{"id":73896,"date":"2024-04-18T15:51:39","date_gmt":"2024-04-18T19:51:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=73896"},"modified":"2024-04-30T13:11:53","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T17:11:53","slug":"nba-playoffs-2024-timberwolves-vs-suns-preview-and-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/04\/18\/nba-playoffs-2024-timberwolves-vs-suns-preview-and-prediction\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA Playoffs 2024: Timberwolves Vs. Suns Preview and Prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Suns-Timberwolves is one of the most intriguing first-round matchups. The Timberwolves took the league by storm and surpassed all expectations en route to earning the three-seed. While the Suns&#8217; season was largely filled with disappointment they were projected to be a top-three team but narrowly avoided the Play-In Tournament. Nevertheless, their talent can&#8217;t be ignored and Phoenix is even slight favorites to win the series according to <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/event\/min-timberwolves-vs-pho-suns---series\/829b8c36-cc5d-4531-cdc7-08dc4f1b6579?category=odds&amp;subcategory=series-matchups\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">DraftKings<\/a>. Let&#8217;s dive into this series look at <a href=\"http:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/draftkings-nba-promo\" target=\"_self\">the best NBA bet<\/a> for this series.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>NBA Playoffs 2024: Timberwolves Vs. Suns Preview and Prediction<\/h2>\n<h3><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Regular Season Meetings\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In the regular season, the Suns went a perfect 3-0 against the Timberwolves.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Impressively<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0winning all three games by at least 10 points\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">including<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0a 19-point victory on the last game of the regular season. The Suns&#8217; elite shot creation from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/duranke01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Durant<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bookede01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Devin Booker<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bealbr01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bradley Beal<\/a> pose a difficult matchup for the Timberwolves. Given the results from the regular season the Suns might be perfectly suited to take down the Timberwolves.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Additionally, in the regular season games,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/e\/edwaran01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Anthony\u00a0<\/a><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/e\/edwaran01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Edwards<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/anthony-edwards-stats-vs-suns-this-year\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">averaged<\/a> just 14 points per game. Far below his 25.9 season average.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Timberwolves need star-level production out of\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Edwards<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0or this series is already a sealed deal. During their regular season matchups, the Timberwolves <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/suns-stats-vs-timberwolves-this-year\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">shot<\/a> just 28 percent from three while the Suns shot 47 percent. On the year\u00a0Minnesota\u00a0shot 38.7 percent from beyond the arc\u00a0which\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/shots-general?dir=D&amp;sort=FG3_PCT\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ranks<\/a> top three in the league and just a notch above the Suns. It could be argued simply the three-point disparity evening out and Edwards playing at a star-level will be enough for the Timberwolves to win the series.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Playstyles<\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Suns have the 8th-<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/advanced?dir=A&amp;sort=OFF_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ranked<\/a> offense in the league compared to the Timberwolves 16th-ranked offense.\u00a0While this\u00a0doesn\u2019t\u00a0appear to be\u00a0the biggest gap, the Suns&#8217; trio of elite shot creators adds to this disparity.\u00a0Outside of\u00a0Edwards\u00a0the Timberwolves don&#8217;t have many elite creators and will have trouble matching the Suns&#8217; elite offensive production.\u00a0This\u00a0is especially true considering that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/townska01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Karl-Anthony Towns<\/a> has only played in two games post-<a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/03\/07\/nba-news-minnesota-timberwolves-star-suffers-devastating-injury\/\" target=\"_self\">injury.<\/a>\u00a0In both games his play wasn&#8217;t up to his elite standards <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask?q=karl-anthony+towns+april+2024\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">averaging<\/a> just 10 ppg on poor shooting from the field.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Suns&#8217;<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0elite perimeter play and three-point shooting is a matchup nightmare for Minnesota even despite their top-<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/advanced?dir=A&amp;sort=DEF_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ranked<\/a> defense. The Suns&#8217; are second in the league in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/shooting?DistanceRange=By%20Zone&amp;dir=D&amp;sort=Mid-Range%20FGA\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mid-range attempts. <\/a>\u00a0As a result they can exploit the Timberwolves&#8217; defense\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">which<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0focuses on stopping rim pressure and perimeter shots while giving up more mid-range shots. The Suns&#8217; elite mid-range scoring notably will neutralize\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/g\/goberru01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rudy Gobert&#8217;s <\/a>defensive impact.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Suns have their playoff experience\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">gives<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0them another massive advantage. Durant and Booker have more playoff experience than this young Timberwolves team. Last year\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Durant<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/durant-2023-playoff-stats\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">averaged<\/a> 29 ppg, 8.7 rpg, and 5.5 apg while Booker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/devin-booker-2023-playoff-stats#\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">averaged<\/a> 33.7, 7.2 apg, and 4.8 rpg. This level of scoring and history of being elite playoff performers makes the KD and Booker duo an impossible matchup.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Matchups<\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">From a matchup perspective, the Suns&#8217; floor spacing is challenging for a bigger Timberwolves squad. Based on regular-season\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">meetings<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Edwards will likely draw the Durant <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/player\/1630162\/head-to-head?CF=MATCHUP_PLAYER_NAME*E*Durant\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">matchup<\/a>\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">while<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mcdanja02.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jaden McDaniels<\/a> will likely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/player\/1630183\/head-to-head?CF=MATCHUP_PLAYER_NAME*E*Booke\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">defend Booker<\/a>. H<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">owever,<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0McDaniels will likely guard Durant more during this series especially considering his elite length and size. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The real problem for the Timberwolves is that one of the bigs\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">will have to<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0guard either Beal or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/a\/allengr01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Grayson Allen<\/a>. \u00a0Gobert will defend <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/n\/nurkiju01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jusuf Nurkic<\/a> and provide necessary rim protection\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">so<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Towns will likely guard Allen.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This perimeter matchup is tough for Towns and could lead to Allen\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">who<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0is one<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0of the\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">league&#8217;s<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/04\/15\/nba-league-leaders-for-the-2023-24-regular-season\/\" target=\"_self\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0best shooters\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">getting<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0more open looks.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Sixth-man <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/r\/reidna01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Naz Reid<\/a> will also have to defend the perimeter more often than\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">he\u2019s<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0used to.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Furthermore<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/conlemi01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mike Conley<\/a> will likely have to guard Beal\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">which is a mismatch based on Conley&#8217;s size and age. Ultimately this could create several problems for the Timberwolves defense and gives the Suns a massive advantage.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On the Suns&#8217; defensive side, Durant can easily match up with one of\u00a0Minnesota\u2019s\u00a0big likely Towns. They also have the wing personnel throw multiple looks at Edwards which was effective during the regular season.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Minnesota&#8217;s Path To Win<\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">While the Suns&#8217; advantages are\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">clear<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0you\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">can\u2019t<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0count out the Timberwolves.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Throughout the\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">year<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0the<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Timberwolves were in a three-way race for the number one seed.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0If Towns was fully\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">healthy<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">there\u2019s<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0a good chance that the Timberwolves would be the one seed right now. Additionally, their top-ranked defense can swing a series even if the matchup is not ideal. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Defensively\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Timberwolves will have\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">to constantly switch up looks and slow down the game<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">If Minnesota can set the tone and control the series with stifling defense and slow\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">pace<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">that\u2019s<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0a series they<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0can win.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0However, finding creative ways to neutralize the Suns&#8217; perimeter play will be\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">key<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0for the Timberwolves defense to have this level of impact. Similarly, the Timberwolves have to turn their size and physicality into a positive.\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Timberwolves will use their size both at the rim and rebounding, especially during the non-<a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/n\/nurkiju01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nurkic<\/a> minutes. Even if they give up a lot on the perimeter Minnesota can make this size positive and punish the smaller Phoenix. Overall this<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0gives the Timberwolves a possible advantage and path to win.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>The Last Word<\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0series has everything you could ask for in a first-round matchup and it has upset written all over it. The Suns have almost every advantage in this matchup\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">and<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0the\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Towns\u2019<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0health makes it more challenging for Minnesota. Regardless, the Timberwolves are an incredibly talented team and will make this a competitive series. \u00a0The Suns&#8217; offense and perimeter play are\u00a0<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">perfectly<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0suited to neutralize the Timberwolves&#8217; elite defense. Ultimately the matchup advantages the Suns have in this series can&#8217;t be ignored.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Final Prediction: Suns in 6 \u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Suns-Timberwolves is one of the most intriguing first-round matchups. The Timberwolves took the league by storm and surpassed all expectations en route to earning the three-seed. While the Suns&#8217; season was largely filled with disappointment they were projected to be a top-three team but narrowly avoided the Play-In Tournament. Nevertheless, their talent can&#8217;t be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4779,"featured_media":73917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"1","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62,1608,21,28],"tags":[49186,2109,311,352,69,596,394],"class_list":["post-73896","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","category-basketball","category-timberwolves","category-suns","tag-2024-nba-playoffs","tag-anthony-edwards","tag-bradley-beal","tag-devin-booker","tag-kevin-durant","tag-nba-playoffs","tag-rudy-gobert"],"modified_by":"Michael Kovacs, ADMIN","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73896","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4779"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73896"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73896\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}