{"id":163517,"date":"2025-10-21T14:57:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-21T18:57:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=163517"},"modified":"2025-10-21T14:57:19","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T18:57:19","slug":"rockets-vs-thunder-preview-opening-night-who-will-come-up-bigger-sga-or-slim-reaper","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/10\/21\/rockets-vs-thunder-preview-opening-night-who-will-come-up-bigger-sga-or-slim-reaper\/","title":{"rendered":"Rockets vs. Thunder Preview Opening Night: Who Will Come Up Bigger SGA Or Slim-Reaper?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/10\/19\/houston-rockets-2025-26-predictions-five-just-fun\/\" target=\"_self\">Houston Rockets<\/a>&#8216; <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2023\/10\/24\/2023-24-nba-opening-night-odds-best-bets-player-props\/\" target=\"_self\">NBA opening night<\/a> clash with the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/06\/21\/10-best-nba-draft-picks-in-oklahoma-city-thunder-history\/\" target=\"_self\">Oklahoma City Thunder<\/a> should be fantastic. The Thunder will get their 2025 rings and raise their <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/10\/21\/top-rookie-standouts-of-the-2025-2026-nba-preseason\/\" target=\"_self\">NBA championship<\/a> banner as they welcome <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/duranke01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kevin Durant<\/a> back &#8220;home.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>Rockets vs. Thunder Preview: NBA Opening Night Betting and DFS Insights<\/h2>\n<p>Houston heads into the 2025-26 season with high hopes after finishing second in the 2024-25 standings and making the biggest splash of the offseason. The Rockets brought the 37-year-old &#8220;bucket getter&#8221; to solidify their offensive attack and a veteran presence.<\/p>\n<p>While Durant was the big catch, the Rockets also solidified their depth by signing\/re-signing <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/capelca01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Clint Capela<\/a>, <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.bing.com\/search?q=Clint+Capela+basketball+reference&amp;cvid=ada463ddb4874c04a24bb98ff6043c05&amp;gs_lcrp=EgRlZGdlKgYIABBFGDkyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQABhAMgYIAhAAGEAyBggDEAAYQDIGCAQQABhAMgYIBRAAGEAyBggGEAAYQDIGCAcQABhAMgYICBAAGEDSAQg4NDk3ajBqOagCCLACAQ&amp;FORM=ANAB01&amp;PC=HCTS\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Steven Adams<\/a>, and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/f\/finnedo01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dorian Finney-Smith<\/a>. However,<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/v\/vanvlfr01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Fred VanVleet<\/a> tore his ACL last month and is likely out for the season. Finney-Smith (ankle) and<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/tateja01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Jae-Sean Tate<\/a> (ankle) will miss the Thunder contest, while <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/crawfis01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaiah Crawford<\/a> (ankle) is questionable.<\/p>\n<p>Houston went 4-0 during the preseason, scoring a League-High 131 points.<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/smithja05.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Jabari Smith Jr.<\/a> led nine players in double figures during the exhibition season as coach Ime Udoka gave his &#8220;regulars&#8221; plenty of minutes. Twelve of the 15 Rockets who played in the four preseason games averaged 18 minutes a contest.<\/p>\n<p>Oklahoma City enters the new campaign with essentially the same roster as last year. The Thunder went 4-2 during the exhibition season, though they struggled offensively; they were good defensively &#8212; the Thunder were the top-rated team on that end of the court last season.<\/p>\n<p>Not surprisingly, after a long 2024-25 season, <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/coaches\/donovbi99c.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Billy Donovan<\/a> used his regulars sparingly during the preseason. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/diengou01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ousmane Dieng<\/a> was the only player on the Thunder&#8217;s 15-man roster to appear in all six preseason games, though <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/wiggiaa01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Aaron Wiggins<\/a> and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/wallaca01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cason Wallace<\/a> saw over 22 minutes in five contests.<\/p>\n<p>Like Houston, OKC won&#8217;t have a full squad tonight, and 2025 first-round selection <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sorbeth01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Thomas Sorber<\/a> (torn ACL) will miss the entire campaign. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/topicni01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nikola Topic<\/a> (Groin), <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/willike04.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kenrich Williams<\/a> (knee), <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/willija06.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jalen Williams<\/a> (wrist), and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/j\/joeis01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaiah Joe<\/a> (knee) are sidelined tonight.<\/p>\n<h3>Rockets at Thunder Game Info<\/h3>\n<p>Time:\u00a0 7:30\u00a0 p.m. Oct. 21, 2025,<\/p>\n<p>Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City<\/p>\n<p>Money Line: Thunder -240, Rockets +240<\/p>\n<p>Spread: Thunder -7.5<\/p>\n<p>Over\/Under: 226.5<\/p>\n<h4>Injuries<\/h4>\n<h5>Rockets<\/h5>\n<p>Fred VanVleet (torn ACL): Likely out for the season<\/p>\n<p>Dorian Finney-Smith (ankle): Out tonight with no timetable to return<\/p>\n<p>Jae&#8217;Sean Tate (ankle): Out, may be able to play against Detroit on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Isaiah Crawford (ankle): Question for tonight, not part of the Rockets rotation<\/p>\n<h5>Thunder<\/h5>\n<p>Thomas Sorber (torn ACL): will miss the entire campaign<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/topicni01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nikola Topic<\/a> (Groin): Out indefinitely while recovering from testicular surgery<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/willike04.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kenrich Williams<\/a> (knee): Out until at least mid-November.<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/willija06.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jalen Williams<\/a> (wrist): Out, but <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nba\/story\/_\/id\/46664001\/okc-jalen-williams-surgically-repaired-wrist-heals\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">should return soon, per ESPN<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/j\/joeis01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaiah Joe<\/a> (knee): Out after a knee injury on Oct. 12. Unknown timetable, though it is not expected to linger.<\/p>\n<h5>Starting Lineups<\/h5>\n<h5>Houston Rockets<\/h5>\n<p>Coach <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/u\/udokaim01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ime Udoka<\/a><a  href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SportsVanessa\/status\/1980320769768079536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> revealed on Monday that the <\/a>Rockets&#8217; starting lineup for tonight:<\/p>\n<p>PG:<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/thompam01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Amen Thompson<\/a>,<\/p>\n<p>Wing: Kevin Durant<\/p>\n<p>Wing: Jabari Smith Jr.<\/p>\n<p>PF: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sengual01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alperen \u015eeng\u00fcn<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/a\/adamsst01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">C: Steven Adams<\/a><\/p>\n<h5>Oklahoma City Thunder Projected Starters<\/h5>\n<p>PG: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/g\/gilgesh01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Shai\u00a0Gilgeous-Alexander<\/a><br \/>\nSG: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/wallaca01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cason Wallace<\/a><br \/>\nSF: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/dortlu01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Luguentz Dort<\/a><br \/>\nC: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/h\/holmgch01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chet Holmgren<\/a><br \/>\nPF: <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/h\/harteis01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Isaiah Hartenstein<\/a><\/p>\n<h4>Betting Trends<\/h4>\n<h5>Houston Rockets<\/h5>\n<ul>\n<li>Was 47\u201341\u20131 ATS<\/li>\n<li>Rockets were just 1\u20133 ATS as dogs of +7.5 or more last season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h5>Oklahoma City Thunder<\/h5>\n<ul>\n<li>Last year, 54\u201328 overall ATS, 36\u201319 ATS when favored by 7.5+<\/li>\n<li>37\u201315\u20132 ATS at home last season<\/li>\n<li>Thunder won three of the five meetings against the Rockets, including both at home, and four of the five went over the total.<\/li>\n<li>best in the league last year ATS: 64\u201338\u20134<\/li>\n<li>62\u201330\u20132 ATS as a home favorite<\/li>\n<li>Over hit 47 times in Thunder&#8217;s games in 2024-25<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Thoughts and Prediction<\/h3>\n<p>Expect a high-intensity, hard-fought, and lower-scoring game than the 235\u00a0 points the teams combined for last year. OKC, the more cohesive and deeper squad, is elite defensively, though there is some concern about their offensive efficiency in the early going, particularly with Williams.\u00a0 Meanwhile, Houston&#8217;s athleticism, increased scoring ability, size, and rebounding prowess make it a &#8220;live underdog.&#8221; <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.thespread.com\/nba-articles\/rockets-vs-thunder-prediction-can-houston-cover-against-okc\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">According to The Spread.com<\/a>, 63% of the bettors are backing the Rockets against the spread.<\/p>\n<p>While OKC will only have 13 healthy bodies tonight and Williams&#8217; absence will likely hurt in the long run, the Thunder went 12-0 without their second-leading scorer last year and were slightly more efficient on both ends.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, despite Thompson being a star in the making and Sheppard showing significant development from a season ago, the loss of VanVleet is a considerable blow; the Rockets were 10-9 without VanVleet a season ago, as they were as efficient offensively. Also, the Rockets&#8217; frontcourt depth took a hit with Finney-Smith&#8217;s and Tate&#8217;s absence.<\/p>\n<h4>Four Things To Watch:<\/h4>\n<p>SGA vs. The Slim-Reaper: Who will come up clutch? Both Gilgeous-Alexander and Durant were excellent against last year&#8217;s opposition compared to tonight&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>Thompson and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sheppre01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reed Sheppard<\/a> vs. Wallace and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/carusal01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alex Curoso<\/a>: Can Thompson and Shephard handle the constant pressure that Wallace and Curoso will apply, or will they wilt?<\/p>\n<p>Holmgren and Hartenstein vs. Sengun and Adams: Who will control the boards?<\/p>\n<p>Which second unit will be more productive? The Thunder&#8217;s reserves were one of the best second units in the NBA last year. The Rockets&#8217; bench is a little depleted with DFS and VanVleet&#8217;s injuries. Also, Sheppard needs to show he is ready to contribute early on after a disappointing rookie season.<\/p>\n<h5>Prediction<\/h5>\n<p>Houston has played this preseason, and Sengun, Durant, and Thompson will as well. But OKC is dominant at home, and over the past five years, the reigning NBA champions are 4-1 at home.<\/p>\n<p>I have OKC winning 115-110 tonight, meaning I lean toward the Rockets to cover and the Under to hit. It is the first game of the season, and the offense is not yet up to the defense&#8217;s pace. Both teams are projected to be top-10 defenses this season.<\/p>\n<h5>Winner: Thunder 115-110<\/h5>\n<h5>Bets: Pass on money line under playing a parlay with either Golden State or the Los Angeles Lakers.<\/h5>\n<h5>Best Bet: Under 226.5 points<\/h5>\n<h5>Second Bet: Rockets +7.5<\/h5>\n<h3>Prop Bets and DFS Plays<\/h3>\n<h4>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/h4>\n<p>Fantasy: $10.2-$10.5K: high ownership expected<\/p>\n<p>Gilgeous-Alexander is the top DFS play tonight. SGA has been fantastic against the Rockets over his career and will likely get an uptick in usage with Williams out. Last year versus the Rockets, he averaged 32.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, 6.0 assists, and 2.4 steals while shooting 52% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc. He saw his points and assists go up without Williams.<\/p>\n<p>Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32+ points in three of the five contests against the Rockets last year and grabbed five or more boards on four occassions. Plus, opening night has been the platform for top players to shine recently.<\/p>\n<h4>Props:<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Over 31.5 points<\/li>\n<li>Over 1.5 3-pointers<\/li>\n<li>Over: 4.5 Rebounds<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Kevin Durant<\/h4>\n<p>Fantasy: $9.2-$9.5k: Likely mid-to-high ownership<\/p>\n<p>Durant may have his minutes managed, but tonight, he should be full Slim Reaper. Durant was extremely efficient against OKC with Phoenix last year, shooting over 50% from the field and nearly 42% from deep. He scored at least 24 points in all four games last season, averaging 27.9 points, 7.5 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.0 steals, and 1.0 blocks.<\/p>\n<p>Over 24.5 points (-115)<\/p>\n<p>Over 3.5 Assists (-153): Expected to share offensive<\/p>\n<p>Over Points + Assists 28.5: -120<\/p>\n<h3>Alperen \u015eeng\u00fcn<\/h3>\n<p>Fantasy: $7.5\u20138.2k: high ownership<\/p>\n<p>Sengun is a double-double machine. However, that may change with Adams and Capela in the mix. He thrives against the Thunder&#8217;s drop coverage and punishes a lighter Holmgren inside, besides being a monster on the glass.<\/p>\n<p>Over 17.5 points (-110): Last year, averaged nearly 20 points a game when VanVleet was out.<\/p>\n<p>Assists Under 6.5: Averaged five dimes a game versus the Thunder a season ago.<\/p>\n<h3>Others To Consider in DFS<\/h3>\n<h3>Amen Thompson<\/h3>\n<p>Fantasy: $7.2-$7.5k: Moderate<\/p>\n<p>Thompson is a fantasy star due to his ability to put up numbers across the board. Coming off a fantastic uptick, Thompson will get an uptick in usage with VanVleet out. Turnovers are a concern, so it is a volatile play tonight. He averaged 14.7 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.3 assists, and 1.0 steals against OKC in 2024-25.<\/p>\n<p>Points + Assists: Under 21.5 (-125)<\/p>\n<h4>\u00a0Chet Holmgren<\/h4>\n<p>Fantasy: $7.1-7.5k: Moderate ownership<\/p>\n<p>Holmgren&#8217;s health is always in question, but he appears ready for a breakout season. Holmgrenis projected to provide scoring, three-point shooting and rim[-protection tonight thogh rebounding is limited. He produced 20 points, seven rebounds, and three blocks last year versus the Rockets.,<\/p>\n<p>Over 23.5 points and rebounds (-114)<\/p>\n<p>Over 1.5 3-pointers<\/p>\n<h4>Isaiah Hartenstein<\/h4>\n<p>Fantasy: $5.4-$5.8k<\/p>\n<p>Hartenstein is a cheaper option than Holmgren. While he doesn&#8217;t have the ceiling that Holmgren possesses, he has a solid floor as a double-double threat.\u00a0 The 7-footer averaged 16 points versus the Rockets a season ago, which were the most he scored versus any team. Plus, he was more productive when Williams was absent.<\/p>\n<p>Over 9.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Over 9.5 Rebounds<\/p>\n<p>Over 3.5 Assists<\/p>\n<p>Post a\u00a0 double-double (+140)<\/p>\n<p>Cheaper Options<\/p>\n<h4>Cason Wallace<\/h4>\n<p>Salary $4.4-4.6k<\/p>\n<p>Wallace is a solid DFS play, as he will be in the starting lineup and play 28-32 minutes. He averaged 11 points and four rebounds a game when playing over 30 minutes a game a season ago.<\/p>\n<p>Over 7.5 points (-125)<\/p>\n<p><a  class=\"ng-binding ng-scope\" title=\"Mark J. Rebilas\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imagn.com\/searchByPhotographerId\/Mark%20J.%20Rebilas\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u00a9 Mark J. Rebilas<\/a>, Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Houston Rockets&#8216; NBA opening night clash with the Oklahoma City Thunder should be fantastic. The Thunder will get their 2025 rings and raise their NBA championship banner as they welcome Kevin Durant back &#8220;home.&#8221; Rockets vs. Thunder Preview: NBA Opening Night Betting and DFS Insights Houston heads into the 2025-26 season with high hopes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3146,"featured_media":163618,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1608,49087,2285,2,31,62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-163517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-basketball","category-basketball-betting","category-fantasy","category-featured","category-rockets","category-nba"],"modified_by":"Daniel Benjamin, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163517","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3146"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=163517"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163517\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":163648,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163517\/revisions\/163648"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/163618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=163517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=163517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=163517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}