{"id":55657,"date":"2023-09-30T20:14:48","date_gmt":"2023-10-01T00:14:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=55657"},"modified":"2023-09-30T20:48:27","modified_gmt":"2023-10-01T00:48:27","slug":"liberty-vs-sun-semifinals-game-4-best-bet-2-parlays-5-player-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2023\/09\/30\/liberty-vs-sun-semifinals-game-4-best-bet-2-parlays-5-player-props\/","title":{"rendered":"Liberty vs. Sun Semifinals Game 4: Best Bet, 2 Parlays &#038; 4 Player Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The<a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2023\/09\/23\/2023-wnba-semifinals-game-1-betting-preview-best-bets-parlays-and-player-props\/\" target=\"_self\"> WNBA playoffs<\/a> are down to one <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2023\/09\/29\/2023-wnba-semifinals-game-3-best-bets5-legged-parlays-player-props\/\" target=\"_self\">semifinal series<\/a>. With the Las Vegas Aces dispatching the Dallas Wings in three games on Friday night, the New York Liberty-Connecticut Sun matchup is the only one left. That is before the Finals.<\/p>\n<h2>Liberty vs. Sun Semifinals Game 4: Best Bet, 2 Parlays &amp; 4 Player Props<\/h2>\n<p>[cta id=4013 type=cta]<\/p>\n<p>No. 2 seed New York took control of their semifinal series against the No. 3 Connecticut Sun with a dominant offensive performance in Game 3. The Liberty put up a franchise record 37 first-quarter points and led by 20 points after the period. Still, the Liberty had to stave off several Sun comeback attempts before finishing up with a 92-81 victory to take a 2-1 series lead on Friday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/s\/stewabr01w\/gamelog\/2023\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Breanna Stewart<\/strong> <\/a>led the way for Liberty in Game 3. Stewart, who had struggled most of the postseason, put up a game-high 25 points and grabbed 11 boards. The 2023 WNBA MVP was 11 of 19 from the field and 1 of 2 from the 3-point line. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/l\/laneybe01w.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Betnijah Laney<\/strong><\/a> added 20 points on 8 of 15 shooting, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/j\/jonesjo01w.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Jonquel Jones<\/strong><\/a> posted her fifth straight double-double. All five Liberty starters reached double figures.<\/p>\n<p>Game 4 is on Sunday at 3 p.m. (ET) at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville (CT).\u00a0 The game is slated to be televised by ABC. New York is favored by 5.0 points, with the over\/under set at 160.5 points. On the money line, New York is -225, while Connecticut is +185.<\/p>\n<p>Connecticut guard <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/a\/allenre01w.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Rebecca Allen<\/strong><\/a> is listed as day-to-day with a non-COVID-19 illness.<\/p>\n<h4>Prediction<\/h4>\n<p>While Allen&#8217;s absence on Friday hurt Connecticut, the game&#8217;s story was that New York&#8217;s offense finally got untracked in the series. Now that the Liberty&#8217;s offense has gotten a little on a roll, I don&#8217;t expect them to be slowed even if Allen can go.<\/p>\n<p>The Liberty and Stewart have enjoyed playing in Connecticut this year despite the Sun&#8217;s defensive acumen. New York is 3-0 at the Mohegan Sun this year and has scored at least 89 points in all three games. Meanwhile, the Liberty only reached 89 points in four games at the Barclays Center.<\/p>\n<p>So, I would like New York to end the series tomorrow.\u00a0 The Liberty has too much firepower for the Sun, who hasn&#8217;t yet had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/t\/thomaal01w.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Alyssa Thomas<\/strong><\/a> and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/b\/bonnede01w.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">DeWanna Bonner<\/a> <\/strong>clicking together in the series. Plus, the Liberty has been fabulous after just one day of rest.<\/p>\n<p>New York has an 18-4 record, including 1-0 in the playoffs, with a nearly +8.0 scoring margin and just one day off between games. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 11-7\u00a0 following a day off, including 1-0 in the playoffs, and around a +3.0 scoring margin.<\/p>\n<p>However, my best bet here is over 160.5 points. Connecticut shoots better at the Mohegan Sun than on the road. The Sun also tends to play at a faster pace at home.\u00a0 The average score in the Sun&#8217;s games after one day off was 164. The two teams totaled 161 points in Game 2 of the series after one day off.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, New York is 3-0 this season against Connecticut. The two regular season games saw an average in this situation saw an average of 177 points put on the board.<\/p>\n<p>Best Bet: Over 160.5 Points (-110)<\/p>\n<h4>Team Parlay<\/h4>\n<p>New York To Win (-255) and Over 160.5 Points (-110)<\/p>\n<p>2-Legged Parlay +176<\/p>\n<h4>Player Props<\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/i\/ionessa01w\/splits\/9999\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Sabrina Ionescu<\/strong><\/a> Under 17.5 Points (-125)<\/p>\n<p>I like this prop bet even more if Allen can play. Ionescu has scored 18 points in just two of her six games against Connecticut this year. She also isn&#8217;t as effective as a scorer on the road as she is at home or after one day off rest. Ionescu averages 15.3 points following a day off this season and 15.5 points in that situation for her career.<\/p>\n<p>Breanna Stewart Over 9.5 Rebounds (+105)<\/p>\n<p>Game 4 will be fast-paced, so there will be plenty of opportunities for rebounds. Stewie has grabbed 11 rebounds in each of the last two games. Stewart has grabbed double-figure boards in four of seven contests against the Sun, including two of the three contests at the Mohegan Sun.<\/p>\n<p>Courtney Vandersloot Under 7.5 Assists<\/p>\n<p>The Liberty hasn&#8217;t been moving the ball during the playoffs as they did during the regular season. As a team, the Liberty are averaging five fewer assists than they did during the regular season. Similarly, the Liberty are averaging 18 dimes in this series while registering 23 assists a game against the Sun during the regular season.<\/p>\n<p>Vandersloot is doling out 6.8 helpers during the playoffs. She has recorded eight assists once in the five games and has not posted more than seven this series.<\/p>\n<p>Sabrina Ionescu Under 4.5 Rebounds (-120)<\/p>\n<p>Ionescu has not rebounded the ball very well in this series. She only has seven in the three games, with three boards in her last outing being her highest total.<\/p>\n<h4>Same Game Parlay<\/h4>\n<p>Betnijah Laney 12+ Points<\/p>\n<p>Sabrina Ionescu 12+ Points<\/p>\n<p>Tiffany Hayes 12+ Points<\/p>\n<p>Breanna Stewart 8+ Rebounds<\/p>\n<p>Alyssa Thomas 8+ Assists<\/p>\n<p>Jonquel Jones 10+ Rebounds<\/p>\n<p>New York Liberty Over 80.5 Points<\/p>\n<p>7-Legged Parlay &#8211; +575<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The WNBA playoffs are down to one semifinal series. With the Las Vegas Aces dispatching the Dallas Wings in three games on Friday night, the New York Liberty-Connecticut Sun matchup is the only one left. That is before the Finals. Liberty vs. Sun Semifinals Game 4: Best Bet, 2 Parlays &amp; 4 Player Props [cta [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3146,"featured_media":55717,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1608,2],"tags":[3153,3639,2958,3152,2930,1632],"class_list":["post-55657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-basketball","category-featured","tag-breanna-stewart","tag-connecticut-sun","tag-new-york-liberty","tag-sabrina-ionescu","tag-sports-betting","tag-wnba"],"modified_by":"Daniel Benjamin","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3146"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55657\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}