{"id":67002,"date":"2024-03-10T10:43:19","date_gmt":"2024-03-10T14:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=67002"},"modified":"2024-03-10T10:43:19","modified_gmt":"2024-03-10T14:43:19","slug":"3-nba-title-pretenders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/03\/10\/3-nba-title-pretenders\/","title":{"rendered":"3 NBA Title Pretenders"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With a month to go in the NBA&#8217;s regular season now is the perfect time to evaluate team&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/02\/15\/tiers-on-tap-evaluating-the-western-conference-post-deadline\/\" target=\"_self\">contention<\/a> chances. After analyzing the top-tier <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/03\/09\/3-clear-nba-contenders\/\" target=\"_self\">contenders<\/a>\u00a0we shift our attention to some pretenders. These pretenders must have some level of playoff expectations and regular season success yet they aren&#8217;t a threat to win the title or their conference. For these three pretenders, it wouldn&#8217;t surprise me if they all were first-round exits. Let&#8217;s dive into to three teams I am classifying as pretenders.<\/p>\n<h2>3 NBA Title Pretenders<\/h2>\n<h3>Cleveland Cavaliers<\/h3>\n<p>There\u2019s a lot to be excited about with this Cavs season including competing for the two seed, another great <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mitchdo01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Donovan Mitchell<\/a> season, and a career year from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/a\/allenja01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jarrett Allen<\/a>. However, the Cavs&#8217; playoff collapse last year remains a massive concern when evaluating them. It\u2019s hard to shake the image of the Knicks dominating them in the first round last year. After the series, there were real concerns about the viability of this roster in a playoff setting. The Cavs improved their role players, especially on the wings but the flaws of this team are still clear. Sure the Cavs could win a first-round series with these improvements but winning two or more series would be shocking.<\/p>\n<p>Despite its defensive advantages, the double big pairing is flawed offensively. Neither Allen nor <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mobleev01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Evan Mobley<\/a> are capable shot creators or floor spacers. In today\u2019s league having two non-shooting and non-playmaking big men is disastrous. The duo offers a repetitive skillset as does the backcourt of Mitchell and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/g\/garlada01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Darius Garland<\/a>. Both undersized guards, especially Garland present defense concerns in the playoffs. Furthermore due to the big men issue the Cavs are overly reliant on the guards scoring abilities. This makes the Cavs offense very predictable and throwing bigger matchups on the backcourt can further hurt their effectiveness as we saw last year. Ultimately the Cavs roster construction lacks balance and is flawed in the playoffs lending them to an early upset. If the Cavs have another disappointing series look for them to shake up the roster in the off-season.<\/p>\n<h3>Minnesota Timberwolves<\/h3>\n<p>The Timberwolves had a legitimate chance of being contenders. Minnesota&#8217;s\u00a0dominant <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/leagues\/NBA_2024_ratings.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">top-ranked<\/a> defense and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/e\/edwaran01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Anthony Edwards&#8217;<\/a> rise to superstardom have been central to their success this season. However, a devastating <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/03\/07\/nba-news-minnesota-timberwolves-star-suffers-devastating-injury\/\" target=\"_self\">injury<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/townska01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Karl-Anthony Towns<\/a> greatly changes the team\u2019s outlook. The Timberwolves have been in a three-team battle for the number one seed with the Nuggets and Thunder. Without Towns, the Timberwolves will likely drop to the three seed, possibly even to the four. Last year should serve as a reminder of how valuable Town is to this team. While Towns is targeting a first-round playoff return, a knee injury for a 7-footer is never a good sign and his impact could be significantly reduced.<\/p>\n<p>Even with Towns, this is a flawed team. The Timberwolves have a mediocre 17th-<a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/leagues\/NBA_2024_ratings.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ranked<\/a> offense. The lack of scoring and creation outside of Edwards is a massive problem, especially in the playoffs. Furthermore, the Timberwolves lack playmaking and ball handling outside of 36-year-old <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/conlemi01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mike Conley.<\/a> The West has plenty of experienced teams at the bottom of the playoff picture that could pull off a first-round upset against Minnesota. Considering these factors and that this core has had no true playoff success together it\u2019s hard to imagine the Timberwolves being a real threat in the West. Ultimately despite an incredible defense and a rising superstar in Edwards a Timberwolves playoff run feels improbable.<\/p>\n<h3>Phoenix Suns<\/h3>\n<p>While most people have given up on teams like the Lakers and Warriors the Suns remain a lurking threat. The Suns are listed at +1400 odds to win the finals making them the fifth title favorites via <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bet365.com\/en-us\/article\/nba-futures\/2023061315405025160\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bet365<\/a>. Notably ahead of teams like the Thunder and Timberwolves. The talent and upside of Phoenix is undeniable. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/duranke01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Durant<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bookede01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Devin Booker<\/a> are two of the league&#8217;s most gifted scorers and top-ten-level players. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bealbr01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bradley Beal<\/a> is an elite third and talented offensive player. However, the Suns\u2019 four through 13 in their rotation are among the worst of all playoff teams. The Suns rank 29th in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/traditional?StarterBench=Bench&amp;sort=PTS\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bench scoring<\/a> and appear to be still figuring out their rotations. While depth isn\u2019t the most important factor in the playoffs, having this poor of a bench and not establishing consistent rotations is problematic, especially for an injury-prone core.<\/p>\n<p>The Suns trio of Durant, Booker, and Beal have played just 23 games and 455 minutes together. History shows us it\u2019s hard to win a title or make a substantial playoff run without a ton of court time together. However, the most important concern is the Phoenix&#8217;s awful 4th quarter play. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/clutch-advanced?CF=TEAM_NAME*E*Suns&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=OFF_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">clutch time<\/a> play the Suns have a 16-19 record, a 104.9 offensive rating, and a -8.1 net rating. The Suns have a total 4th quarter <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/suns-total-point-differentials-the-4th-quarter-this-season\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">point differential<\/a>\u00a0of -200 the worst in the league. These stats are on par with a rebuilding team not one with championship aspirations. Both the stats and eye test show the Suns are an ineffective clutch-time team which is particularly problematic in the playoffs.<\/p>\n<p>The Suns also don\u2019t match up well with the top teams in the West making their flaws even harder to overcome. Phoenix\u2019s star power certainly gives them a chance and makes them the most intriguing of these three teams. However, in a fully healthy West, it\u2019s hard to imagine Phoenix overcoming season-long problems to make a title run.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With a month to go in the NBA&#8217;s regular season now is the perfect time to evaluate team&#8217;s contention chances. After analyzing the top-tier contenders\u00a0we shift our attention to some pretenders. These pretenders must have some level of playoff expectations and regular season success yet they aren&#8217;t a threat to win the title or their [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4779,"featured_media":67011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"1","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62,1608,9,21,28],"tags":[2109,900,213,69],"class_list":["post-67002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","category-basketball","category-cavaliers","category-timberwolves","category-suns","tag-anthony-edwards","tag-donovan-mitchell","tag-karl-anthony-towns","tag-kevin-durant"],"modified_by":"Eamon Cassels, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67002","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4779"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67002"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67002\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67002"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67002"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67002"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}