{"id":77734,"date":"2024-06-25T07:00:05","date_gmt":"2024-06-25T11:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/?p=77734"},"modified":"2024-06-25T01:28:32","modified_gmt":"2024-06-25T05:28:32","slug":"pirates-underusing-stolen-bases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/06\/25\/pirates-underusing-stolen-bases\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates Underusing One Offensive Weapon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates, in the wild card race despite an impotent offense, should add the stolen base to their attack. So far, good starting pitching and a weaker National League have kept the Bucs in the race. However, there will be moves by all contending teams at the trade deadline. The Pirates can\u2019t continue to rely on the status quo. General manager Ben Cherington has stated that the Pirates will look to improve internally while pursuing outside help from trades. In the meantime, the stolen base could be a useful weapon for them. In the current part of their schedule, the Pirates are seeing the benefits of the stolen base firsthand, with games against the Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds, two of the \u201crunningest\u201d teams in all of baseball.<\/p>\n<h2>Pirates Underusing the Stolen Base<\/h2>\n<p>The Pirates rank near the bottom of the National League in virtually every important offensive category. They\u2019re 14th in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They\u2019re 13th in runs scored, home runs, and doubles. Also, they\u2019re 12th in stolen bases. Of course, part of the reason for the low ranking in steals correlates with the low ranking in reaching base. As goes the old baseball axiom, one can\u2019t steal first base (unless one is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/mcclell01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lloyd McClendon<\/a>).<br \/>\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rhnoCkp2QUo?si=ih98Qbvg8yzGkVjv\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Even so, the running game is not part of their repertoire. Whether that\u2019s the philosophy of manager <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/managers\/sheltde99.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Derek Shelton<\/a> or a front office dictation is unknown. After all, in today\u2019s baseball, the manager\u2019s main job is to execute the front office\u2019s vision. So, let\u2019s not rush to blame Shelton.<\/p>\n<h3>What the Geeks Say<\/h3>\n<p>One of the reasons Shelton was hired as Pirates manager was his embrace of analytics. In recent years, the Sabermetrics crowd has discounted the value of the stolen base. They say if you have a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/h\/henderi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rickey Henderson<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/c\/colemvi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Vince Coleman<\/a>, turn him loose, otherwise base stealing contributes little. \u00a0The theory is that outs are precious and over the long haul, a runner caught stealing costs his team more runs than it gains when the runner successfully steals a base. For a baserunner to be considered successful, his stolen-base success rate should be around 70 percent, so say the number-crunchers.<\/p>\n<p>Per <a href=\"https:\/\/library.fangraphs.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">FanGraphs<\/a>, the measure of the effectiveness of a stolen base is Weighted Stolen Base Runs, or wSB. The formula looks like it was devised by Euclid, but suffice it to say that an average wSB is zero. A wSB above zero indicates how many runs above average the runner created by stealing bases. Conversely, a wSB below zero indicates a below-average base stealer.<\/p>\n<h3>What the Stolen Base Has Meant (or Not Meant) to the Pirates<\/h3>\n<p>At the close of Monday\u2019s action, the Pirates have stolen 41 bases and been caught eight times. The team wSB is a mere 1.1, despite an 83.7 percent success rate. In layman&#8217;s terms, the running game has added just one run all season long to the Pirates\u2019 total. This would seem to substantiate the theory that stealing bases is just not worth it. Yet, their success rate indicates it\u2019s something they\u2019re good at. Indeed, while they won\u2019t remind anybody of the 1982 St. Louis Cardinals, the fact remains that except for the catchers and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/t\/tellero01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rowdy Tellez<\/a>, the Pirates\u2019 players have base-stealing speed.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Pirates coming into today. The starting pitching is all that they have. Outside of them, they are as bad as usual.<\/p>\n<p>Bullpen ERA- 27th<br \/>\nBatting average- 26th<br \/>\nRuns- 25th<br \/>\nHRs- 24th<br \/>\nOBP- 26th<br \/>\nOPS- 28th<br \/>\nSlugging- 28th<br \/>\nStolen bases- 22nd<br \/>\nStarters ERA- 7th<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Chris Dokish (@ChrisDokish) <a  href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ChrisDokish\/status\/1804980937345937742?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">June 23, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>However, it also stands to reason that a team\u2019s wSB can increase simply with more attempts. In 1976, the Oakland Athletics set an American League record with 341 steals. Thirteen players stole bases, led by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/n\/northbi01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bill North<\/a> with 75. Eight players stole at least 20 bases. Those 341 stolen bases resulted in a wSB of 22.0. A similar wSB would be invaluable to the current Pirates, who play plenty of close games. (Another issue has been the Pirates\u2019 failures with runners in scoring position. This has already been <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/06\/21\/pirates-hayes-lower-batting-order\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">adequately covered<\/a> on these pages.)<\/p>\n<h3>History Lesson<\/h3>\n<p>What the statistics don\u2019t show are the effects the threat of the stolen base has on the pitcher and defense. Pirates fans will recall it was a factor in the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/05\/23\/pirates-1979-world-series\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">1979 World Series<\/a> victory over the Baltimore Orioles. The idea of the stolen base was better for the Pirates than the stolen base itself. The Bucs stole no bases in that Series. There were four unsuccessful attempts, including one by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=alexan005mat,alexama01&amp;search=Matt+Alexander&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Matt Alexander<\/a>, who also played for those 1976 A\u2019s. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/morenom01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Omar Moreno<\/a>, who led MLB with 77 steals, never made an attempt.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the threat caused Orioles catcher <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/dempsri01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rick Dempsey<\/a> to call for easy-to-handle high fastballs to put him in a better position to make a throw to second base. Unfortunately for him, they were easy for hitters to handle, too. As a result, the hitters who followed Moreno in the order, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/f\/foliti01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tim Foli<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/p\/parkeda01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dave Parker<\/a>, hit .333 and .345, respectively, in the Series. Dempsey told Russ Franke of <em>The Pittsburgh Press<\/em>, \u201cI was expecting more out of Omar, but the kid wouldn\u2019t run. Maybe they thought this was the better thing to do. Omar didn\u2019t prove to me he is a good baserunner, but it helped Foli a lot. He got more fastballs to hit.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The following winter, Dempsey ran into Pirates manager <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/t\/tannech01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chuck Tanner<\/a> at a banquet. According to the <em>Pittsburgh Post-Gazette<\/em>, Dempsey told Tanner, \u201cOur pitchers threw a lot of high fastballs to Foli. Now that I look back, you wanted those type pitches. Foli murdered us with his bat and Moreno was going from first to third.\u201d<\/p>\n<h3>The Last Word<\/h3>\n<p>The Pirates keep trying things to improve their offense. They\u2019ve tried <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/05\/03\/pirates-activated-catcher-grandal\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">sending<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/davishe01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Henry Davis<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/05\/23\/pirates-suwinski-triple-a-indianapolis\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">then<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/s\/suwinja01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jack Suwinski<\/a> to the minors, only to need them back in Pittsburgh. They\u2019ve tried <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/05\/21\/ji-hwan-bae-call-up-pirates-offense\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">calling up<\/a> speedster <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/baeji01.shtml?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2024-06-25_br\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ji Hwan Bae<\/a>, only to see him land on the injured list. Shelton has tried <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/2024\/05\/02\/pirates-shelton-set-lineup\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">different lineups<\/a>. The Pirates have nothing to lose by adding the stolen base to their bag of tricks.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Photo Credit: \u00a9 Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates, in the wild card race despite an impotent offense, should add the stolen base to their attack. So far, good starting pitching and a weaker National League have kept the Bucs in the race. However, there will be moves by all contending teams at the trade deadline. The Pirates can\u2019t continue to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5010,"featured_media":77748,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[26,1071],"tags":[3215,5263,3160,4875,5720,4203,28486,3511,993,4632],"class_list":["post-77734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pirates","category-mlb","tag-ben-cherington","tag-chuck-tanner","tag-derek-shelton","tag-henry-davis","tag-jack-suwinski","tag-lloyd-mcclendon","tag-omar-moreno","tag-rick-dempsey","tag-rickey-henderson","tag-vince-coleman"],"modified_by":"Lewis Masella, Site Editor","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5010"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77734"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77734\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77748"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/baseball\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}