{"id":117915,"date":"2025-01-14T15:50:59","date_gmt":"2025-01-14T20:50:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/?p=117915"},"modified":"2025-01-14T16:23:09","modified_gmt":"2025-01-14T21:23:09","slug":"should-the-celtics-change-their-starting-lineup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2025\/01\/14\/should-the-celtics-change-their-starting-lineup\/","title":{"rendered":"Should the Celtics Change Their Starting Lineup?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/12\/30\/celtics-recent-stretch-concern\/\" target=\"_self\">Boston Celtics<\/a> are in the midst of a troubling<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/boston-celtics-record-last-13-games\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> 7-6 stretch<\/a>. One of the more interesting developments this season has been the starting lineup&#8217;s lack of efficiency. Through nine games and 138 minutes, the\u00a0<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/lineups\/advanced?Season=2024-25&amp;TeamID=1610612738&amp;dir=D&amp;slug=advanced&amp;sort=MIN\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Celtics&#8217; starting five<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/h\/holidjr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jrue Holiday<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/w\/whitede01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Derrick White<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/b\/brownja02.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jaylen Brown<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/tatumja01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jayson Tatum<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/p\/porzikr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kristaps Porzingis<\/a> have a 107.9 offensive rating and a 116.8 defensive rating good for a -8.9 net rating. Conversely, in 208 minutes with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/h\/horfoal01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Al Horford<\/a> in the lineup over Porzingis, the Celtics have a 21.9 net rating, a 122.1 offensive rating, and a 100.2 defensive rating.<\/p>\n<p>These numbers are a stark contrast from <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/lineups\/advanced?Season=2023-24&amp;TeamID=1610612738&amp;dir=D&amp;slug=advanced&amp;sort=MIN\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last season<\/a> when the lineup with Porzingis posted a net rating of 11 (120.3 offensive rating, 109.4 defensive rating) in 623 total minutes. With Al in the lineup through 311 minutes, Boston had a 2.7 net rating (118.5\u00a0offensive rating, 115.8 defensive rating).\u00a0Additionally, the Celtics have just a 9-7 <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/celtics-record-with-porzingis-playing-this-year\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record<\/a> with Porzingis playing compared to a 43-14\u00a0<a  href=\"https:\/\/www.statmuse.com\/nba\/ask\/celtics-record-with-porzingis-playing-last-year\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record<\/a> last year. Given these stats starting Horford over Porzingis has been somewhat of a hot topic in <a  href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CelticsCLNS\/status\/1878668182313152642\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Celtics circles<\/a>. Let&#8217;s explore whether Joe Mazzulla and the Celtics should start Horford over Porzingis.<\/p>\n<h2>Should the Celtics Change Their Starting Lineup?<\/h2>\n<h3>The Case for Starting Horford<\/h3>\n<p>To be clear, moving Porzingis to the bench shouldn&#8217;t be seen as a slight. Porzingis still provides the Celtics with a ton of value on both ends of the floor. Notably, before <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/11\/26\/kristaps-porzingis-return-changes-everything-for-the-celtics\/\" target=\"_self\">Porzingis returned<\/a>, the Celtics <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/defense?dir=A&amp;sort=OPP_PTS_PAINT&amp;DateFrom=10%2F22%2F2024&amp;DateTo=11%2F24%2F2024\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ranked 26th<\/a> in opponents&#8217; points in the paint since his return, they rank <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/defense?dir=A&amp;sort=OPP_PTS_PAINT&amp;DateFrom=11%2F25%2F2024&amp;DateTo=01%2F14%2F2025\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">second<\/a>. <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/lineups\/advanced?CF=MIN*GE*25&amp;TeamID=1610612738&amp;dir=D&amp;slug=advanced&amp;sort=NET_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Porzingis<\/a> is also part of the Celtics&#8217; most efficient lineup. Furthermore, Porzingis has solid averages of 18.6 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 1.5 blocks, with shooting splits of 44.5\/34.7\/84.<\/p>\n<p>Moving Porzingis to the bench is mainly about balancing Boston&#8217;s lineups, and he would still be in the closing lineups. It&#8217;s difficult to get everyone involved between the Jays, Porzingis, White, and Holiday. This could be a key reason why the Celtics starting lineup has struggled. With Horford in the lineup, the Celtics have two clear off-ball players, Horford and Holiday. Moreover, this would also allow White to have a larger role in the offense. Since the Celtics have been struggling for the past month, it might be time to make a change.<\/p>\n<p>Another key issue is the Celtics&#8217; poor bench play; they notably rank 26th in <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/traditional?sort=PTS&amp;dir=-1&amp;StarterBench=Bench\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bench points<\/a> and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/traditional?StarterBench=Bench&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=MIN\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">25th<\/a> in bench minutes. Outside of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/p\/pritcpa01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-01-14_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Payton Pritchard<\/a>, the Celtics significantly lack bench scoring and shot creation, moving Porzingis to the bench would solve these flaws while creating a devasting bench-scoring duo. Ultimately, having Porzingis come off the bench would balance the Celtics&#8217; starting lineup between creators and spot-up shooters while providing a significant offensive boost to their bench.<\/p>\n<h3>The Case for Keeping Porzingis in the Starting Lineup<\/h3>\n<p>There&#8217;s also a rock-solid argument to keep Porzingis in the starting lineup. As mentioned before, the starting lineup only has nine games and\u00a0138 minutes, simply getting more court time together could change the lineup&#8217;s concerning stats, especially considering their success last season. <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/2024\/12\/26\/nba-christmas-day-davis-porzingis-gordon-doncic\/\" target=\"_self\">Porzingis is\u00a0recovering<\/a> from a fairly serious injury; sometimes patience is key. Additionally, from a talent and upside perspective, this is clearly Boston&#8217;s best lineup. In any scenario, the Celtics would have Porzingis finish games with the starters, so it would be logical for the unit to gel together.<\/p>\n<p>From a practical standpoint, it&#8217;s unclear when this move would occur. Four of the six Celtics&#8217; upcoming games are back-to-backs. The Celtics always stagger Porzingis and Al on back-to-back games, negating the possibility of a lineup change. If the lineup continues to struggle after this stretch, perhaps they could explore moving\u00a0Porzingis to the bench. However, for now, the timing is not right.<\/p>\n<p>Another argument against benching Porzingis is that the Celtics&#8217; main issue is closing games, not starting them. Over the past month, Boston ranks <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/advanced?DateFrom=12\/14\/2024&amp;DateTo=01\/14\/2025&amp;Period=4&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=NET_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">23rd<\/a> in fourth-quarter net rating compared to 11th on the <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/advanced?DateFrom=&amp;DateTo=&amp;Period=4&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=NET_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">season<\/a> and <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/advanced?DateFrom=&amp;DateTo=&amp;Period=1&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=NET_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">second<\/a> in first-quarter net rating on the season, including the last month. Last season, the Celtics ranked first in fourth-quarter <a  href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/advanced?DateFrom=&amp;DateTo=&amp;Period=4&amp;Season=2023-24&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=NET_RATING\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">net rating<\/a>. Perhaps Boston&#8217;s issue of having too many mouths to feed is impacting their fourth-quarter play. However, that&#8217;s puzzling, given the lineup&#8217;s success last season. The Celtics should use this stretch of adversity to strengthen their core and regain their success from last season. Even though they had success last season, it can be challenging to reintegrate Porzingis back into the starting lineup and sometimes it simply takes time. As things currently stand, Boston shouldn&#8217;t alter their starting five and should give this talented core more time to gel.<\/p>\n<h3>The Last Word<\/h3>\n<p>Ultimately, the Celtics should continue to start Porzingis, given their upcoming schedule and the lack of court time Boston&#8217;s starting five has had together. However, if this lineup keeps struggling, a tweak might be needed, and the starting lineup numbers are certainly concerning. Given the talent, upside, and proven success of this lineup, Boston must prioritize getting the starting five more reps together on the court. At the same time, if no changes are made to the starting lineup Mazzulla might change the closing lineup more often based on who is at their best on any given night.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Celtics are in the midst of a troubling 7-6 stretch. One of the more interesting developments this season has been the starting lineup&#8217;s lack of efficiency. Through nine games and 138 minutes, the\u00a0Celtics&#8217; starting five of Jrue Holiday, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, and Kristaps Porzingis have a 107.9 offensive rating and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4779,"featured_media":117973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"1","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62,1608,5],"tags":[250,1090,450,798,4865,239,138],"class_list":["post-117915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","category-basketball","category-celtics","tag-al-horford","tag-derrick-white","tag-jaylen-brown","tag-jayson-tatum","tag-joe-mazzulla","tag-jrue-holiday","tag-kristaps-porzingis"],"modified_by":"Eamon Cassels, Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4779"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117915"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":117926,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117915\/revisions\/117926"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/basketball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}