Friday’s best NBA prop picks places a heavy emphasis on some of the top scorers on the evening’s eight-game slate.
Friday’s Best NBA Prop Picks
Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points
We appreciate that 29.5 is a hefty number. He’s “only” averaging 26.6 points over his last 10, but that span includes five instances of scoring 30 or more. There’s plenty to like about Edwards’ volume and efficiency of late, and if the All-Star break serves Edwards as well as some other players, he’ll have the opportunity to post a gaudy stat line.
The Charlotte Hornets, Edwards’ opponent, are not a team that offers defensive resistance. They’re not a team that tries to limit opponents’ possessions or chances either – they’re 25th in defensive efficiency, fifth in pace, and allow the sixth most shot attempts per game.
Devin Booker Over 26.5 Points
Booker shook off rust in four games heading into the All-Star break, though he only played 28.9 minutes and attempted 17.3 shots in those contests, both below his season average. It’s reasonable to anticipate that the extra time off allowed him to put his injury further behind him.
Look for Booker’s volume to increase, both in terms of floor time and shot attempts. Especially against an Oklahoma City Thunder squad that plays at the game’s seventh fastest pace and is coming off a Thursday night overtime loss in Utah.
Deandre Ayton Over 11.5 Rebounds
This is another hefty number on which we’re looking Over. There’s reason to bet bullishly on Ayton’s glass-cleaning production tonight though. He’s averaging 11 boards over his last 11 games.
That stretch only includes four performances of at least 12 rebounds, but for the same reasons listed above in regard to Booker, we anticipate increased opportunity for Ayton to collect a few extra errant shots against what figures to be a tired Thunder unit.
Kawhi Leonard Over 24.5 Points
Leonard hasn’t been quite as prolific as he was in January, but we still like his production enough to lean on him scoring 25-plus at home against a Sacramento Kings team that succeeds in spite of mediocre defensive metrics.
Leonard’s efficiency over the last seven took a hit thanks to a pair of poor shooting nights (12 of 44, 27.2% across two games). Overall though, he’s handling plenty of shot volume, including from three-point range, and making his way to the line at a reasonable clip.
Note: Odds for game lines and player props fluctuate leading to tip-off. Be sure to check for the latest odds at the best NBA betting sites before submitting your wager(s).