{"id":135259,"date":"2025-04-20T21:46:49","date_gmt":"2025-04-21T01:46:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=135259"},"modified":"2025-04-20T21:46:49","modified_gmt":"2025-04-21T01:46:49","slug":"clippers-lost-russell-westbrook-gamble-but-they-will-roll-dice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/04\/20\/clippers-lost-russell-westbrook-gamble-but-they-will-roll-dice\/","title":{"rendered":"Clippers Lost Russell Westbrook Gamble But They Will Roll Dice"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/01\/26\/clippers-jeff-van-gundy-propelling-unlikely-bid\/\" target=\"_self\">LA Clippers<\/a> made a bold gamble in Game 1, they sagged off <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/westbru01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Russell Westbrook<\/a>. Their goal? Get an extra defender in the paint or double-team <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/j\/jokicni01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nikola Jokic.<\/a> Westbrook, a career 30.5% three-point shooter, seemed like a smart target for this strategy. It was a calculated gamble with a high potential reward. They dared Westbrook to shoot. He did. But that doesn\u2019t mean he was efficient.<\/p>\n<h2>Clippers Lost Russell Westbrook Gamble But They Will Roll Dice Again<\/h2>\n<h3>Game 1 Didn&#8217;t Go as Planned \u2014 Or Did It?<\/h3>\n<p>Westbrook scored 15 points on 5-for-17 shooting. He hit a clutch three in the final minute of regulation. He also grabbed offensive rebounds and played high-energy defense. Those moments stood out.<\/p>\n<p>But the overall numbers? Not great. Westbrook took the third-most shots on the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/04\/18\/david-adelman-mindset-right-coach-nuggets\/\" target=\"_self\">Nuggets<\/a>. That\u2019s a trade-off the Clippers will take every time. He shot just 29.4% from the field. Despite the late heroics, that inefficiency is exactly what the Clippers wanted.<\/p>\n<p>If given the same scenario ten times\u2014Westbrook taking 17 shots\u2014the Clippers&#8217; coaching staff would sign up for it ten out of ten times.<\/p>\n<h3>Familiarity Breeds Strategy<\/h3>\n<p>The Clippers know Westbrook well. He played for them over the past two seasons. They understand both his strengths and his flaws. That knowledge shaped their Game 1 plan. They believed they could live with his long-range attempts and high-volume shooting.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, Westbrook hit a big shot. But overall, he almost took as many shots as <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/m\/murraja01.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jamal Murray.<\/a>\u00a0 That\u2019s not how Denver usually wins. The Clippers can live with that.<\/p>\n<h3>Why the Clippers Will Double Down<\/h3>\n<p>This isn\u2019t a one-game adjustment. It\u2019s a series-long gamble. The Clippers want the ball in Westbrook\u2019s hands. They prefer him making decisions over Jokic or Murray. Jokic rarely turns the ball over. Westbrook? He&#8217;s more prone to poor decisions and forced shots.<\/p>\n<p>Even in Game 1, Westbrook showed his downside. Late in regulation, he drove into traffic and forced a pass that resulted in a turnover. That\u2019s the tradeoff with him\u2014flashes of brilliance paired with moments of chaos.<\/p>\n<p>Clippers coach Tyronn Lue and standout assistant, Jeff Van Gundy will bet on chaos. And inefficient volume shooting.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Russell Westbrook knocks ball off Harden #nba #playoffs #highlights #nuggets #clippers\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/SOoHSJ3YlkI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h3>Betting on the Law of Averages<\/h3>\n<p>Westbrook&#8217;s clutch three was the outlier, not the norm. His career numbers say as much. The Clippers believe the law of averages will favor them the longer the series goes on.<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ll keep giving him space. They\u2019ll let him fire away. Most games, they expect the results to hurt Denver more than help it. Westbrook took 17 shots. He made 5. The Clippers love that math.<\/p>\n<h3>High Risk, High Reward<\/h3>\n<p>Westbrook remains a high-risk player. His energy and confidence can change games. But he also can lose them. The Nuggets embraced the good with the bad in Game 1. It paid off. But over a series, the Clippers will take their chances. They\u2019ll let him take tough shots. The Clippers will crash the glass. They\u2019ll run when he misses.<\/p>\n<h3>The Strategy Isn\u2019t New<\/h3>\n<p>Other teams have done this before. They\u2019ve dared Westbrook to beat them. Sometimes he has. Often, he hasn\u2019t. This isn&#8217;t about disrespect. It&#8217;s about probability.<\/p>\n<p>Coaches in the playoffs make choices based on tendencies. Westbrook\u2019s shooting remains a weak spot. That\u2019s where the Clippers will attack.<\/p>\n<h3>Expect More of the Same<\/h3>\n<p>Game 1 didn\u2019t go their way. But the Clippers aren\u2019t changing course on their Russell Westbrook gamble. They\u2019ll continue to sag off Westbrook. They\u2019ll double Jokic, cut off lanes, and close out on shooters. And they\u2019ll keep rolling the dice on Westbrook\u2019s decision-making and high shot volume.<\/p>\n<p>They lost the first gamble. But it\u2019s a long game. They\u2019ll keep betting until the odds shift their way.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><label>Credit: <\/label>\u00a9 Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The LA Clippers made a bold gamble in Game 1, they sagged off Russell Westbrook. Their goal? Get an extra defender in the paint or double-team Nikola Jokic. Westbrook, a career 30.5% three-point shooter, seemed like a smart target for this strategy. It was a calculated gamble with a high potential reward. They dared Westbrook [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5018,"featured_media":135464,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62,1608,20,27],"tags":[50041,922,596,72,53,612],"class_list":["post-135259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","category-basketball","category-nuggets","category-clippers","tag-2025-nba-playoffs","tag-jeff-van-gundy","tag-nba-playoffs","tag-nikola-jokic","tag-russell-westbrook","tag-tyronn-lue"],"modified_by":"Frederick Okocha","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135259","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5018"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=135259"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135259\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":135466,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135259\/revisions\/135466"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/135464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=135259"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=135259"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=135259"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}