it could lead to delays, pitching changes, and even suspensions. Also, is there strong wind? That could lead to a high-scoring game as the ball will travel further and pitchers could have a tougher time controlling their throws.

Ballpark

Some ballparks are hitter-friendly, while others… not so much. Coors Field in Colorado, for instance, favors a high-scoring affair due to the altitude and strong wind, while Petco Park in San Diego is the opposite. Always keep that in mind, when handicapping, especially if you're about to bet on heavy-hitting teams.

Injuries/Bullpen Availability

Injuries are a big part of sports betting, and baseball isn't the exception to that rule. Moreover, one also needs to check how beaten a team's bullpen is, as the bullpen will be responsible for the second half of the game more often than not. Has the team used its bullpen way too often as of late? If so, they could be tired and could struggle.

Recent Schedule

MLB teams play almost every day, so keep that in mind as well. Sometimes, a team could play for 20 days straight, sometimes even playing doubleheaders. Fatigue can be a big factor, especially after long road trips. Also, is the team heading back home after weeks on the road? Did they travel a long distance hours before the game? That could also take a toll on their performance.

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