{"id":67454,"date":"2024-03-11T19:22:59","date_gmt":"2024-03-11T23:22:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=67454"},"modified":"2024-03-16T09:01:24","modified_gmt":"2024-03-16T13:01:24","slug":"2024-sec-tournament-predictions-semifinals-and-championship","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/03\/11\/2024-sec-tournament-predictions-semifinals-and-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 SEC Tournament Predictions: Semifinals and Championship"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the previous part of my <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/03\/11\/2024-sec-tournament-predictions-part-2-quarterfinals\/\" target=\"_self\">SEC Tournament predictions<\/a>, I went over what I think will be the Quarterfinals. This part will cover what I believe will be the SEC Semifinals and the Finals. Just so we&#8217;re all up to speed, the current matchups are as follows:<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">9. Mississippi State vs 4. Auburn\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>7. Texas A&amp;M vs 6. Florida<\/p>\n<h2>2024 SEC Tournament Predictions: Semifinals and Championship<\/h2>\n<h3>Semifinals<\/h3>\n<h4><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">9. Mississippi State vs 4. Auburn\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Following two great performances from each team, the two meet once again in the semis. The first matchup in late January saw the Bulldogs take home a 64-58 home win. That game saw both teams shoot under 25% from three, and the Tigers shot 33.9% from the floor. For Mississippi State, they&#8217;re coming off a win in which they did to Tennessee what Tennessee does to everyone else. They have to keep that defensive intensity to pull off yet another upset. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/cameron-matthews-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cameron Matthews<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/josh-hubbard-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Josh Hubbard<\/a> have to have another big game if they want to withstand an <span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">Auburn team that seems to have figured out something on offense.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>For <span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">Auburn, the name of the game is depth. Play your game and be physical. Mississippi State will be playing its third game in as many days. With the Tigers&#8217; strength being their depth, I fully expect them to go to work on what should be a fairly winded Mississippi State team. The defensive game plan is simple: contain Hubbard. The freshman has lit up some of the SEC&#8217;s best teams over the last few weeks; if he sees one go through the hoop, watch out. Make someone else beat you and trade twos; knowing your depth gives you an advantage inside. I don&#8217;t see Mississippi State having the energy to play with the Tigers for 40 minutes. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Auburn 84-72<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4>7. Texas A&amp;M vs 6. Florida<\/h4>\n<p>Not w<span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">anting to be left out of the upset club, both Florida and <\/span>Texas A&amp;M upset top three seeds to move on to the semis. In their first meeting, the Aggies esc<span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">aped with a one-point road win. Unlike their last game, the Aggies won this game by holding the opponent under 70, winning regardless of a bad perimeter showing night. If you&#8217;re Texas A&amp;M, you must come ready with the same bubble mindset you&#8217;ve had the last two games. You&#8217;ve shown you can win in multiple ways, but you still want to limit Florida&#8217;s possessions. You won last time off hunting their explosive backcourt instead of vice versa. Control the tempo and keep winning the glass, and you should get a similar result to last time.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>For Florid<span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">a, you want to try to make A&amp;M play fast again. While they shot well today, they&#8217;re not shooting threes efficiently on the season. Keep Texas A&amp;M off the offensive glass so you can get out and run. You don&#8217;t want <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/wade-tayloriv-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Wade Taylor<\/a> to get going again because he can drag a team to a win by himself. Also, don&#8217;t let A&amp;M get to the foul line, as they score 23% of their points on the line, most in the SEC. I see this being a really ugly game. I think Buzz Williams creates a great defensive game plan, but Florida matches the defensive intensity. That kind of game favors Texas A&amp;M. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\"><strong>Texas A&amp;M 72-68<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Championship<\/h3>\n<h4>7. <span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">Texas A&amp;M vs <\/span><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">4. Auburn<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Not m<span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">any would have imagined this being the SEC Championship, but here we are. In the first meeting, <\/span><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">Auburn <\/span><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">came away with a 66-55 road win, where Texas A&amp;M&#8217;s offense struggled down the stretch. Both teams shot under 25% from three, which won&#8217;t happen again. For A&amp;M, they turned the ball over 19 times in the last game, seven coming from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/henry-coleman-iii-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Henry Coleman<\/a>, which will never win you games in March. Taylor shot 0-8 from three, which won&#8217;t happen again. You have to win the turnover battle and run Florida off the three-point line.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>For <span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">Auburn<\/span><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\">, who shot 22.7% from three, the shooting has really improved during March, and you can rely on that not happening again. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/johni-broome-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Johni Broome<\/a> got to the line ten times in the last meeting; you want to see him continue to be aggressive. While forcing 19 turnovers again isn&#8217;t likely, you hope to win the turnover battle again. Most importantly, A&amp;M had 19 offensive rebounds in the last meeting, which cannot happen again. I think this game comes down to fatigue. This would be Texas A&amp;M&#8217;s fourth game in as many days. Auburn&#8217;s depth and the extra day of rest will be too much. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\"><strong>Auburn 80-70<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the previous part of my SEC Tournament predictions, I went over what I think will be the Quarterfinals. This part will cover what I believe will be the SEC Semifinals and the Finals. Just so we&#8217;re all up to speed, the current matchups are as follows: 9. Mississippi State vs 4. Auburn\u00a0 7. Texas [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4981,"featured_media":68432,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[773,1608,2],"tags":[1412,777,776,2903,1436,1763,1506],"class_list":["post-67454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","category-basketball","category-featured","tag-auburn-tigers","tag-florida-gators","tag-kentucky-wildcats","tag-mississippi-state-bulldogs","tag-sec-basketball","tag-tennessee-volunteers","tag-texas-am-aggies"],"modified_by":"Kayla Fonte","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4981"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67454"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67454\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}