{"id":2402,"date":"2016-11-15T08:15:04","date_gmt":"2016-11-15T13:15:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonprobasketball.com\/?p=2402"},"modified":"2017-01-04T12:34:08","modified_gmt":"2017-01-04T17:34:08","slug":"boston-celtics-early-struggles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2016\/11\/15\/boston-celtics-early-struggles\/","title":{"rendered":"Sorting Out the Boston Celtics&#8217; Early Struggles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>After agreeing to a mammoth <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/story\/_\/id\/16712043\/al-horford-boston-celtics-agree-terms-four-year-113-million-deal-according-league-sources\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">four-year, $113 million contract<\/a> with big man <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/h\/horfoal01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Al Horford<\/a><\/strong> in July, the <strong>Boston Celtics<\/strong> looked poised to be a true <strong>Eastern Conference<\/strong> contender. <strong>ESPN<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/story\/_\/id\/17131133\/2016-summer-forecast-east-standings\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">projected them to finish second in the East<\/a>, behind only the <strong>Cleveland Cavaliers<\/strong>. Despite their failure to lure\u00a0<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/duranke01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Durant<\/a><\/strong> to the <strong>NBA<\/strong>\u2019s weaker conference, the Celtics had a successful off-season. Many people thought that they were ready to truly challenge the Cavs, and many still think that. Those people may be right. However, the Celtics haven\u2019t lived up to their lofty expectations early on this season. Sure, it\u2019s only been ten games, and the team hasn\u2019t been <em>terrible<\/em>, but there have been some concerns over the course of Boston\u2019s 5-5 start. Furthermore, the Celtics have lost four of their last six games. Here are some of Boston\u2019s issues, beginning with the most minor and moving up from there.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Sorting Out the Boston Celtics Early Struggles<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h3><strong>Soon to be Solved: Injuries<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Before looking at the Celtics\u2019 more serious problems, let\u2019s cut them a little slack. Some of the team\u2019s key players have missed several games already. Center <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/o\/olynyke01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kelly Olynyk<\/a> <\/strong>was sidelined for Boston\u2019s first six contests due to a shoulder problem. Olynyk returned for the past four games, scoring 19 and 16 points, respectively, in two of them. While he has his defensive limitations, Olynyk provides the Celtics a versatile option at the five. He can stretch the floor with his three-point shooting, and he\u2019s an excellent passer for a big man. Celtics fans are certainly thankful to replace most of <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/z\/zellety01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tyler Zeller<\/a><\/strong>\u2019s minutes with Olynyk.<\/p>\n<p>More importantly, Boston has been missing two of its three best players for most of the season. <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/crowdja01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jae Crowder<\/a><\/strong> went down with an ankle injury and has missed the past six games, four\u00a0of which the Celtics lost. Meanwhile, Horford suffered a concussion in a practice two weeks ago, and he\u2019s been out ever since. After winning two of his first three games with his new team, Horford has missed the last seven. Fortunately for Boston, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/story\/_\/id\/18026334\/al-horford-boston-celtics-eyes-return-2-weeks-concussion\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">it appears that Horford will return\u00a0soon enough<\/a>. But until the Celtics officially get Crowder and Horford back, <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/thomais02.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaiah Thomas<\/a><\/strong> will continue to carry the offense. It\u2019s worth pointing out that Thomas isn\u2019t doing a bad job on that end, though. The team currently has an offensive rating of 109.3 (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/hollinger\/teamstats\/_\/order\/true\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">per <strong>ESPN<\/strong><\/a>), in terms of points per 100 possessions &#8211; good for fourth in the league.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Slightly Concerning: Defensive Problems<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>A problem more troubling than the injuries \u2013 which should settle down soon enough \u2013 is Boston\u2019s defense, which has been sub-par early on. The Celtics currently have the fifth-worst defensive rating in the association, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/hollinger\/teamstats\/_\/sort\/defensiveEff\/order\/false\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">allowing 107.2 points per 100 possessions<\/a>. They\u00a0need to clean up their act defensively. Boston has given up more than 115 points to four opponents \u2013 the <strong>Brooklyn Nets<\/strong>, the Cavs, the <strong>Denver Nuggets<\/strong>, and the <strong>Washington Wizards<\/strong>. Cleveland is nearly impossible to stop when the team is rolling, so allowing the Cavs to score 128 points is somewhat excusable, especially since the Celtics themselves racked up 122. However, the other three performances were unacceptable. All three of those other teams are likely to miss the playoffs, and they\u2019re not teams with high-powered offenses, either.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Fixing the Defense<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The return of Horford and Crowder will help. Crowder is a versatile wing defender who can slide to the four in small-ball units. He\u2019s probably Boston\u2019s most complete perimeter player and best all-around defender. Horford will give the Celtics more of an interior presence, as well as the ability to hedge out on guards coming off of a pick-and-roll, then get back to his man without Boston\u2019s defense having to collapse on the inside. His ability to stay with guards defensively is a huge upgrade over the clunky, slow-footed seven-footers, Zeller and Olynyk.<\/p>\n<p>Boston\u2019s defense should improve, based on some simple regression to the mean. Last season, they <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/hollinger\/teamstats\/_\/sort\/defensiveEff\/year\/2016\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">tied for fourth in defensive efficiency<\/a>. The season before that, they <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/hollinger\/teamstats\/_\/sort\/defensiveEff\/year\/2015\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">tied for 12th<\/a>. The Celtics have too many good defenders (as well as some elite ones in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bradlav01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Avery Bradley<\/a><\/strong>, <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/smartma01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Marcus Smart<\/a><\/strong>, and Crowder) to continue struggling in that regard. Head coach <strong>Brad Stevens<\/strong> is a mastermind, and he knows how to uses his pieces effectively. While there\u2019s no true rim protector on this roster, Stevens should find a way to harness the versatility of Horford and <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/j\/johnsam01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Amir Johnson<\/a><\/strong> up front and translate that into defensive stops. The pesky perimeter defenders will help out in that regard, too.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Major Issue: Rebounding Woes<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Finally, here\u2019s the most worrying problem for the Celtics so far, and the only one that\u2019s a real potential long-term concern: rebounding. Boston has been atrocious on the glass, and it\u2019s been the team\u2019s Achilles heel throughout its first ten games. The Celtics rank 29th in rebounding rate, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/hollinger\/teamstats\/_\/sort\/reboundRate\/order\/true\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">gathering just 46.7 percent of all available rebounds<\/a> \u2013 only 0.8\u00a0percent ahead of the last place <strong>Portland Trail Blazers<\/strong>. Boston has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/statistics\/team\/_\/stat\/rebounds-per-game\/sort\/avgOffensiveReboundsOpponent\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">given up 13.4 offensive rebounds per game<\/a>, which is more\u00a0than any other team in the league. Overall, the Celtics are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/statistics\/team\/_\/stat\/rebounds-per-game\/sort\/avgReboundsDifference\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">getting out-rebounded by 5.9 boards nightly<\/a>\u00a0&#8211; tied for the second-worst figure in the association. They have been unable to control the glass.<\/p>\n<p>The problem is self-explanatory. No matter how good Boston\u2019s offense is, less rebounds means less possessions, and less possessions means less points. Furthermore, even if the Celtics improve on the defensive end, it won\u2019t matter much if they allow more shot attempts. They can only contain opposing teams so much before they inevitably score, given second and third opportunities.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Severity of the Problem<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Even Crowder and Horford returning won\u2019t solve this one. Horford was scrutinized as a member of the <strong>Atlanta Hawks<\/strong> for his inability to handle opposing centers on the glass, as <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/thomptr01.html?utm_campaign=Linker&amp;utm_source=direct&amp;utm_medium=linker-\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tristan Thompson<\/a><\/strong> tore him apart in the playoffs. Although he\u2019s a great all-around player, rebounding might be Horford\u2019s biggest flaw, especially when he\u2019s slotted at the five in small-ball units. Crowder is solid on the glass, but his five or six rebounds per contest (6.3 in his first four outings, 5.1 last season) aren\u2019t exactly game-changing.<\/p>\n<p>As diehard Boston fan and basketball analyst <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BillSimmons\/status\/797096193805328384?lang=en\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bill Simmons <\/a><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BillSimmons\/status\/797096193805328384?lang=en\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pointed out<\/a>, the 6\u20192\u201d Bradley leads the team in rebounds per game. Bradley\u2019s figure of 8.3 is impressive for a player of his size, but it\u2019s rather\u00a0pathetic that not a single other Celtic has tallied even 6.5 boards per game thus far (besides Olynyk, who&#8217;s played in just\u00a0four games and has never averaged more than 5.2 over a full season).<\/p>\n<p>Zeller and Olynyk won&#8217;t fix this issue. They&#8217;re both known for being soft, as opposing\u00a0big men routinely push them around on the boards. Another option is Amir Johnson, but he&#8217;s an undersized big man at 6&#8217;9&#8243;, and the issue is compounded when he plays center. There&#8217;s really no easy answer for the Celtics.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Final Thoughts<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The Celtics have had some early-season injuries, but those aren&#8217;t long-term problems. If all goes well, the team will be full healthy\u00a0soon enough. Additionally, Boston&#8217;s defensive struggles so far are likely a result of small sample size, so that&#8217;s not something for Celtics fans to worry about. But if the Celtics are going to legitimately compete with teams like the Cavs and the <strong>Toronto Raptors<\/strong> in the East \u2013 rosters that feature behemoths in the middle \u2013 they\u2019ll need to fix their rebounding issues. It doesn\u2019t really matter whether it comes through a trade or internal improvement. One way or another, Boston needs to find a solution \u2013 fast.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo:<\/p>\n<p>November 4, 2015: Boston Celtics head coach Brad Stevens during an NBA game between the Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. (Photo by Zach Bolinger\/Icon Sportswire) (Photo by Zach Bolinger\/Icon Sportswire\/Corbis via Getty Images)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After signing Al Horford in July, this team had a lot of hype coming into the season. That makes the Boston Celtics early struggles all the more surprising.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":946,"featured_media":2411,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,2,62],"tags":[250,518,65,302,300,171,515,517,96,605],"class_list":["post-2402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-celtics","category-featured","category-nba","tag-al-horford","tag-avery-bradley","tag-basketball","tag-boston-celtics","tag-brad-stevens","tag-isaiah-thomas","tag-jae-crowder","tag-kelly-olynyk","tag-nba","tag-nba-eastern-conference"],"modified_by":"Lior Kozai (Managing Editor)","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/946"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2402"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2402\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2411"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}