{"id":84821,"date":"2024-09-03T14:09:53","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T18:09:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=84821"},"modified":"2024-09-03T14:10:50","modified_gmt":"2024-09-03T18:10:50","slug":"juan-soto-contract-projection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/09\/03\/juan-soto-contract-projection\/","title":{"rendered":"Record-Breaking Deal on the Horizon for Baseball&#8217;s Top Prize"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The baseball world will be abuzz with the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/05\/30\/the-yankees-must-prioritize-juan-sotos-extension\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">looming free agency<\/a> of one of the game&#8217;s brightest starts. As the top free agent this offseason, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/5731020\/2024\/09\/03\/yankees-juan-soto-contract-projection\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tim Britton of <em>The Athletic<\/em><\/a> projects <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=sotoju01,soto--004jua&amp;search=Juan+Soto&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Juan Soto<\/a> is poised to ink a massive payday. Soto&#8217;s upcoming free agency could result in a record-breaking contract exceeding $560 million over 14 years. His production is elite and he&#8217;s younger than most other prominent free agents.<\/p>\n<h2>Historic Contract Looms for Juan Soto<\/h2>\n<p>Soto, 26, will hit free agency at the same age when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/machama01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Manny Machado<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/harpebr03.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bryce Harper<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/heywaja01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jason Heyward<\/a> entered the market. Soto&#8217;s performance this season has set him up for a historic free agency. Like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/j\/judgeaa01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Aaron Judge<\/a>, Soto has peaked at the right time, but his youth and talent make him a singular talent in the market. This rare combination could surpass anything baseball hasn&#8217;t seen in free agency.<\/p>\n<p>Britton added that Soto was coming off a pair of lesser seasons, but had good production. He even compares Soto&#8217;s potential deal to last year&#8217;s big free agent.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/o\/ohtansh01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-09-03_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Shohei Ohtani<\/a>&#8216;s recent 10-year $700 million contract has set new benchmarks for total compensation and average annual value. Both players&#8217; production is fairly similar, but Britton believes Soto has a few advantages over Ohtani. Soto will likely set a new record for total value in a contract, eclipsing Ohtani&#8217;s $437.8 million with the Los Angeles Dodgers.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;He&#8217;s younger by three years. He&#8217;s not nursing an injury, and none of his value is tied to the inherently risky practice of pitching. A 10-year, $440 million deal for Soto could thus be his floor.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If Soto seeks the megadeal that takes him to around age 40, he may need to compromise on the AAV. Britton suggests that a 14-year deal, similar to those of <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2022\/12\/07\/aaron-judge-yankees\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Judge<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2019\/02\/19\/manny-machado-signs-padres\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Machado<\/a>, would push the total value beyond $600 million at Ohtani&#8217;s record AAV.<\/p>\n<p>Main Photo: \u00a9 kamil krzaczynski-usa today sports<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The baseball world will be abuzz with the looming free agency of one of the game&#8217;s brightest starts. As the top free agent this offseason, Tim Britton of The Athletic projects Juan Soto is poised to ink a massive payday. Soto&#8217;s upcoming free agency could result in a record-breaking contract exceeding $560 million over 14 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3686,"featured_media":84829,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1071,35],"tags":[501,2133,43,2178],"class_list":["post-84821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-yankees","category-mlb","category-news","tag-aaron-judge","tag-juan-soto","tag-manny-machado","tag-shohei-ohtani"],"modified_by":"Matt Graves","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3686"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84821"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84821\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84829"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}