Chiefs vs. Dolphins Sunday picks, props, odds: Mahomes, Tua, Kelce, Hill

chiefs dolphins player props

The Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins face off in Frankfurt, Germany, a matchup that looks like a treat for early rising NFL fans and bettors. We’re discussing picks and props ahead of the highly anticipated kickoff.

NFL Week 9 Chiefs vs. Dolphins props & picks

Chiefs vs. Dolphins Under 50.5

It’s easy to eye the Over when two dominant offensive teams meet, in this case, on the pitch. That’s what many fans and bettors will anticipate when these two high-flying foes meet in Frankfurt, Germany. Don’t neglect to consider how well the Chiefs are playing defensively – No. 2 in points allowed – or the Dolphins’ defensive capability, especially with Jalen Ramsey back.

Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 pass attempts

Mahomes has attempted at least 37 passes in five of seven games this season, a mark that bettors can anticipate he’ll match again. The Over/Under is set at 50.5, a robust number, and one that suggests plenty of scoring – even if the total ultimately stays Under. The Dolphins present enough of a scoring threat – and threat to win overall – that the Chiefs will likely need to keep the rock in Mahomes’ hand in order to outpace the ‘Fins.

Tua Tagovailoa Over 271.5 passing yards

Tagovailoa has passed for at least 272 yards in five of eight starts and leads the league in passing yards. Not only do the odds suggest a bit of a shootout, but the Dolphins feature perhaps the scariest wide receiver duo, especially now that Jaylen Waddle is playing at a full clip. The Chiefs feature one of the league’s top defenses, but slowing two receivers of this caliber can stress just about any unit.

Tyreek Hill Anytime TD

Hill is on a mission this season. He has scored in each game except one to complement dominant numbers across the board. “Revenge spots” are often overrated, and we’re not suggesting leaning too heavily into that context here, but it will be Hill’s first time lining up opposite the Chiefs since they traded him. Hill clearly doesn’t need extra motivation to slice up opposing secondaries, but nothing wrong with sprinkling a little bit extra on top.

Travis Kelce Over 7.5 receptions

Kelce missed Week 1 and gradually worked back up to full speed before hitting his stride in Week 5. He’s averaging 10.5 targets and 9.3 receptions across his last four games, a trend bettors can anticipate continuing. Kelce’s 22.8 percent target share is robust, to say the least, for a tight end. The next highest percentage is 13 percent (Rashee Rice), so it’s difficult to imagine Kelce not seeing another heavy serving of passes flowing his direction on Sunday morning. He recorded eight receptions in three consecutive weeks prior to last Sunday’s dud, so it’s reasonable to expect a bounceback performance.