{"id":180793,"date":"2026-03-11T07:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T11:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=180793"},"modified":"2026-04-22T17:31:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T21:31:26","slug":"rutgers-vs-minnesota-prediction-preview-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2026\/03\/11\/rutgers-vs-minnesota-prediction-preview-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Rutgers vs Minnesota: Prediction, Preview, Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We have reached the second round of the Big 10 Tournament, and it is a matchup between the Rutgers Scarlett Knights and Minnesota Golden Gophers. Rutgers finished the regular season on a high note with a 74-62 home win over Penn State, but they still were 6-14 in Big 10 play. Minnesota finished the regular season at 8-12 in league play and they come in off a 67-66 home win over Northwestern. Minnesota won 80-61 at home in the lone meeting between these teams this year. Can Rutgers get revenge? Read on to see my Rutgers vs Minnesota prediction and preview.<\/p>\n<h2>Rutgers vs Minnesota: Prediction, Preview, Odds<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Odds: Minnesota -5; Over\/Under 136<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Rutgers Scarlet Knights<\/h3>\n<p>Rutgers enters the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2026\/03\/10\/top-25-rankings-college-basketball-3-10-2026\/\" target=\"_self\">Big Ten Tournament<\/a> at 13-18 overall and 6-14 in league play, looking to extend its season with a strong defensive effort. The Scarlet Knights average 71.5 points in conference games and shoot 42.6%, relying heavily on guard play and physicality. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/tariq-francis-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tariq Francis<\/a> leads the team with 16.9 points and provides needed shot creation. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/dylan-grant-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dylan Grant<\/a> adds interior scoring and rebounding, while <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/darren-buchanan-jr-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Darren Buchanan<\/a> brings strength and versatility at forward.<\/p>\n<p>Rutgers struggles from deep, hitting only 32.8% from three, but they attack the paint well and get to the line at a solid rate. Their offensive rebounding is strong at 8.8 per game, giving them second\u2011chance opportunities. Rutgers must value possessions, as they average 8.6 turnovers, and they need efficient guard play to stay competitive.<\/p>\n<p>Defensively, Rutgers allows 80.0 points in Big Ten play and gives up 48.5% shooting, which has been a major issue. Opponents hit 36.4% from three, and Rutgers often struggles to close out on shooters. Francis and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/jamichael-davis-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jamichael Davis<\/a> pressure the ball, but the team must improve its rotations and defensive rebounding. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/emmanuel-ogbole-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Emmanuel Ogbole<\/a> anchors the paint with 6.1 rebounds per game, but Rutgers still allows 33.9 boards to opponents. Their defensive ranking in several categories sits near the bottom of the conference, including opponent assists and interior efficiency. Rutgers must slow Minnesota\u2019s ball movement and limit <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/cade-tyson-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cade Tyson<\/a>\u2019s scoring. If they cannot contain dribble penetration, they risk another high\u2011scoring game against them.<\/p>\n<p>For Rutgers to win, they must control tempo and keep this game in the half court. Francis needs to score efficiently and avoid forced shots. Grant and Buchanan must win the rebounding battle and prevent Minnesota from dominating second\u2011chance points. Rutgers must also improve perimeter defense and avoid giving Tyson clean looks. Their best path is a physical, low\u2011possession game where turnovers stay low and defensive intensity remains high. Rutgers must attack the paint, draw fouls, and avoid long scoring droughts. If they defend the arc, rebound well, and keep Minnesota uncomfortable, they can stay competitive deep into the second half.<\/p>\n<h3>Minnesota Golden Gophers<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_180903\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-180903\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Jan 24, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers forward Rienk Mast (51) and Minnesota Golden Gophers forward Jaylen Crocker-Johnson (5) jump for a rebound during the second half at Williams Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images\" width=\"640\" height=\"427\" class=\"wp-image-180903 size-large\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28077099_168402037_lowres-1200x800.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-180903\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jan 24, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers forward Rienk Mast (51) and Minnesota Golden Gophers forward Jaylen Crocker-Johnson (5) jump for a rebound during the second half at Williams Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Minnesota enters this matchup at 15\u201316 overall and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2026\/03\/09\/big-12-tournament-preview-key-teams-matchups-to-watch\/\" target=\"_self\">8-12 in Big Ten play<\/a>, looking to advance behind a balanced offense and improved defensive effort. The Golden Gophers average 71.5 points in conference games and shoot 42.6%, with strong interior scoring from <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/jaylen-crocker-johnson-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jaylen Crocker\u2011Johnson<\/a> earlier in the season. With Crocker\u2011Johnson out, Cade Tyson carries the scoring load at 19.5 points per game and remains one of the Big Ten\u2019s most efficient wings. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/langston-reynolds-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Langston Reynolds<\/a> adds 11.7 points and strong playmaking, while <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/isaac-asuma-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaac Asuma<\/a> provides scoring and rebounding from the guard spot. Minnesota shoots 34.5% from three and averages 17.2 assists, showing strong ball movement. Their offense is patient and efficient, especially when Tyson gets downhill.<\/p>\n<p>Defensively, Minnesota allows 80.0 points in conference play but has shown improvement late in the season. They hold opponents to 44.6% shooting, ranking fourth in the Big Ten in overall defensive efficiency. Tyson and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/bobby-durkin-1.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bobby Durkin<\/a> provide length on the perimeter, but the Golden Gophers must improve defensive rebounding, as they allow 28.9 boards. Their rotations have tightened in recent weeks, however. They also defend the three well, allowing only 8.0 made threes per game. Minnesota\u2019s ability to pressure the ball and force Rutgers into tough shots will be critical.<\/p>\n<p>For Minnesota to win, they must push tempo and attack Rutgers\u2019 weak transition defense. Tyson needs to establish himself early and create mismatches. Reynolds must control pace and generate clean looks for shooters. Minnesota must also dominate the glass and limit Rutgers\u2019 second\u2011chance points. Their ball movement should create open threes, and Asuma\u2019s ability to penetrate can break down Rutgers\u2019 rotations. If Minnesota defends the arc, forces turnovers, and keeps Rutgers out of rhythm, they can control this matchup. Their offensive balance and defensive improvement give them a strong path to advancing in the Big Ten Tournament.<\/p>\n<h3>Predictions<\/h3>\n<p>Minnesota enters this Big Ten Tournament matchup with the stronger offensive balance and the more reliable scoring options. Cade Tyson leads the Gophers with 19.5 points and remains one of the conference\u2019s most efficient wings. Langston Reynolds and Isaac Asuma give Minnesota steady guard play and strong decision\u2011making in the half court. Rutgers leans heavily on Tariq Francis, but their limited spacing and inconsistent shooting create long droughts.<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota should control tempo because they rank 362nd in pace, one of the slowest teams in the nation. That slow style favors their half\u2011court execution and reduces Rutgers\u2019 transition chances. With Minnesota\u2019s improved defensive structure and Rutgers\u2019 struggles guarding efficient wings, the Gophers hold a clear matchup edge. Minnesota\u2019s ability to generate clean looks and control possessions supports the favorite.<\/p>\n<p>Rutgers will try to slow the game even further, as they rank 225th in pace and prefer long, physical possessions. Their offense averages 71.5 points in Big Ten play and shoots only 42.6%, which makes scoring droughts likely against Minnesota\u2019s disciplined defense. Francis must carry the scoring load, but Minnesota\u2019s perimeter length with Tyson and Bobby Durkin can disrupt his rhythm. Rutgers also struggles on the defensive end, allowing 80.0 points and giving up 48.5% shooting in league play. Minnesota\u2019s ball movement should create open looks, especially in late\u2011clock situations. Without consistent perimeter threats, Rutgers faces an uphill battle generating enough offense to stay within striking distance. The matchup leans toward a slow, grind\u2011heavy game that favors Minnesota\u2019s structure.<\/p>\n<p>The most likely script features Minnesota controlling pace, limiting Rutgers\u2019 scoring windows, and pulling away late. Minnesota\u2019s extremely slow tempo and Rutgers\u2019 preference for half\u2011court basketball both point strongly toward a lower\u2011scoring game. Neither team pushes the ball, and both rely on deliberate sets. That supports the Under 136, especially in a tournament setting where possessions tighten. Minnesota\u2019s efficiency, improved defense, and superior shot creation make Minnesota -5 the stronger side. Expect a physical Big Ten matchup where Minnesota\u2019s discipline and scoring balance carry them to a comfortable win while the total stays below the posted number.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Minnesota -5 &amp; Under 136<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a9 Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We have reached the second round of the Big 10 Tournament, and it is a matchup between the Rutgers Scarlett Knights and Minnesota Golden Gophers. Rutgers finished the regular season on a high note with a 74-62 home win over Penn State, but they still were 6-14 in Big 10 play. Minnesota finished the regular [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5785,"featured_media":180900,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1608,773,50440,3],"tags":[2785,819,1858],"class_list":["post-180793","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-basketball","category-college-basketball","category-ncaa-predictions","category-news","tag-big-ten-basketball","tag-minnesota-golden-gophers","tag-rutgers-scarlet-knights"],"modified_by":"Michael Kovacs, ADMIN","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180793","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5785"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=180793"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180793\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":180904,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180793\/revisions\/180904"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/180900"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=180793"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=180793"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=180793"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}